By Neil Evans
Track expected Good 4 and Rail out 3m with possible shower late in the day
|Race 1 MAIDEN PLATE (1350m):|
Competitive maiden to start. Well bred 3YO 4. Resilient Star is right on the cusp after working home in two handy provincial maidens before attacking the line late at Warwick Farm.
Dangers: Big market watch on imported 4YO 2. Saint Of Katowice who returns off a 14 month break as a gelding for his first Australian run. Responded to late aggression in the second of two recent trials.
How to play it: Resilient Star to win. Odds and Evens: Evens
|Race 2 MAIDEN PLATE (1000m):|
Going with debutant home track filly 9. French Bonnet who is bred to get much further, but trialled very nicely finishing ahead of Hurt Money who then won his maiden comfortably at Hawkesbury, and is drawn the inside.
Dangers: Progressive 4YO 2. That's Better has been run down after leading in all three provincial runs this prep, but the form around him is strong. A little surprised they stayed at this trip second-up for 1. Pacific Ocean given he's by a Caulfield Guineas winner out of a Lonhro mare. Was overrun by a promising one first-up here, and again draws to get a charmed run. Include another first starter Exosphere filly 10. Perlant who has also trialled okay.
How to play it: French Bonnet to win and quinella 2 and 9. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 3 METRO & PROV MAIDEN PLATE (1600m):|
Out to the mile at set weights, and this sets up nicely for improving 4YO mare 7. Chenin Blanc who got home late first-up at Kembla. Won't settle as far back from a better draw here, and carries 3kg less after the claim.
Dangers: Another 4YO on the up, 4. Teronito finished well to beat all bar the winner resuming at Muswellbrook, and second-up last prep only missed narrowly in a handy maiden at Kembla.
How to play it: Chenin Blanc to win. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 4 CLASS 1 & MAIDEN PLATE (2100m):|
Talented 5YO 3. Harpo Marx deserves to be a very short-priced fancy, and the one to beat back in this company. Powered home second up in a BM 72 at Canterbury, and while he has to carry 59kg over a longer trip, looks to have this at his mercy.
Dangers: Front-running Kembla 4YO and last-start provincial winner 5. Persian Front is hard fit, and can run the quinella.
How to play it: Harpo Marx to win and quinella 3 and 5. Odds and Evens: Odds a special
|Race 5 CLASS 1 HCP (1200m):|
Keen on promising 3YO 5. Stoltz rising in distance third-up. Charged late to win here from the same gate and carrying the same weight, and he's headed for much better races.
Dangers: Progressive 4YO 2. Nelspruit is a clear threat from the draw after a dominant win on debut here. Got plenty of time for improving filly 10. Yangarra Rose who chased home a good sprinter first-up at Gosford. Drops 2.5kg for this, and draws to get a handy run right behind the speed. Be shocked if one of those three doesn't win, although 3YO 4. Land Of Valens beat some handy ones first-up at Gosford.
How to play it: Stoltz to win and box exacta 2,5,10. Odds and Evens: Split a special
|Race 6 BM 64 HCP (1600m):|
Competitive battle over the mile. Progressive mare 9. Shamani rattled home for a dominant maiden win here at only her second start. Bred to get over further, and being scratched from a deeper class race at Warwick Farm on Wednesday to be saved for this is a huge lead.
Dangers: Despite being unwanted in betting, home track mare 4. Margie Bee was only cut down late in a Heat of the Provincial Summer Series, and should have little or no trouble running out this longer trip. Local 5YO 1. Aytobe has run three straight thirds, working home okay last start when ridden quieter. Drawn the fence, but not well treated against some of these carrying 59kg.
How to play it: Shamani to win. Odds and Evens: Split
Shamani wins at Wyong on November 26
|Race 7 BM 64 HCP (1000m):|
Back to the short course for the most open race of the day. Impressive 4YO mare 7. Miss Dior can make it three on the bounce this prep from a handy draw, and sitting just off what should be a strong tempo. Stays at the same grade and distance, and has come back a much stronger and better sprinter.
Dangers: Unpredictable 4YO 4. Coco Cuber resumes in his first run for the Snowden stable, with several key gear changes. Has an awkward gate to contend with over this distance, but last time here was a commanding winner in this grade. Big watch on 3YO 8. Able Hill who resumes as a gelding for strong metropolitan yard off two trials.
How to play it: Miss Dior to win. Odds and Evens: Split
Miss Dior wins at Kembla Grange on November 28