By Neil Evans
Track down to Soft 7/Heavy 8 and rail out 4m from 1400m to 400m into a cut/away
|Race 1 MAIDEN PLATE (1000m):|
Thin maiden at set weights to start. Canberra-based Pride Of Dubai colt 6. Arcadia Power debuts in blinkers, and has trialled well enough for this.
Dangers: Warwick Farm 4YO 1. Glendor resumes off a quiet trial, and has performed okay on heavy ground.
How to play it: Arcadia Power to win. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 2 MAIDEN PLATE (1200m)|
Big and tricky field shouldn't stop promising Canberra filly 13. Boho Chick who was brave on debut in a handy maiden at Albury after enduring a tough run. Draws to get a sweet position right behind the speed, and a bigger track is also a plus.
Dangers: Goulburn filly 14. Karlaina found the line well in two runs to start this prep before probably wasn't suited from the inside barrier on the tight turning Gundagai circuit. Better off here where she has time to balance up and get home. Expect sharp improvement at third start from Wodonga mare 10. Merri Magic who didn't run on at Benalla, but blinkers go on, and jockey change is significant.; while local 4YO 2. Bonvalante did his best work late on debut here behind an impressive winner.
How to play it: Boho Chick to win. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 3 MAIDEN HCP (1400m):|
Canberra 4YO 6. One Man Band gets his chance to finally break through on a more suitable track deep into this prep. Hit the line well under more weight in a better maiden at Goulburn two runs back before ridden in front and overhauled late at Gundagai. Hard fit, handles the wet, and is much better when ridden off the speed.
Dangers: Improving Albury filly 7. Allez Brew was right behind the top selection at Gundagai, and is drawn to get a nice trail just off the speed. Gap to the rest headed by local 3YO 5. Nic's Hero up in journey, with blinkers applied.
How to play it: One Man Band to win and quinella 6 and 7. Odds and Evens: Split
One Man Band runs second at Gundagai on November 14
|Race 4 BM 58 HCP (1000m):|
Goulburn mare 14. Earp hasn't lived up to his ability in nine starts so far, but looks well placed fresh sitting alone on 55.5kg, and finally back on top of the ground. Will settle back well off a good speed, and look to finish over the top on ground he relishes.
Dangers: Home track 8YO 2. Powerscourt resumes with no official trial, and is drawn wide, but normally comes to hand quickly.
How to play it: Earp to win. Odds and Evens: Evens
|Race 5 CLASS 1 HCP (1200m):|
Progressive Goulburn 4YO 2. Newtown Braveheart charged home despite covering ground to win his maiden at only second start. This shapes as an ideal follow-up, same weight and distance and from a soft trailing draw.
Dangers: Watch the market around ex-SA 4YO 11. Flying Arion having his first run with gear changes for a new Riverina stable; while resuming mare 6. Rebel Romance can run a race fresh with significant gear changes.
How to play it: Newtown Braveheart to win. Odds and Evens: Split a special
Newtown Braveheart wins at Goulburn on November 4
|Race 6 BM 58 HCP (1600m):|
Out to the mile for another competitive field. Ex-Victorian mare 5. Sharlie continues to impress having won two straight from well off the speed for new Albury stable. Up in weight, but like her staying at this trip, and she can round them up again.
Dangers: Improving 6YO 1. Boogie Woogie has won his last two, and earnt a crack at this stronger field, although doubt he's beaten the handicapper up to 61.5kg. Capable 7YO 3. Defy has been contesting stronger races around this distance, although also up sharply in weight. Likes to get out wide and come home from well off the speed, so don't be concerned by the wide barrier.
How to play it: Sharlie to win. Odds and Evens: Odds
|Race 7 CLASS 1 HCP (1400m):|
Tough one to finish and there are plenty of chances. Albury mare 8. Tidal Force led all the way to win her maiden third-up, and bred to handle these conditions.
Dangers: Must include talented Warwick Farm filly 12. Sally Pops who easily landed a big betting move first-up at Bathurst, and senior country rider goes on. Albury 4YO 3. Shadow Company also returned off a long absence with a maiden win at home, but this is tougher from a more testing gate.
How to play it: Tidal Force to win. Odds and Evens: Split.