By Neil Evans
Track Heavy 9 and rail out 4m from 1000m to Winning Post so generally around the speed before late trend wider out
|Race 1 3YO MAIDEN HCP (1000m):|
Yet another rain-soaked track so the flippers are on in a very tricky opener. Coffs Harbour filly 6. Qadira Star from the Sally Taylor stable boxed on strong debuting in a handy maiden here, and the blinkers go on among a stack of gear changes.
Dangers: Local filly 5. Atlantic Lite was right behind the place-getters here resuming, but steps on to a heavy surface for the first time.
How to play it: Qadira Star to win. Odds and Evens: Split.
|Race 2 CLASS 1 & MAIDEN PLATE (2000m):|
Plenty of chances here, with most getting out to this longer trip. Newcastle mare 3. Tessa Burrito from the Kris Lees stable is ready for this distance now after hitting the line hard in two deeper affairs. Drawn out, but clearly one of the better wet trackers in the race. Was scheduled to go around at Monday's postponed Cessnock meeting.
Dangers: Stablemate mare 4. Wild Sheila also did her best work late in that same mile race at Scone, and gets some weight relief, but doesn't have the heavy track credentials of the top selection. Port Macquarie 4YO 5. Flying Mojo is hard fit and also has a liking for wet tracks.
How to play it: Tessa Burrito each way. Odds and Evens: Split.
|Race 3 MAIDEN PLATE (1250m):|
Keen on Wauchope 3YO 3. Highbury from the Colt Prossor yard who was due to race at Sunday's cancelled Coffs meeting, but can re-load here. Has hit the line well all three runs this prep, and in only start on heavy ground over the mile at Gosford was beaten narrowly.
Dangers: Promising 2YO filly 11. La Girl was scratched from a deeper maiden at Gosford on Saturday to be saved for this. Was solid first-up in heavy ground on the Kensington track off a long spell, and looks beautifully in here on 54.5kg. Wyong 2YO 10. Royal Charge has been close up in two runs back on soft ground, but not convinced these conditions will suit; while big watch on Coffs filly 7. The Red One who was heavily backed first-up in heavy ground at Ballina.
How to play it: Highbury to win. Odds and Evens: Odds
Highbury runs second at Grafton on July 9
|Race 4 CLASS 2 HCP (1250m):|
Tough and open race. Progressive Newcastle filly 7. Jaja Chaboogie from the Lees stable faces more pressure here after a dominant second start maiden win in heavy ground at Tamworth where she sat outside the lead on a moderate tempo. Breeding suggests the wetter the better, and she's still the one to beat.
Dangers: Port Macquarie 3YO 3. Stonecold Flex keeps turning up in handy races after bolting in his maiden here in autumn. Was only run down late in a BM 58, and while this is a shade tougher, drops in weight and will handle the going. Port Macquarie filly 11. Money Heist didn't finish off resuming in a strong CL1 at Grafton, but trainer has rung the gear changes, and she's bred to thrive on heavy tracks. Don't dismiss another Lees runner, 8. Mbappe who knocked up resuming in a good CL1 at Scone, but only win so far was second-up and can improve sharply at big odds.
How to play it: Jaja Chaboogie to win. Odds and Evens: Odds
Jaja Chaboogie wins at Tamworth on July 13
|Race 5 BM 66 HCP (1250m):|
Tricky race now the tempo will be a lot softer. Keen on Newcastle filly 3. Illecebrous from the Lees stable who is in the best form of her career charging home from midfield to win her last two, although rises in weight.
Dangers: Port Macquarie mare 2. Typhoon Bonny can mix her form, but generally saves the best for heavy-rated tracks. Include local 4YO 10. Flash Palace who drops back in trip if you're playing the wider exotics.
How to play it: Illecebrous to win. Odds and Evens: Split.
|Race 6 BM 58 HCP (1000m):|
Hard to see Newcastle 3YO 1. Star Raider from the Lees yard being beaten first-up as a gelding with a 4kg claim, provided she leaves the barrier okay. Finished ahead of Le Romain in the second of two trials on a Soft 7 despite a tardy beginning, and on debut last spring bolted in as a hot favourite at Moree.
Dangers: Wyong 3YO 5. Mathematics charged home to win a handy CL1 at Dubbo two runs back, and has a real preference for wet ground. Home track 4YO 2. Fair Dinkum is a threat off his strong finishing second-up effort here, although handicapper hasn't missed him up 5kg to 61kg, and not convinced he's at home in ultra heavy ground. Include Wauchope 5YO 6. Chief Havoc who has surged home late to win his last two, and while this is tougher, he thrives on rain-affected going.
How to play it: Star Raider to win and trifecta 1,5/1,2,5,6/1,2,5,6. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 7 BM 58 HCP (1600m):|
Another open one to finish & they may be tracking very wide by this stage. Local 3YO 8. Men In Tights from the Wayne Wilkes stable will likely go to the lead, and take some catching with senior country rider back on. First time in the heavy, but has shown plenty in soft going to suggest he'll handle it.
Dangers: Tough Port Macquarie 5YO 4. Condover Hall doesn't win out of turn, but he's been close-up in his last couple, although heavy track figures are not convincing. Expect Newcastle filly 9. Dissenter to improve sharply after failing first-up at Mudgee when easy in betting.
How to play it: Men In Tights to win. Odds and Evens: Split.