Track Good 4 and Rail out 3m from 800m to winning post, and True the remainder
|Race 1 BM 58 HCP (2200m):|
We start a strong meeting over the staying trip. Dubbo 7YO 3. Club Town doesn't win often, but is hard fit, and beaten all bar the winner in his last three. Comes into this after charging home to just miss in a similar race at Dubbo when heavily backed.
Dangers: Newcastle 4YO 2. Political steps up in distance after a tough third-up win at Muswellbrook, but the query is he saves his best form for rain-affected tracks. Tamworth mare 1. Autumn Rain rises sharply in trip after dropping out over the mile here, and gets some much-needed weight relief. Won only previous attempt over this journey, and is drawn to get a charmed run on or near the speed. Include Gilgandra 9YO 6. Zagaya who held off Club Town at Dubbo, and carries the same weight after the claim.
How to play it: Club Town to win. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 2 MAIDEN PLATE (1400m):|
Improving Newcastle filly and favourite 12. Always On Show is the clear one to beat third-up from an ideal draw. Worked home nicely after being ridden quieter last time at home, and will relish the sweeping track.
Dangers: Local filly 13. Keen Contributor will find this more to her liking at the third start, and back on top of the ground, after a fair effort in deeper company at Randwick.
How to play it: Always On Show to win. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 3 MAIDEN PLATE (1400m):|
Take two for the maidens. Home track 4YO mare 9. Inducement is ready to break through third-up and back home on the bigger track.
Dangers: Big watch on 3YO 6. Freckle Rock who debuts for a strong metro stable off two quiet trials, and with blinkers on.
How to play it: Inducement to win. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 4 MAIDEN HCP (1000m):|
Back to the sprint trip in what may prove to be a strong form maiden. Debutant local colt 3. The Wayfarer looks a good one in the making. Has natural early speed winning both spaced trials comfortably, and regular stable rider takes 1.5kg off.
Dangers: Home track 3YO 1. Ranuncula has been freshened up via a handy heavy track trial, and hasn't missed a place in three runs so far finishing hard from well off the speed; while another local filly 7. Baiyka resumes with no public trial, and has ability, but will need to harness all that early speed to get over from the outside barrier.
How to play it: The Wayfarer to win and quinella 1 and 3. Odds and Evens: Odds a special
|Race 5 BM 66 HCP (900m):|
Good quality contest over the short course, and they'll run some time. Smart local 4YO 4. Step On Fire has been given a month since a dominant first-up BM 58 win at Muswellbrook. A little tougher here, but has natural speed, and well treated at the weights after the claim.
Dangers: Newcastle mare 6. Pearl Roan is on the quick back-up, and has a strong record on this track. Will slide over and likely sit just off the top selection. Be surprised if anything else wins, but include in exotics local mare 8. Talaaqy who can improve third-up with crucial gear changes.
How to play it: Step On Fire to win and quinella 4 and 6. Odds and Evens: Evens
Step On Fire wins at Muswellbrook on October 19
|Race 6 F & M BM 58 HCP (1300m):|
Talented home track four-year-old mare 4. Mother's Mercy hasn't started for nearly 11 months since an impressive debut win here. Recent trial was strong, and she looks the one to beat, although anything well into odds-on appears under the mark.
Dangers: Got plenty of time for Newcastle mare 1. Leisa Louise who has been hard in the market and found the line well in two runs this prep. Blinkers have been added, and she gets a pivotal 3kg claim. Local 5YO 6. Now Or Never resumed with a strong closing effort at Muswellbrook despite being unwanted in betting, but hasn't fired a shot second-up so far; while at bigger odds 7. Yulong Monoceros can drive into the finish after hitting the line in her last two, and she draws to get plenty of cover.
How to play it: Mother's Mercy to win and quinella 1 and 4. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 7 C, G & E BM 58 HCP (1300m):|
Now the boys' edition. Progressive Wyong colt 5. Thailand can go back-to-back after an impressive and dominant win charging home at Muswellbrook at only his second start. By a Cox Plate winner, and will lap up the long stretch here.
Dangers: Local 5YO 1. Free Rider had been close-up all prep until dropping right out in a tougher Highway at Rosehill in heavy ground. All three wins have come on firm ground, but back up sharply in weight from a wide draw are big queries. Watch the betting on resuming Newcastle 5YO 4. Lucitor who hasn't started for 10 months, and comes in off two quiet trials.
How to play it: Thailand to win. Odds and Evens: Odds.
Thailand wins at Muswellbrook on November 3
|Race 8 CLASS 1 HCP (1100m):|
We close the card with a competitive sprint, and this looks a race in two, both having been scratched from Dubbo on Sunday to be saved for this. Talented Tamworth mare 1. The First Of May resumes for a third prep off a dynamic trial win at Gunnedah by seven lengths. Drawn well, and supremely weighted after a 3kg claim.
Dangers: Smart local mare 3. Lady Patricia is the clear threat at her fourth start, with blinkers going on. Bolted in at Muswellbrook two runs back before doing her best work late in a handy CL1. Gap to the rest headed by home track 6YO 5. Eleazar who is much better than his strike rate suggests, and wasn't far off Step On Fire last time under a bigger weight.
How to play it: The First Of May to win and quinella 1 and 3. Odds and Evens: Odds a special.