By Neil Evans
Track improving to Good 4 and rail true so should play fairly even
|Race 1 F & M MAIDEN PLATE (1100m):|
The girls get us underway at set weights, and there's seemingly two chances. If hard fit Scone filly 4. Inferno Miss from the Stephen Jones stable gets over from the wide draw, she's the one to beat. Has run three straight seconds, the latest hitting the line well at home, and this looks much easier.
Dangers: Liked the first-up run of Newcastle filly 12. The Spell finishing off well in a deeper maiden at Taree, and draws to get cover just off the speed. Muswellbrook filly 5. Magic Smile also draws out, but looks clear best of the rest.
How to play it: Inferno Miss to win and quinella 4 and 12. Odds and Evens (First 2): Evens
|Race 2 C, G & E MAIDEN PLATE (1100m):|
Now the boys' turn over the same distance, and another one from the Jones yard at Scone, 3YO gelding 7. Glendor gets his chance at big odds from a low draw after finishing off well in a stronger maiden at Pt Macquarie. Form prior was mixed, but top country hoop goes on.
Dangers: Former Snowden-trained 3YO 3. Devan, having his first start for the Adam Duggan stable, has been consistently around the money in stronger provincial maidens all prep, and is the obvious threat despite drawing the outside barrier. Newcastle 3YO 5. Excelsa wouldn't need to improve much at fourth start dropping in grade from the provincials.
How to play it: Glendor each way and quinella 3 and 7. Odds and Evens: Odds
|Race 3 MAIDEN HCP (1600m):|
Open and tactical battle. Progressive 3YO filly 13. Rainy Day from the Nathan Doyle yard at Newcastle has let punters down in her last few, and again comes up with a with draw, but still boasts the most scope and talent. Has hit the line hard from well back in her last three, and under 55kg is the best weighted runner in the field. Will go back again and be saved for one last surge, so the mile is ideal.
Dangers: Gosford 6YO 1. Jay 'N' Jay is bursting to break through having run five seconds from nine starts, and placed in both runs back. Will find this easier, but still has to get over from a wide gate under a big weight stepping up to the mile. Muswellbrook mare 11. Our Eppy is ready for the mile fourth-up after doing her best work late in a handy maiden at Pt Macquarie. Expect Newcastle 4YO 9. Munsa Magic to be in the finish dropping in quality and weight; while Tamworth filly 8. Miss Mercia improved at her fourth start finishing well at Armidale.
How to play it: Rainy Day to win and trifecta 1,11,13/1,8,9,11,13/1,8,9,11,13. Odds and Evens: Odds
|Race 4 BM 58 HCP (2000m):|
Good quality race for this grade. Improving Newcastle 4YO 2. The Premier progressed nicely in a dominant second-up win at Pt Macquarie, and should be able to roll to the front again from a handy draw. Up sharply in trip, but can dictate again.
Dangers: Rival Newcastle 5YO 3. Expiredtime got right under the market radar second-up at Muswellbrook powering home from midfield at big odds, and will relish the rise in trip, although prefers rain-affected going. Include Wyong 6YO 4. Oakfield General from the inside draw in wider exotics.
How to play it: The Premier to win. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 5 CLASS 1 HCP (1450m):|
Open race, with plenty of chances headed by 3YO gelding 2. Jahbath from the Tamworth stable of Cody Morgan who has been okay in his last couple against deeper opposition. Can peak now from the good draw, with a couple of pivotal gear changes.
Dangers: Improving 3YO filly 5. Power Bells charged home to win his maiden fourth-up at Taree in dominant fashion, and even better suited over more ground. Capable Inverell mare 6. Queen's Song hasn't been far off them in three runs since landing her maiden at home, and draws to get a lovely trail just behind the speed, with form rider aboard. Tamworth 4YO 9. Mick's Regret is hard fit and been attacking the line strongly from well back all prep, but the fence draw does his racing pattern no favours.
How to play it: Jahbath each way and trifecta 2,5,6/2,5,6,9/2,5,6,9. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 6 C, G & E BM 58 HCP (1100m):|
Competitive sprint, but under-rated 5YO gelding 2. Khitaamy from the Carmen Murnane stable at Gosford looks primed to finally win again from a handy draw over his pet distance. Has found the line strong in last few against better opposition, and draws to get a stalking trail just off the speed.
Dangers: Big-striding Newcastle 4YO 1. Schemer comes back in trip, and will need a tonne of speed on up front to get over the top, but has been finishing off in deeper races. Expect sharp improvement second-up from capable Gosford 4YO 5. Geotime back on firmer ground; while Tamworth 5YO 9. Kensington Kid hasn't been far away all prep, and better suited back to this trip.
How to play it: Khitaamy to win. Odds and Evens: Split
Khitaamy runs second at Scone on April 21
|Race 7 F & M BM 58 HCP (1100m):|
The girls' close the meeting over same trip and grade. Consistent 3YO filly 4. Divisadero from the Paul Perry yard at Newcastle finished close-up resuming at Muswellbrook, and normally maintains good form early through the prep. Only missed a place three times in eight starts, and 2kg claim helps off-set a wide draw.
Dangers: Rival Newcastle mare 2. Yulong Monoceros needs to improve, but is hard fit and finds an easier race, with winkers coming off; while watch the market on Gunnedah staying mare 6. Bring The Joy who resumes without a public trial, but can sprint well fresh.
How to play it: Divisadero to win. Odds and Evens: Split.
Divisadero runs fourth at Muswellbrook on May 1