By Neil Evans
Showers increasing so track likely to slip into soft range, with rail true, so on-pace early before levelling out.
|Race 1 BM 58 HCP (1280m):|
Not much between this lot, so wider exotics in play. Sticking with last-start Bathurst winner 4. Attilius who before that was close-up in a stronger BM 66 on Mudgee Cup day. Shown to handle softer ground and should park just off the speed.
Dangers: Looks a suitable race too for Bathurst-trained 5. Leap Of Legend who won two starts back this grade at Warren and again hit the line hard from midfield at home last start. Has a liking for soft ground, and rider takes 3kg off. Resuming 1. Bulletson for strong Warwick Farm stable has the class fresh, but forced to carry a big weight and will get back; Hawkesbury 3YO 2. Brown Thomas is also first-up; while 3. Eyesaw gets a lovely run in transit for strong local stable.
How to play it: First four 1-4/1-2-3-4-5
|Race 2 F & M BM 58 HCP (1280m):|
Lightly-raced Warwick Farm mare 1. Terra Reign has the class and form to dominate a race with little depth, despite big weight. Two starts back was brave winning a BM 58 on Mudgee Cup day, the second horse having since powered home to run third in a Randwick Highway; and last start was solid to the line this track. Little query running out this trip, but should sit off the fence behind the speed and surge early in the straight.
Dangers: Bathurst mare 3. Worldly Pleasure was just behind Terra Reign in that CL2 after winning here the previous start; while Hawkesbury mare 4. Pretty Song will improve second-up at the longer trip.
How to play it: Terra Reign to win.
Terra Reign's last start second at Orange on December 30
|Race 3 CL2 HCP (1400m):|
Warwick Farm mare 2. Pamela is first up for five months, but liked her last trial at home, pushed out doing her best work late behind a tearaway winner. Lightly-raced former Victorian who just missed on debut over the same distance nearly a year ago, and then won her maiden second-up when heavily-backed. Has raced over further, but this looks and ear-marked distance for her return.
Dangers: Gosford mare 1. Directory was very good storming home to win two starts back before again charging home at Gunnedah, although inside draw this track could be awkward. Nyngan-trained 3. Nuang Zhong is on the rise putting two wins together in weaker grade.
How to play it: Pamela and Directory both to win.
|Race 4 MAIDEN HCP (1000m):|
Well-bred Warwick Farm filly 7. Unimpeded was pushed out in heavy ground to win a recent city trial and looks ready to go on debut. Has enough early speed to off-set wide barrier.
Dangers: Another Warwick Farm runner 4YO mare 1. All Too Good went close to that maiden win through the winter, and returns off a quiet trial. The rest seemingly are making up the numbers.
How to play it: Unimpeded to win.
|Race 5 BM 66 HCP (1000m):|
Competitive sprint, although Bathurst mare 3. Jetgirl looks well placed coming back from tougher grades, despite the sharp rise in weight. Took on a strong metro field two runs back before a dominant BM 75 win at Dubbo. Will come over and likely sit outside or just behind the leader, and pounce early in the straight.
Dangers: Mudgee mare 5. Reprimand has been given a little freshen-up and is smart on her day, but won't want it much worse than good; while big watch on Warwick Farm-trained 4. Alvin Purple who hasn't started for six months, but normally sprints well fresh and is a proven weight carrier. Widely travelled 1. Gadfly had been finding the line well enough before saluting in a much weaker grade last start. Has a nice cosy draw but big weight to carry, so best in exotics.
How to play it: Jetgirl to win and box exacta 3-4-5
|Race 6 MAIDEN PLATE (1400m):|
Competitive and deeper maiden. Warwick Farm colt 7. Perigord hasn't missed a place in three career starts, and is ready to win after a strong effort on Mudgee Cup day and good closing second at Gosford when easy in betting.
Dangers: Rosehill-trained 9. Reptilian Rider hit the line hard on debut at Bathurst, and drops in weight for second-up task. Big watch too on Warwick Farm-trained 6. Greenskeeper who was beaten a long way resuming at Goulburn, but chased home two smart and city-class youngsters.
How to play it: Perigord to win and quinella 7 and 9.
|Race 7 CL1 HCP (1280m):|
This looks ideal for Gulgong-trained 3YO 3. Larynx. Powered home to win his maiden at Dubbo two runs back, before sound to the line behind two good gallopers in much stronger CL1 than this.
Dangers: Bathurst-trained 13. Electrified was strong to the line first-up and should improve with winkers on for the first time; while Nyngan 4YO 2. Huang Zhong also looks capable of finishing in the money this grade after winning his last two.
How to play it: Larynx to win.
Larynx runs third at Orange on December 30