By Neil Evans
Track Heavy 8/9, rail +3m from 850m to 350m into a cut/away so tricky pattern likely to favour on or just off the speed.
|Race 1 CL3 HCP (1200m):|
Kembla mare 2. Speed And Style is rock hard fit having won her last two after a string of close seconds. Strong in wet ground and parks right on the speed. The one to beat.
Dangers: Rival Kembla gelding 1. Shapur resumes and is a threat in this ground. Won his maiden first-up last prep at Hawkesbury, and a proven weight carrier. Moruya mare 3. Airfree is also returning and has a good first-up record. Won only previous start in heavy ground.
How to play it: Speed And Style to win and quinella 1 and 2.
|Race 2 C, G & E BM 58 HCP (1100m):|
Not a lot of depth here which augurs well for 3YO Kembla gelding 3. Bijalee who careered away to win his maiden on heavy ground this track last start, and can go on with it in similar conditions. Scratched from a later race.
Dangers: Rival Kembla 3YO 1. Greyt Weekend is the class runner who carries weight well, but some query in heavy ground; while 4YO Muswellbrook gelding 5. Dragoneight wasn't disgraced in a stronger Randwick Highway two back before finishing off okay in a BM 58 at Tamworth. Hawkesbury 7YO 2. Anne's Gift has a poor strike rate, but saves his best for heavy-rated ground; while another Kembla-trained gelding 6. Lord Boulevard won three runs back this track, and went across the line right with Greyt Weekend last start at Moruya.
How to play it: Bijalee to win and first four 1-3-5/1-2-3-5-6.
Bijalee wins at Nowra on June 18
|Race 3 F & M BM 58 HCP (1100m):|
A little more depth in the girls' edition headed by Hawkesbury mare 2. Silly Sally who can progress after scoring a dominant maiden win from the front at Cessnock, and also scratched from that same later race. Wasn't far off Shapur in only heavy track run back in March, and that galloper resumes in Race 1 so look for the form franking.
Dangers: Local 3YO filly 6. Valachi started favourite on debut this track on a Heavy 10, but was overwhelmed late after leading. Then flashed home to win at Moruya when ridden much quieter, and looks a big danger from the draw. Warwick Farm mare 8. Fleeting Princess resumes from a good draw, and should handle the track; while South Care mare 7. Sestina has fair soft track form.
How to play it: Silly Sally to win and quinella 2 and 6.
Silly Sally wins at Cessnock on June 3
|Race 4 MAIDEN PLATE (1100m):|
Wide open battle, with some metro-based juveniles either on debut or resuming, so the market will have a big say. Like 3YO Kembla gelding 4. Tic Tock Man who found the line nicely first up this track on a Heavy 10 behind Bijalee who runs in Race 2. Drawn wide, but was competitive enough in much stronger maidens last prep, and this looks a suitable return.
Dangers: Big watch on debutant Rosehill filly 6. Musically Gifted (Swiss Ace x Symphony by Fastnet Rock) who trialled nicely on heavy ground; while Include Warwick Farm 2YO 11. Manhattan Marvel who resumes for strong juvenile yard off a nice trial, and bred to handle heavy tracks; while expect improvement from 3YO Warwick Farm gelding 1. Entitlement who didn't fire a shot resuming at Scone.
How to play it: Tic Tock Man to win.
|Race 5 BM 66 HCP (1400m):|
Not many without a chance in this, although like 3YO Kembla gelding 1. Spectre coming back in trip from a much stronger BM 78 at Randwick over the mile. Was forced a long way back from a wide draw that day, but will be much closer here from a better gate. Obvious sharp rise in weight, but previous form, including a close-up second at Warwick Farm, very strong around this grade.
Dangers: This looks suitable for improving 4YO Goulburn mare 9. Revitup Rednut who has hit the line hard in consecutive Randwick Highways on heavy ground, and looking for this trip now. Warwick Farm mare 8. Citizen's Arrest is also improving charging home to just miss on a Heavy 10 against weaker this track, and gets some weight relief from the inside barrier. Warwick Farm gelding 3. Funky Music has been hitting the line hard from well off the pace all prep, and loves rain-affected ground. Will drift back, but watch for him late. Local 5YO gelding 2. Dansu hasn't won for a while, but never far away in deeper company in his last few. Kembla 3YO 5. Chicken Salade also finds it hard to win, but did his best work late on a Heavy 9 at home track last start, and rider is in a purple patch of form; while Randwick mare 7. One Fire Beach comes back from BM 70 metro grade, but would still need to improve in these conditions.
How to play it: Spectre to win and first four 1-8-9/1-2-3-5-7-8-9.
|Race 6 BM 58 HCP (1600m):|
Tough race, but like the value around 4YO Moruya mare 7. Georgian Court who peaks now in the right conditions. Has been close-up in two runs back, and improves again over longer trip. Won only previous run on heavy ground.
Dangers: Plenty of them headed by local 5YO mare 3. High Potential, despite only one win and nine placings from 24 starts, has continued to improve this prep. Draws well and has shown a liking for wet ground. Similarly, hard to believe Rosehill gelding 1. Dashing Special took 30 starts to win his maiden at Hawkesbury, but was placed 13 times previously, often well in the market and behind a progressive galloper. Has the ability, but back up sharply in weight. Kembla 5YO 2. Old Man's Angel has attacked the line in all three runs this prep, and shown a preference for rain-affected ground. Kembla 3YO 4. Tudor Prince who is second up; and Warwick Farm filly 6. First Lady who won her maiden second-up at Bathurst; are both each way hopes.
How to play it: Georgian Court each way and first four 2-3-7/1-2-3-4-6-7.
|Race 7 MAIDEN PLATE (1400m):|
It doesn't get any easier here, with most of these untested in heavy ground. Kembla mare 5. Eskimo River came off a long break, and was well backed when fair to the line behind Bijalee and Tic Tock Man who are both fancied earlier on the card. Can improve again over this longer trip.
Dangers: Stablemate 3YO 3. Stryke The Gates hit the line hard first-up at the Sapphire Coast, and wet track form is solid enough. Big watch on 3YO Warwick Farm filly and first starter 6. Lunar Rain (Manhattan Rain x Lundi by Charge Forward) who has been given plenty of time at the trials, generally in soft ground. Also include another 3YO Warwick Farm filly 13. Unloch The Rock who finished right alongside Lunar Rain in that latest trial.
How to play it: Eskimo River each way.
|Race 8 CL1 HCP (1100m):|
Thin race. Kembla 4YO 6. Direct Default struggles to win, but was right on the heels of Doctor Zous two starts back, then beaten under 2 lens by Speed And Style on a heavy 10 last start. If he reproduces that is the one to beat.
Dangers: Kembla mare 7. Our Girl Hollie comes out of that race behind Speed And Style when well specked in the market. Warwick Farm 2YO 8. Head On was run off his feet in two runs back before improving significantly to bolt in his maiden this track on a heavy 10, so might just be a wet track "knob;" while local mare 9. Delight split Speed And Style and Direct Default this track last start at big odds, but draws wide.
How to play it: Direct Default to win and trifecta 6-7/6-7-8-9.