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Neil Evans' Tips For Nowra (Friday)

By Neil Evans

Track likely improving to Soft 5, and rail out 2m from 1200m to 800m and 3m from 800m to 350m so fairly even early before a late trend wider

Race 1 C, G & E BM 58 HCP (1100m):

The male sprinters get us underway in an even battle on improving track. Gosford 4YO gelding 1. Bill 'N' Ted from the Adam Duggan stable can break a long winless run in a weaker race. Draws to sit off the speed and finish hard, and looks well weighted in this field.

Dangers: Kembla 5YO 5. Direct Default draws the inside, and has more to offer than his record suggests. Comes through some deeper races, and gets a charmed run right behind the speed. Both Canberra 6YO 2. Our Finvarra and Goulburn 4YO 7. Love Me Broke have done enough in three runs back to be included in exotics.

How to play it: Bill 'N' Ted to win. Odds and Evens: Split.

Bill 'N' Ted runs fifth at Gosford on June 11

Race 2 CLASS 1 HCP (1100m):

Three runners can fight this out! Keen on 4YO gelding 2. Black Star Bowie at the value from the Vigouroux stable at Hawkesbury second-up over a little more ground. Did his best work late resuming here, and carries 1kg less with a stronger rider going on. Will settle back from a wide draw and finish hard.

Dangers: Capable Warwick Farm filly 5. Our Bellagio Miss is a clear threat from the inside gate coming off a dominant heavy track maiden win at Goulburn before out toughed in the last few strides when she looked home. Warwick Farm filly 7. Kiaria returns to the track where she won impressively on debut leading all the way just before Xmas. Has been given a quiet trial, and just needs to get over from a tricky draw to be right there.

How to play it: Black Star Bowie to win and box trifecta 2,5,7. Odds and Evens: Split

Race 3 F & M BM 58 HCP (1100m):

Now the all-girls get a crack at the same trip. Consistent Goulburn mare 4. Turfeze from the Scott Collings stable looks ultra hard to beat from a soft draw. Hasn't missed a place in four runs back, including a maiden win at Canberra, and a strong chasing effort in a handy CL2 at Bathurst stacks up well for this.

Dangers: Canberra mare 3. Onthetake has been hitting the line nicely all prep without winning, and while the inside draw won't help her natural pattern, look out if she gets the last shot off a solid tempo. Local 3YO filly 8. Foxy Free has come off the boil in her last two on wetter tracks, but back on firmer ground and from a nice draw, she can improve sharply.

How to play it: Turfeze to win. Odds and Evens: Evens

Turfeze runs second at Bathurst on June 15

Race 4 MAIDEN PLATE (1100m):

Another one over the same sprint distance, and it's tough, with most either resuming or on debut. Going with 3YO Warwick Farm filly 7. Moetta from the Greg Hickman yard first-up off a six month spell and quiet trial. Hit the line hard from well back on debut at Ballina, and is drawn to settle closer.

Dangers: Kembla 2YO 10. Noble Soldier finished strongly in heavy ground on debut at home when specked in the market, and again drawn to find cover and hit the line. Watch the betting on Warwick Farm 3YO 2. Pacific Ocean who resumes off a lengthy break as a gelding, with gear changes, and a smart trial win. Another 'Farm filly 8. Pocket Missile is a market watch resuming off two trials, with the blinkers removed; while include in exotics another Kembla 2YO 9. Magico Hombre who resumes off a trial win.

How to play it: Moetta to win and first four 7,10/2,7,8,9,10/2,7,8,9,10/2,7,8,9,10. Odds and Evens: Split

Race 5 BM 58 HCP (1400m):

Plenty of hopes in this one, although Hawkesbury 4YO 4. Jin Chi Phantom from the Tommy Wong yard looks ready for the step up to this distance, and back a little in grade. Stormed home to win his maiden at Goulburn two runs back before a good tough effort in the heavy at Kembla when finishing through much inferior ground. Settles off the speed from a decent draw, and will be strong late.

Dangers: Plenty of them headed by Sapphire Coast 4YO 1. Izzy Looking Good who won a CL1 at Moruya two back before sticking on well in a much deeper Highway. Five weeks between runs, but draws a nice gate and big weight is off-set by a 2kg claim. Kembla 6YO 3. Mohican has been well outclassed in his last couple at big odds, but this is a sharp drop in quality, and gets in okay at the weights after the 3kg claim.

How to play it: Jin Chi Phantom each way and quinella 1 and 4. Odds and Evens: Split

Race 6 MAIDEN PLATE (1400m):

Back to the maidens for a very tricky race at set weights, with a stack of hopes. Goulburn 3YO gelding 3. Charm Maker from the Jean Dubois stable is first-up off a very forward trial at Kembla, and stable is renowned for striking fresh.

Dangers: Goulburn 3YO 7. Riot Act looks ready to go first-up for the new yard off an impressive trial win. Should roll forward from the gate, and be in this for a long way. Randwick filly 8. Cicero Field had a tough debut in the heavy at Canterbury, but can settle much closer from the inside barrier in a race with only moderate tempo at best. Warwick Farm filly 12. Waihora Jewel can go close third-up after hitting the line hard in the heavy at Kembla, and draws to get plenty of cover. Kembla filly 10. Ma Bella Rosie was good through the line first-up at home in that same Kembla race, but will need some early luck from an awkward gate.

How to play it: Charm Maker each way. Odds and Evens: Split

Race 7 CLASS 1 & MAIDEN PLATE (1600m):

Loved the way progressive 3YO Warwick Farm filly 8. Enduring Night from the Jason Coyle yard swept home for a dominant maiden win this trip at Goulburn second-up, and under the same weight she can repeat the dose.

Dangers: Improving Kembla filly 7. Eberlee comes through some handy form lines in her last three, including a good effort through inferior ground behind Le Gai Soleil who franked that with a dominant off-speed win at the Kensington track on Wednesday. South Coast 4YO 2. Lord Desanimaux draws the inside, and comes back in trip after twice looming to win at Canberra, but finding one or two stronger over the final 100m.

How to play it: Enduring Night to win. Odds and Evens: Split

Race 8 BM 66 HCP (1600m):

Open and competitive mile to finish. Improving 4YO mare 12. Chapelis from the Greg Hickman stable at Warwick Farm looks well placed third-up out to this trip. Has charged through the line late in two similar races at Bathurst, and both career wins from only eight starts have come at this track.

Dangers: Rival 'Farm 4YO 5. Hemsted carried 61kg to beat Chapelis at Bathurst two runs back before being easily over-run in a smart CL3 field at Scone. Better suited here, and draws a nice trailing gate. Hawkesbury 5YO 10. Hendo's Magic swept home to win a BM 66 fresh at Muswellbrook before right behind Chapelis at Bathurst. Also suited out to the mile. Kembla filly 11. Noble Belle also loves this track, with all three career wins here, including last-start power finish from well off the speed. Tougher opposition here, but draws to be tucked away back in the field and produced late; while Warwick Farm 4YO 6. Malthouse is hard fit and best of the rest.

How to play it: Chapelis to win and trifecta 5,10,12/5,6,10,11,12/5,6,10,11,12. Odds and Evens: Split

All the fields, form and replays for Friday's Nowra meeting

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