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Neil Evans' Tips For Newcastle (Monday)

By Neil Evans

Track Good 4 and rail out 8m so on-pace early before levelling out.

Race 1 CL2 HCP (900m):

Competitive race. Muswellbrook 4YO 2. Wrongfully Wrong was in the market and close-up in a strong return at Cessnock, and normally holds form into second-up run. Draws the right gate to stalk the speed on a track that should suit.

Dangers: Newcastle filly 7. No Doubt Acracker charged home to win her maiden first-up first-up at Muswellbrook and looks suited back on home track for leading trainer/rider combination. Wyong 3YO 4. Gidgee Guy split the winner and Wrongfully Wrong in that Cessnock CL1 and will be in the finish third-up; while Gosford mare 5. Miss Eimar has put two wins together at Taree and Scone, both times sitting just off the speed, and draws to do similar here.

How to play it: Wrongfully Wrong to win and box trifecta 2-4-5-7

Wrongfully Wrong's first-up run at Cessnock on February 4

Race 2 BM 58 HCP (1200m):

Tricky race, but keen on Hawkesbury-trained 3. Garryfromthebull who gets his chance down in class. Had five spaced run this prep, continually working home behind the place-getters in generally much stronger company, including midfield behind the extra smart metro winner Sylvia's Mother in a CL2 before Xmas. Hard fit and good trailing barrier.

Dangers: Wyong 5YO 1. Oakfield General resumes with a fair fresh record, but big weight. Won this track in a CL1 three runs back; and was very honest in stronger company last prep. Wyong mare 2. Di's Diamond is another one consistently finishing off okay in better races, and gets a nice class drop, but up significantly in weight.

How to play it: Garryfromthebull to win

Race 3 CL1 HCP (1200m):

If Wyong filly 3. Pluck And Lucky gets an even share of luck & tempo to follow from the wide gate, she's the one to beat. Finished hard first-up for six months at Tamworth when heavily backed before a little flat second-up, but still finishing off this trip from a mile back. Again drawn to get well back, but the long straight here is ideal, and should peak third-up in a modest race.

Dangers: Warwick Farm mare 4. Snitzagirl has had two solid runs back in decent company, and looks well placed third-up. Gosford mare 8. Winterconi has been freshened up coming back in trip from a string of nice finishing efforts in similar grade; while Newcastle mare 7. Penny Dreadful improves significantly up in trip and switching to the bigger track.

How to play it: Pluck And Lucky to win.

Pluck And Lucky's first-up run at Tamworth on January 4

Race 4 BM 66 HCP (1400m):

Best race of the day! Warwick Farm 5YO 3. Alvin Purple has been well backed in his last three, hitting the line hard each time and is banging the door down. Consistent weight carrier who draws well and looks supremely suited this track and trip.

Dangers: Plenty of them headed by smart Newcastle 3YO 7. Heredero who overcame trouble to score a nice win in weaker grade at Muswellbrook last start. Ready for the extra journey and class rise. Stablemate 2. More Chilli has gone close in his last three at CL3 level, and while weighted to his best, is another suited by the long run in.

How to play it: Alvin Purple to win.

Race 5 MAIDEN PLATE (900m):

Toughest race of the day, and another one for the short-coursers trying to break their duck. Luck and early race manners will have a huge say! Sticking hard with the race fitness of Wyong 3YO and topweight 1. Hard Reality who has improved each run this prep, and looks ready to break through at sixth start on the bigger and more suitable track.

Dangers: Wyong mare and first starter 5. Smokin' Quartz was ridden out in a nice trial at Wyong, and looks primed to give a sight; while Newcastle mare 3. Ah You With Me has been off the scene for six months, without an official trial, but has ability in this company. Include Newcastle filly 7. Last Ace who resumes for strong stable off a quiet trial in the exotics.

How to play it: Hard Reality to win.

Race 6 MAIDEN HCP (1200m):

Warwick Farm 3YO 3. Ta Chanson resumed with a strong closing effort at Scone after covering plenty of ground from a wide gate, and looks well suited here second-up from the better barrier.

Dangers: Liked the trial of Newcastle filly 4. Raay Of Time who worked home nicely under a hold at Wyong, and at only previous run last winter wasn't beaten far coming off a winning trial. Big watch on Newcastle filly 6. Unforgettable on debut off two quiet trials.

How to play it: Ta Chanson to win and quinella 3 and 4.

Race 7 CL1 HCP (1600m):

Keen on Newcastle filly 4. Itz Lily who won her maiden resuming at Taree before finishing on as a well backed favourite at Cessnock. Looking for the extra trip and bigger track now and this suits third-up.

Dangers: Improving 5YO 2. Antonio's Pride made up a lot of ground resuming at big odds this track three weeks back, and having been competitive in stronger grade up to 2100m last prep, this distance looks ideal second-up. Wyong 3YO 1. Holy Reign finished down the middle to win his maiden second-up at Kembla, and while he undoubtedly has the ability, up to the mile with 60kg is a big ask! Goulburn 4YO 4. Rock 'Em Sock 'Em struggles to win, but gets a claim on a track that will be suit.

How to play it: Itz Lily to win and box exacta 1-2-4.

All the fields, form and replays for Monday's meeting at Newcastle

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