By Neil Evanns
Showcase Cup Day meeting, with track Soft 5/6 and Rail True, so should gradually trend towards the middle
|Race 1 CL 1 HCP (920m):|
Play it again Sam for local mare 2. Exceed The Night after winning this track, trip and in similar ground just before Xmas. Sits on the speed for leading trainer/rider duo.
Dangers: Doubt there are any, but Canberra mare 1. Revitup Rednut will be finishing hard back in trip off a little freshen-up; while local mare 3. Denesc loomed up last start in a CL 1 this track, and if she can stay somewhere in touch early, should be charging late into the money.
How to play it: Exceed The Night to win
|Race 2 MAIDEN PLATE (1425m):|
Like local mare 9. Tipta Josie fourth-up who was well supported in a strong maiden last start and hit the line hard from a mile back. Powerful off-speed type suited by the extra journey.
Dangers: Big watch on Goulburn filly 11. Indian Star who was okay on debut at home, but expected to improve for strong stable. Another local 4. Clergyman also found the line nicely, and should improve again up in trip and from good draw third-up. Goulburn-trained Kembla-trained 2. Noble House was good at home last start; while big respect for Kembla visitor 6. Storm Attack who was unwanted in betting at Goulburn but still finished off like this trip will be made to order third-up.
How to play it: Tipta Josie to win; quinella 9 and 11.
Tipta Josie's last start seventh at Moruya on December 23
|Race 3 CL1 HCP (1425m):|
Tough and competitive race, but locally-trained 2. Ethanicity gets his chance to win again from a good barrier. Was well backed and not beaten far behind smart mare Elegant Ellen who then ran a brave second in a stronger Randwick Highway on Saturday. Two starts back powered home at the Sapphire Coast under more weight and the winner has since saluted again at Canberra.
Dangers: Local mare 6. No Doubt Ma'am was good first-up in Cl2 this track behind Elegant Ellen; while 3YO Braidwood filly 7. Run Like A Rebel won her maiden two runs back and then just missed in a BM 58 this track. Gets the inside draw.
How to play it: Ethanicity to win.
|Race 4 MAIDEN HCP (1010m):|
Open and tough race. Expecting big improvement second-up from 3YO local filly 10. Sarzana who was a little flat fresh chasing home Exceed The Night, but the form-line should hold up from R1.
Dangers: Top-weight 1. Shady Diamond resumes in a suitable race for under-rated stable, and was impressive on debut back in Sept when finishing hard at Queanbeyan; while big watch on 3YO Canberra-trained 3. Francisco Pizaro who is first-up after a nice debut at Wagga in Aug; and another Canberra galloper 5. Farage will improve second-up after a fair debut this track.
How to play it: Box exacta 1-3-10
|Race 5 CL3 HCP (1650m):|
Several chances, but warming to Queanbeyan raider 5. Tag And Release who was very good last start in a Sat Highway at Warwick Farm behind smart galloper Moobi, and this track and pattern should suit even better. Earlier in the prep won this track and then scored a dominant BM 58 win at Queanbeyan from off the speed.
Dangers: Canberra 4YO 4. Tyres Are Crucial finished off nicely in a BM 65 Federal at Canberra and looks well placed back to this trip and from a good gate; while both Kembla-trained 3. First Courrier who hit the line hard in a CL3 at Goulburn last start; and Warwick Farm mare 6. Ardanza who will appreciate the drop in class and trip, should be included in exotics.
How to play it: Tag And Release each-way and box trifecta 3-4-5-6
|Race 6 MORUYA TOWN PLATE (1200m):|
Feature sprint looks ideal for Nowra mare 2. Leami Astray who just missed in the Xmas Flying this track after being heavily-backed. Better suited this trip and boasts superior metro form.
Dangers: Goulburn-trained 5. Tiger By The Tale will need plenty of speed on to get over the top, but form in stronger races is sound, and this isn't overloaded with depth; while Kembla-trained 1. Count Dekroner went for a bath in the market fresh, but still won the Xmas Flying. Goes up significantly in weight.
How to play it: Leami Astray to win
|Race 7 MORUYA CUP (1425m):|
Very keen third-up on Randwick-trained 4. Cuba. Hit the line nicely at Wyong last start behind the flying Fuchu, and looks beautifully placed at the weights here.
Dangers: Local 6. Animalia returned with a strong win at Canberra, and looks a big threat here at the weights. Queanbeyan-trained 2. Cliff came back a long way in trip from the Queanbeyan Cup to the Xmas Cup here and was even to the line. Extra distance and a little weight relief both in his favour; while Canberra-trained 5. Appoint Percy has been very consistent of late, including a close second in a strong Mudgee Cup and brave from the front in a BM 70 at Randwick. Will come over from a wide gate and aim to control the race.
How to play it: Cuba to win and quinella 4 and 6
Cuba's last start second to Fuchu at Wyong on December 19
|Race 8 BM 58 HCP (1200m):|
Canberra-trained 3YO 4. Acton Shale was terrific on Xmas-eve at Wagga with a dominant maiden win from the front, and has come back a much stronger galloper. Extra journey shouldn't be a worry, and will appreciate the sting out of the ground.
How to play it: Acton Shale to win.