By Neil Evans
Showcase meeting for Bateman's Bay Cup day. Track Good 4 and Rail True so should play fairly even, with late trend towards the middle
|Race 1 MAIDEN PLATE (1650m):|
Consistent 4YO South Coast gelding 2. Lord Desanimaux looks very well placed third-up at this trip. Ran a string of seconds back in the autumn across handy maiden company up to 2000m, and two runs back this prep were rock solid. Back on firm footing a further plus.
Dangers: Improving 5YO Canberra gelding 1. Costa Chin Chin is slowly working towards a win well into his first prep. Finished hard into the placings at Orange, trip looks ideal fifth-up, and the set weight scale keeps him in the race at 59kg. Goulburn 3YO gelding 10. Rent A Rock is by a former Melbourne Cup winner, and held his own in stronger Highway company third-up at just third start; and watch for big improvement second-up from rival 3YO Goulburn gelding 9. Namarari after dropping out fresh. Has since been given a quiet trial, and the blinkers come off.
How to play it: Lord Desanimaux to win and box trifecta 1,2,9,10. Odds and Evens (First 2): Split
Lord Desanimaux runs second at Nowra on September 22
|Race 2 MAIDEN HCP (1200m):|
South Coast 4YO gelding 16. Thorn Brook gets his chance to crack the maiden at 12th start. Improved on the quick back-up at Nowra to be only run down from the front in the final stride, and even better drawn here to control the splits. Dual acceptor who was preferred here to race three.
Dangers: Local 3YO filly 3. Boom And Zoom has ability, and fought on okay in the heavy last start after leading into the worst part of the track. Back on preferred firm ground, although will need some luck from a wide barrier. Canberra 4YO gelding 2. Balkan Ruler closed off okay in the heavy this track last start, yet would need to find a length or two, but firm track, extra trip and down 2.5kg all combine to put him in the mix. Goulburn 3YO filly and first starter 13. Sun Melody (Dissident x Sun Song by Desert Sun) has been taken along slowly at the metro trials, and draws the fence for strong juvenile stable.
How to play it: Thorn Brook to win. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 3 MAIDEN PLATE (1010m):|
Open affair, but loved the quiet trial on the heavy from 4YO local gelding 2. Pauper who scouted to the outside rail in a small field, and ran through the line under a strong hold. Was always in the placings across stronger maidens in the autumn, and just missed first-up last prep on this track. Looks ready to go to the next level, with the blinkers removed.
Dangers: Canberra 6YO mare 4. Brussels hasn't started for nearly a year, but showed enough ability in that first prep, and recent trial at home was okay. Intrigued to see how imported US-bred mare 10. Raven's Rabbit goes first run in Australia after a nine month break. Was beaten out of sight last run in the US, but joins a strong Canberra stable, and draws a nice gate. Obvious market watch on Goulburn 4YO 13. Love Me Broke who returns as a gelding for only second start after failing badly as a hot favourite at Canberra in the autumn, and trialled okay behind a smart one. Kembla 3YO filly 12. Foxy Free has been freshened up back in trip, and will find this easier than second-up effort when outclassed in a stronger maiden at home; while 6YO local mare 6. Easy Mover finished off nicely in the heavy last start in a maiden with some depth, although will need plenty of breaks from a wide barrier.
How to play it: Pauper to win. Odds and Evens: Evens
Pauper runs third in a Moruya trial on September 17
|Race 4 CL3 HCP (1010m):|
Deep race, with several chances. Keen on capable five-year-old Braidwood mare 2. Elegant Ellen who has been freshened up for this shorter trip off a terrific effort in a Highway at Rosehill six weeks back. Consistent on-speed galloper who beat a good Class 2 field at only previous run this track, and comes out of a small but one of the more under-rated stables in country NSW.
Dangers: Canberra 6YO gelding 1. Pedway has been hit with 62.5kg returning off a two month break and two forward trials, but only two wins of his career have been first-up, and the blinkers go on. Tough 4YO Nowra gelding 5. Greyt Weekend looks well in this race at the weights after a fighting win from the front at home last start, and he's almost a lock for the trifectas and first fours. Local 4YO mare 7. Heavenly Thunder returns off a mid year prep which doesn't look flash on paper, but she produced some very handy runs in decent company, and always jumped at single figure odds. Can't dismiss 6YO South Coast mare 6. Sheza Danza off that encouraging fresh Highway effort from well back at Randwick, but second-up form is not as good. Local 5YO mare 4. Bellegano made a mockery of her big first-up price charging home to destroy a BM 66 field here, but the win was flattered by a track with significant bias to the extreme outside, and she does seem to save her best for wet tracks; while another locally trained 5YO mare 3. Oxford Angel hasn't been far away all prep, but just lacks a bit of strength over the final furlong.
How to play bit: Elegant Ellen to win and trifecta 1,2,5/1,2,5/1,2,5,6,7/1,2,3,4,5,6,7. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 5 F & M BM 58 HCP (1200m):|
Another open affair. Goulburn 5YO mare 2. Revitup Rednut was disappointing from off the speed in a BM 70 at Canberra after charging home in a Highway at Randwick. But she's down in grade, has a good record on this track, and 4kg claiming apprentice off-sets the big weight significantly.
Dangers: Canberra 4YO mare 3. Rosy Dawn is promising, bolting in her maiden at third in winter, and resumes off two quiet trials. Including 5YO South Coast mare 4. Sestina partially on trust here after failing to hit the line in a Class 2 at Nowra when heavily backed. Up in weight, but this looks a bit weaker, and drop back to 1200m is the key. Local 4YO mare 7. Gossip had a new lease of life after switching from Victoria mid winter storming home from midfield and a wide draw to win her maiden. Was immediately spelled, and hasn't publicly trialled, but leading rider sticks for strong home stable. Queanbeyan 7YO mare 6. Quiano Queen was unwanted in betting, but ploughed through the mud this track and grade last start. Draws even better here, but up sharply in weight, and taking on some better ones here on firm ground which she doesn't prefer. Goulburn 3YO filly 11. Estaverdi returns off a five-month break for her second prep. Broke through second-up at home in the autumn, and didn't do a lot out the back in a recent trial that was solidly run; while 4YO Canberra mare 12. Woollahra Lass hit the line okay in a Class 1 second-up.
How to play it: Revitup Rednut each way and box trifecta 2,3,4,7. Odds and Evens: Split.
|Race 6 CL2 HCP (1425m):|
Progressive 4YO Kembla mare 5. Two Seas scouted wide into the best going and charged home to win in the heavy this track last start. Won his maiden from well off the speed on a good rating in winter, so fires on all surfaces, and drawn to get a lovely trail.
Dangers: Liked the first-up run from rival 4YO Kembla mare 10. Theresa Maree from off the speed at Canberra, and only win so far came at second start back in the autumn. Local 5YO mare 11. Plum Pudding looks a real weighted hope after charging home from the back in her last two, despite being friendless in betting. Sneaks down to 54kg from a favourable draw. Local 4YO gelding 2. No Emotion isn't far away from a third career win after finishing off okay at Kembla, and then outclassed in a strong Highway at Rosehill, but draws wide; while stablemate 5YO mare 4. Judy In Disguise is much better suited back on top of the ground, and down in weight, after failing to run on in the heavy. South Coast 5YO gelding 13. Roseirro has only been average to the line in his last couple, but better suited back in distance and dropping 5kg. Former Tamworth gelding 1. Peyton Place resumes off a seven month spell without a public trial, and has to lump a big weight also from a wide gate; while another local, 5YO gelding 10. Bendethera also down in weight is best of the rest.
How to play it: Two Seas to win and Theresa Maree each way. Odds and Evens: Split.
|Race 7 BM 66 BATEMAN'S BAY CUP (1650m):|
Feature race, with a stack of hopes. Sapphire Coast-based 5YO gelding 3. Garros looks ready to break through fourth-up for a fifth career win. Used to carrying big weights, and made up a tonne of ground late at Nowra.
Dangers: Progressive 6YO Canberra mare 2. O'princess proved he wasn't just a synthetic specialist after three straight wins at home by charging late to win a BM 66 this track over further. Lightly-raced rival 5YO Canberra gelding 4. Waiheke has also motored home in his last couple, and while this is a clear step up in grade, he's ready to peak third-up. Five weeks between runs off-sets the drop back in trip, and another 4kg apprentice rider gets her back to a competitive 60kg. South Coast gelding 5. Fortune's Path scored a much-deserved win this grade at Nowra after a tough winter battling away in stronger Highway company. Canberra 9YO gelding 1. Le Cavalier has a solid record at this track, but even with a 4kg claimer aboard is weighted to his absolute best, and as he always does will get a long way back; while watch the market on 4YO gelding and former Victorian 7. Chairman's Choice, now with leading Moruya stable, who has been freshened since a BM 58 win over the border five weeks ago. Include both 6YO Kembla gelding 8. Mohican and 5YO Canberra mare 9. Sweet Knuckle, who both just missed in slightly weaker company last start, across wider exotics.
How to play it: Garros each way and box trifecta 2,3,4,5. Odds and Evens: Split.
|Race 8 C, G & E BM 58 HCP (1200m):|
Thinner race which augurs well for lightly raced 6YO local gelding 8. Blitzenrush who charged away to win his maiden in the heavy this track, and gets in very well at the weights after rider's 4kg claim. Over the odds.
Dangers: Braidwood 3YO colt, and stablemate to Elegant Ellen, 9. Delago Bay showed real potential powering home to win his maiden on debut in the heavy this track, but is seemingly bred for wet ground; while another 3YO, Goulburn gelding 12. Clearly Regal improved at his fourth start finishing off nicely, and draws the inside. Canberra 4YO gelding 1. Francisco Pizaro resumes off a four-month break, and has to lump a big weight off only one quiet trial, but normally comes to hand quickly.
How to play it: Blitzenrush each way. Odds and Evens: Split.