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Neil Evans' Tips For Grafton (Tuesday)

By Neil Evans

Track likely Soft, with plenty of lead-up rain and rail true

Race 1 CLASS 2 HCP (1000m):

We kick off a competitive card over the sprint trip. Keen on 3YO filly 4. Voodoo Crown who resumes for a leading country stable off two trials, winning the latest at home in smart fashion. Winkers go on from a good draw, and she's bred to plough through rain-affected going.

Dangers: Speedy 3YO gelding 2. Wave Maker is the clear threat shooting for three straight around the region. Loves to jump and run, and trip is ideal, although no room for error at the start with some quick ones drawn underneath him. Watch the market on resuming 7YO 1. Tikkitala who hasn't publicly trialled and doesn't want it too wet, but has a solid fresh record and meets Wave Maker at equal weights after the claim. Resuming 4YO mare 3. Skilled Artist has also been kept away from the official trials, but draws the inside and only win so far came first-up.

How to play it: Voodoo Crown to win and quinella 2 and 4. Odds and Evens: Evens

Race 2 BM 66 HCP (2200m):

Now the stayers turn in a tactical battle where there isn't much speed about. Coffs Harbour 6YO 2. Sawtell doesn't always deliver, but is a superior galloper on his day. Has been tackling much deeper opposition this prep before working home okay this grade at Murwillumbah. Blinkers back on a is a key gear change.

Dangers: Improving 4YO mare 4. Zavy's Hope put two wins together before moving up the grades, and only collared late after leading for a long way in that same race as Sawtell. Carries the same weight, and already a winner on Soft ground.

How to play it: Sawtell to win and quinella 2 and 4. Odds and Evens: Split

Race 3 CLASS 1 & MAIDEN PLATE (1700m):

Tricky and modest affair at set weights, with a few chances. Murwillumbah 5YO 5. Rumberella can break a run of outs third-up this prep. Don't be put off by his single win from 18 starts. Has placed a further eight times, in need of more ground, and at his most effective on rain-affected going. Scratched from a stronger race later to be saved for this.

Dangers: Taree 5YO 1. Epaulette Prince finally broke through at his 20th start coming from well off the speed in a handy maiden. He does go up 4kg, but this isn't much stronger. Progressive mare 8. Bombay Nights broke through at only her third start sailing home from well off the speed. Liked the way 5YO stablemate 3. Head Up High finished off third-up at Ballina, and a more experienced rider gets back on, but will need to slot in from the outside gate.

How to play it: Rumberella to win. Odds and Evens: Odds

Race 4 MAIDEN PLATE (1000m):

Back to the sprint trip, and very keen on debutant 3YO filly 12. Hallowed Dreams off two trials, winning the latest at this track. From the leading stable, carries only 53.5kg after the claim, and bred to be a real wet track performer by Golden Rose winner Hallowed Crown who was never beaten on a heavy track, out of a mare by prolific sire Show A Heart.

Dangers: Watch the betting on 3YO Coffs first starter 9. Bonchevo who was close-up in a trial here. Improving 4YO 4. Schoona The Better boxed on okay at home on debut in a maiden with some depth, and trainer has removed the blinkers and brought him back in trip. Port 5YO 2. Line Up Girls has made a habit of getting a mile back and finishing off all too late, and is still a maiden after 22 starts. That said, he has placed 66 per cent of the time at this track, and if they go along up front, he'll be the one zooming home late.

How to play it: Hallowed Dreams to win. Odds and Evens: Split

Hallowed Dreams wins a trial at Grafton on September 29

Race 5 MAIDEN PLATE (1400m):

Plenty of chances and formlines in this one. Like the value here about improving Port Macquarie 5YO 7. Prince Arli who can peak fourth-up out to this distance. Was beaten under two lengths by a smart one last start, and had previously trialled well on soft and heavy ground.

Dangers: Ex-Victorian 4YO 1. Alcides has made a quick switch to Coffs Harbour, and steps out for his first run in NSW. Has generally been in the market without figuring in deeper races, so the betting will tell a big story coming back in trip off a five-week freshen-up. Rival Coffs 5YO 2. Collingwood resumes with no public trials, and blinkers have been removed. Local mare 10. Queens Do Dream has been up for a while, but hit the line late last start; while include in wider exotics lightly raced mare 9. Legato Feeling who finished off okay second-up.

How to play it: Prince Arli to win. Odds and Evens: Split

Race 6 BM 58 HCP (1200m):

Capable Coffs Harbour 5YO 3. Beat That can take another step on what already has been a progressive prep. Charged home to win a Class 1 here three runs back, beating Rumberella who is a leading chance earlier in the meeting, and again was strong late winning a similar race at Lismore. Unproven in wet ground, but has superior ability.

Dangers: Local mare 4. Mia's Got Class flew late to win a similar race here two runs back before working home okay under a big weight. Won twice from six starts at this track, and handles cut up ground. The more rain the better for Coffs mare 5. The Red One who won her maiden by more than six lengths on a bog track, and overcame a wide draw to win at Port last start.

How to play it: Beat That to win. Odds and Evens: Split

Race 7 BM 66 HCP (1400m):

Talented Gosford mare 1. Charmed Princess is very well placed here dropping in grade fifth-up. Hit the line hard in a deeper BM 81 at Dubbo two back before again flying home right on the place-getters' heels in the Coonamble Cup. Unbeaten at this track from three starts, and all five career wins from 21 starts have come on soft ground. The one to beat!

Dangers: Former Qld 5YO 2. Magic Wu has her first run for new Lismore stable, and tuned up with an impressive trial win at home. Will need some luck from the wide draw, but loves rain-affected going. Port 5YO 3. Okay Boss is consistent enough in and around this level, and will roll forward from a wider draw.

How to play it: Charmed Princess to win. Odds and Evens: Odds.

Charmed Princess runs fifth at Coonamble on October 11

All the fields, form and replays for Tuesday's Grafton meeting

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