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Neil Evans' Tips For Grafton (Tuesday)

By Neil Evans

Track Good 4 and rail out 4.5m so should play fairly even

Race 1 MAIDEN HCP (1720m):

Improving 4YO 1. Helmet Head has had four runs back this prep, and led for a long way this track and trip last start. On the quick back-up is a good pointer.

Dangers: Coffs 4YO 2. Lookonchina is searching for this trip now after two runs back; while 6. Hichaux has been threatening to break through all prep, and drops sharply in weight for a weaker assignment.

How to play it: Helmet Head to win. Odds and Evens: Split

Race 2 MAIDEN PLATE (1115m):

Plenty of chances in this, with some of the fancies drawn off the track. Not so Murwillumbah 3YO 12. Wave Maker who resumes for only his third start, and first as a gelding. Bolted in a lead-up trial, and crucially gets the inside gate, with winkers going on. Looks ready to fly.

Dangers: Local mare 7. Holiday In Dubai resumes with no public trial and drawn wide, but has versatile speed, and only missed by a whisker here on debut in summer. Far North Coast 3YO 11. Testabello resumes as a gelding off two smart trials, but has to do it from the outside barrier. Include in exotics 5. Kingoftheharbour at long odds who is hard fit and draws to get a nice trail.

How to play it: Wave Maker to win. Odds and Evens: Split.


Wave Maker wins a trial at Murwillumbah on September 17

Race 3 BM 58 HCP (2230m):

Now the restricted stayers in a modest affair. Coffs 6YO mare 4. Rival Mo has an average record, but like the way she's been attacking the line in her last few. Took on much better fields earlier in the prep, and a win is overdue.

Dangers: Gold Coast mare 3. Hayate has been up for a while, but backs up quickly from a similar race here when edged out by a head. Local 8YO 2. Glycine Max hung on to win that race eight days ago and break a long run of outs, but sneaking up in the weights.

How to play it: Rival Mo to win. Odds and Evens: Split.

Race 4 CLASS 1 HCP (1420m):

Lightly raced 5YO 2. Maspoeta has more ability than anything else in the race, and will relish getting back on dry ground. Had been close-up in stronger sprints after winning his maiden, but floundered on a bog track in a CL2 at Ballina.

Dangers: Big watch on 3. Fallow who resumes for a new stable off a lengthy break, and two improving trials. Coffs 4YO 4. Furphy burst through to win his maiden fourth-up at home, but prefers a softer track; while Inverell mare 6. Fight For Love will find this easier than her last two, and gets in light after junior rider's 4kg claim. Coffs mare 1. Could You Be Loved is best of the rest fourth-up with a 2kg claim.

How to play it: Maspoeta to win. Odds and Evens: Evens

Race 5 CLASS 1 HCP (1115m):

Keen on resuming and progressive local mare 4. Queenofthecastle who hasn't publicly trialled, but comes to hand quickly. Hit the line hard first-up last time, and can settle back off what should be a solid speed.

Dangers: Ex South Australian mare 3. Autumn Splendour hasn't started for more than seven months, but won a recent trial, and looks ready for the leading Far North Coast stable. Local 5YO 1. Moringa's Amordoro careered away for an impressive debut win here, and been given four weeks to prepare for this next level.

How to play it: Queenofthecastle to win and quinella 3 and 4. Odds and Evens: Split

Race 6 BM 58 HCP (1115m):

Similar restricted sprint augurs well for home track mare 7. Savanna Jeune who has been banging on the door all prep. Was close up in a deeper maiden here eight days ago, and a little more ground on the quick back-up is a bonus. Preferred here to the last race.

Dangers: Lismore 6YO 3. Dexter Dutton was beaten under a length in that same sprint as the top selection, but will need to slot in early from a wider draw. Improving 6YO 12. Mosserati beat a weak field here last time, but had plenty in reserve, and looks up to this lot from a soft draw; while tough Port 7YO 1. Bengalley Lad is more of a wet tracker, but has been finding the line consistently in better races.

How to play it: Savannah Jeune to win and trifecta 3,7,12/1,3,7,12/1,3,7,12. Odds and Evens: Odds

Race 7 CLASS 3 HCP (1215m):

Keen on local 5YO 7. Bozeman who can make it two from his last three coming back in distance. Bolted in a BM 58 here as a heavily backed favourite before only collared late in a handy BM 66. Boast a strong record on this track and drawn to get a peachy run.

Dangers: Progressive 4YO 5. Vivendo Il Sogno drops back in class after an average effort in a stronger CL3 at Doomben. Missed by a nose carrying 62kg in a BM 58 the start before, and this trip suits fourth-up. Keep safe Coffs mare 6. Alternative Facts who is hard to catch, but has plenty of ability, and drops in grade second-up off a nice trial. Coffs 7YO 2. Northern Knight is over the odds resuming, with the blinkers coming off. Likes to settle back and hit the line, and has a sound fresh record.

How to play it: Bozeman to win. Odds and Evens: Split


Bozeman runs third at Coffs Harbour on September 13

All the fields, form and replays for Tuesday's Grafton meeting

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