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Neil Evans' Tips For Goulburn (Thursday)

By Neil Evans

Track Soft 5/6 and rail true so likely trend towards the middle of the course.

Race 1 CL2 HCP (1000m):

Good race. Progressive local 4YO gelding 2. Major Danger looks hard to beat. Dominant win from the front in soft ground under a big weight to land his maiden two runs back before well backed when closing solidly this track and grade. Draws ideal and leading metro hoop rides for top local stable.

Dangers: Hawkesbury gelding 1. Banter won three starts back at Moruya and then took on stronger company at Gosford. Better suited here and drawn well, although needs to find a length. Look for big improvement second-up from Rosehill 3YO 3. The Soloist who didn't finish off resuming at Wyong, but better suited here and won his first two career starts this track; while Warwick Farm mare 4. Miss Antares returned off a lengthy break and two trials to win her maiden at Wyong and has come back stronger this time.

How to play it: Major Danger to win and trifecta 2-3/1-2-3-4.

Major Danger's last start fourth at Goulburn on March 2

Race 2 CL2 HCP (1400m):

Like the placement and progression of Warwick Farm-trained 4. Lord Heron who was well backed to win his maiden this track second-up. An All Too Hard gelding suited over a little more ground, and while this is a little tougher, down in weight from a good draw.

Dangers: Warwick Farm 5YO 1. Spring Creek Star wasn't in the hunt first-up in a stronger BM 70 at Canterbury, but had very consistent form through the spring, and down in class here. Randwick mare 3. Casino Angel looks much better suited here after finishing midfield in a BM 64 at Hawkesbury, and then a strong CL1 at Kembla where the first two will go on to win much better races. Hawkesbury mare 5. Cinderconi was never far away in decent CL2 company through the spring, has had two quiet trials ahead of return and does boast a first-up win. Nowra visitor 9. Tearaway Charlie finds it hard to win, but has hit the line hard in his last couple, and can improve again on the limit weight.

How to play it: Lord Heron to win and trifecta 1-4/1-3-4-5.

Race 3 C, G & E MAIDEN HCP (1400m):

Taking on the early short-priced favourite! We'll get a nice form lead on local 3YO 1. Refire who was well beaten resuming behind Lord Heron when unwanted in betting, but will improve significantly second-up. Handles wet ground and leading metro hoop a key booking.

Dangers: Well-bred Randwick 3YO 3. Vermont wilted late in a deeper maiden on debut at Wyong, but will enjoy less pressure here over suitably longer trip, and is the one to beat; while Canberra staying type 8. Future Time is first-up for six months, but has solid fresh form and will be finishing on. Locally-trained 2. Assault'N'Bathory who led for a long way second-up at Wagga is best of the rest.

How to play it: Refire each-way and quinella 1 and 3.

Race 4 CL3 HCP (1200m):

Competitive race, and looks right for talented Canberra 3YO 1. Carruthers - by prolific I Am Invincible out of a mare by 1990 Melbourne Cup winner Kingston Rule - who was strong in a deep Randwick Highway two runs back before freshening and flying home to win a CL2 this track. Extra trip in his favour now, and gets a nice trailing draw. Well over the odds!

Dangers: Plenty of them headed by Canberra 5YO 4. Battle Fury who resumes after progressing through a CL1 win this track in the spring, and normally comes to hand quickly. Another Canberra rival 2. Romeo Vella improved to win a CL2 at Albury third-up, and will park right on the speed from inside draw. Moruya-based 6YO mare 3. Art Of Dance is an intriguing runner. Been off the scene for nearly a year, despite having two nice city trials in the spring. No official trial since, but leading country rider hops aboard. Expect Hawkesbury 4YO 5. Garryfromthebull to be around the finish too from a nice barrier. Broke through in a Newcastle BM 58 last start, despite carrying a big weight and drifting in the market. Warwick Farm 6YO 6. Your Witness is not far off a win either hitting the line strong from well back in his last two at BM 64 level.

How to play it: Carruthers to win and first four 1-4-6/1-2-3-4-5-6.

Carruthers winning at Goulburn on March 2

Race 5 F & M MAIDEN HCP (1400m):

Open affair with a variety of form-lines and the best still well ahead for several fillies. One of those who won't have to wait as long is the Sheikh-owned and Randwick-trained 2. Neshmiya who returned for second prep off a long break in a nice closing effort behind promising horse at Hawkesbury. Fitness and extra trip both obvious plusses!

Dangers: Plenty who can challenge headed by Godolphin filly 6. Mimi who resumed with an even effort at Wyong and should improve big time second-up. Randwick filly 3. Bacinblac was fair second-up in that same Hawkesbury race before a moderate run from the back at Kembla, but better suited bhere and a mile over the odds. Big watch on Rosehill grey mare and UK import 8. Cleverley who hasn't started for 10 months, and raced over much further across England, but given two quiet trials for leading metro stable; while watch too at big odds on Randwick filly 11. Amami for leading juvenile yard who didn't fire resuming at Nowra and was quickly sent back to the trials.

How to play it: Neshmiya to win.

Race 6 3YO MAIDEN PLATE (1200m):

Well-bred gelding 2. Big Bad Bruce looks ready to win after charging home late second-up under more weight at Nowra. Will drift back from wide gate, but long run and sting out of the ground suits.

Dangers: Godolphin debutant 5. Pretorious looked good in a recent trial and was scratched from Hawkesbury on Monday for this, but has drawn wide. Expect Rosehill gelding 6. Supreme Deal to improve significantly second-up back on firmer ground; while Hawkesbury filly 10. Hush Money was mixing form before being freshened and taken back to the trials.

How to play it: Big Bad Bruce each-way.

Race 7 BM 58 HCP (1500m):

Tricky and open race. Warwick Farm-trained 3YO 6. Soldier Of Love confirmed the potential he had shown at the trials cruising home to win first-up at Bathurst as a hot favourite, and this isn't much harder.

Dangers: The race could swing on smart local 4YO 1. Pierino who was close-up in a stronger Randwick Highway last start, but has been asked to lump 64kg! Previous metro form last year and in two runs back very consistent, and from a good barrier he's right in the race. Rosehill 3YO 2. Magic Wu is on the brink fourth-up after improving to hit the line from a mile back at Nowra, and even better suited on bigger track; while Warwick Farm filly and last start Nowra maiden winner 6. Age Of War is hard fit, but up in weight.

How to play it: Soldier Of Love each-way and quinella 1 and 6.

All the fields, form and replays for Thursday's meeting at Goulburn

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