By Neil Evans
Track likely close to Good 4 and rail out 6m so should play around the speed or just off it for much of the meeting
|Race 1 CLASS 1 HCP (1500m):|
Tricky tactical battle over a middle distance to get us underway. Wyong 3YO filly 1. Sarah Elizabeth from the Kim Waugh yard was scratched from Sunday's Scone meeting to be saved for this, and that's a big pointer. Been up for a while, and hit the line nicely this trip and grade at Newcastle, and subtle gear changes have been made. Sharp 4kg weight rise, but this is her easiest assignment in a while.
Dangers: Warwick Farm 4YO 2. Silent Agenda comes out of that same Newcastle CL1 when only swamped in the final stride after being very well backed from a big price. Drawn to roll forward and control again, but like the top selection goes up to 59kg. Another 'Farm 4YO 3. Reoffender went close here in heavy ground two runs back before an average effort at Nowra, and would need to improve significantly to beat the top two.
How to play it: Sarah Elizabeth to win and quinella 1 and 2. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 2 MAIDEN HCP (1600m):|
Improving 2YO colt 6. Titled Tycoon from the Freedman yard at Randwick can break through at third start with the blinkers going on. Had no luck on debut at Newcastle before working home fairly in a deeper maiden, and step up to the mile looks ideal.
Dangers: After a strong second placing on debut at Hawkesbury, 3YO Warwick Farm gelding 1. McGeehan let punters down badly as a hot favourite here, although did over-race early behind a muddling tempo. Local 3YO gelding 2. Charm Maker was only fair first-up at Nowra, but can improve sharply over this trip and back on his bigger home track; while include Warwick Farm filly 4. Zou Island who stays at the same track and trip after sticking on strong at only her second start when well supported from a big price.
How to play it: Titled Tycoon to win and trifecta 1,6/1,2,4,6/1,2,4,6. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 3 CLASS 1 & MAIDEN PLATE (2140m):|
Set weights battle over the longer journey looks ideal for progressive 3YO Randwick filly 7. Triskana off a solid maiden win at Kembla second-up. Draws to either lead or sit right behind.
Dangers: Kembla 3YO 11. Librarian is the obvious threat after charging home to miss by a head behind Triskana when well backed at his fourth start. Drops 3kg from that effort, and should be motoring late again. Consistent Warwick Farm mare 3. Dream Maiden can give this a shake from the inside draw. Just missed in a similar race at Canberra two runs back before got home okay but no match for the winner in a BM 64 at Newcastle; while 3YO filly 6. Mowanjum can improve at a big price over the longer trip.
How to play it: Triskana to win. Odds and Evens: Odds a special
|Race 4 MAIDEN PLATE (1400m):|
Beautifully bred Randwick 2YO gelding 13. Requited from the Snowden stable is the one to beat. Worked home well behind a smart youngster on debut, and then chased home a promising UK-bred colt at Newcastle. Taking on more experienced and older ones here, but has more than enough ability.
Dangers: Randwick 3YO 7. Debasement can peak fourth-up after working home from wide barriers in his last couple; while 4YO 2. Costa Zou is still searching for his first win at 17th start, but has been placed 10 times, often with little or no luck, and hasn't missed a place in his last four. Back in trip and wide draw are queries.
How to play it: Requited to win and quinella 7 and 13. Odds and Evens: Odds
Requited runs second at Newcastle on July 7
|Race 5 BM 58 HCP (1600m):|
Very keen at the value on 4YO Warwick Farm mare 2. Red Hot Chillypins from the Joe Pride stable getting back on firmer ground fourth-up. Worked home nicely in consecutive BM 64 grade at Wyong before struggling in tougher company on the heavy at Rosehill. Up sharply in weight, but this is much easier and will relish the long run home.
Dangers: Local 3YO gelding 5. Riot Act is the obvious threat, and only needs to repeat his dominant first-up maiden win at Nowra for an emerging stable. Extra ground looks right up his alley. Home track 7YO mare 6. Isadora Twinkle has been freshened, and can add to what should be a much better record. Swept home to win this grade two runs back before finishing hard again over the same trip. Not overly well off at the weights, but should get enough tempo on up front to get home. Another local 3YO filly 11. Estaverdi is looking for this trip 3rd-up, but would still need to improve.
How to play it: Red Hot Chillypins each way and trifecta 2,5/2,5,6/2,5,6,11. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 6 MAIDEN HCP (1200m):|
Back in distance for the maidens, and there's a stack of chances headed by consistent Warwick mare 14. Unloch The Rock who resumes off a quiet trial. Kept finishing well into the placings in first prep, and as long as the inside ground holds up, she looks well placed fresh over this trip.
Dangers: Canberra mare 15. Wilful Soul is fully fit and also knocking on the door after charging home late fourth-up here, and stable has had a terrific 2020. Former metro 3YO 1. Pahang finally has his first start for the Natalie Jarvis yard at Moruya. Hasn't started for nine weeks, but kept ticking over in work off two solid trials, and draws well. Warwick Farm 3YO gelding 2. Happy Babe (Sebring x Angelic Light by Holy Roman Emperor) looks well above average, and debuts in blinkers. Has won both lead-up trials, easily accounting for Fenech who has since won two of his three starts. Obvious hurdle is overcoming the outside gate. Warwick Farm 3YO 3. Haunting Spirit was only plain resuming at Hawkesbury, but can improve back on firmer footing; while watch the betting on Randwick 2YO 8. General Soleil who did his best work late on debut here, and will appreciate more ground.
How to play it:
Unloch The Rock each way. First four 1,14,15/1,2,3,8,14,15/1,2,3,8,14,15/1,2,3,8,14,15.
Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 7 BM 58 HCP (1300m):|
Like smart 3YO Randwick colt 2. Blesk from the John O'Shea yard resuming off two forward trials, and drawn to get the right sort of run.
Dangers: Expect a much better run second-up from Warwick Farm filly 10. Kiaria with the blinkers going on after falling in a hole when easy in betting resuming in a CL1 at Moruya.
How to play it: Blesk to win. Odds and Evens: Evens
Blesk wins a trial at Newcastle on July 10