By Neil Evans
Track Good 4 and rail out 6m so likely on or near the speed before late trend towards the outside
|Race 1 MAIDEN HCP (1500m):|
Competitive maiden to get us underway, and there are a few chances. Keen on 3YO gelding 1. Charm Maker from the progressive local stable of Jean Dubois who has been freshened since a fair effort in a stronger Class 1 over 2000m at Canberra, and the second horse has since won. Drawn to get an ideal trail off the fence, and blinkers remain while winkers comes off.
Dangers: Like most in the race, 3YO Warwick Farm gelding 5. Elon has been up for a while, but made light of a big betting drift last run here hitting the line nicely behind a handy one.
How to play it: Charm Maker to win. Odds and Evens (First 2): Split
Charm Maker's last start run at Canberra on February 21
|Race 2 MAIDEN PLATE (2140m):|
Always tricky affairs maidens over a staying trip at set weights, but keen on progressive 4YO local mare 11. Rond De Jambe who has really attacked the line in both runs back this prep, the latest close up in that same Canberra race as Costa Chin Chin so a useful form pointer on offer. Will relish the step up in distance being by a former Melbourne Cup winner.
Dangers: Expect 3YO gelding 4. Fast Melody from the Randwick camp of Waterhouse-Bott to hit back third-up over a longer journey after disappointing as a hot favourite here last start. Warwick Farm 3YO 6. Scorching Zorro is another one coming out of that same mile race this track behind Zombie when boxing on strongly after turning in front; while watch for sharp improvement from 3YO Warwick Farm filly 13. Sebring Lass who didn't finish off in a stronger maiden at Hawkesbury, but gets blinkers for the first time.
How to play it: Rond De Jambe each way and trifecta 4,11/4,6,11,13/4,6,11,13. Odds and Evens: Split
Rand De Jambe runs third at Canberra on March 9
|Race 3 MAIDEN PLATE (1300m):|
Back in trip, but still with the maidens, and the race "map" made so much tougher with most of the fancies drawing wide. Improving 3YO Randwick filly 9. Bottoms Up Babe only needs even luck from the draw to be the one to beat. Has finished off okay in two deeper provincial maidens, and this looks ideal third-up with a lugging bit going on.
Dangers: No doubting 3YO Randwick filly 12. Smart Success is the most highly touted in the race despite a poor second-up run in stronger company at Warwick Farm, but she also faces a task to get in and find a spot from a wide barrier. Warwick Farm 3YO gelding 1. Bluff 'N'Buster can go close after working home stylishly resuming here when forced a long way back from a wide draw. Was good second-up last prep at big odds finishing hard behind a capable provincial galloper. Watch the betting on debutant Warwick Farm filly 10. Eroteme who has looked okay at the trials, but another one facing a stiff task from a wide gate.
How to play it: Bottoms Up Babe to win and box trifecta 1,9,10,12. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 4 CLASS 3 HCP (1000m):|
Very good quality and open sprint. Like the placement and odds about Warwick Farm 4YO 2. Bentley Magic who resumes as a gelding off two quiet trials. Was never far away in some strong sprints over spring, including just over two lengths from California Zimbol who won the Listed Darby Munro on Saturday.
Dangers: Rising and talented Queanbeyan filly 7. Look Only can maintain her terrific unbeaten record this prep from a good draw, and rider taking 3kg off. Bolted in her maiden first-up at home before charging late to beat a smart Highway field at Randwick three weeks back. Not just fast, but is versatile as well. Warwick Farm gelding 4. Moralist will find this easier than two runs back at BM 70 metro level. Nowra mare 1. Can't Find Snippy looks over the odds freshened-up from a good fighting effort behind a smart sprinter at Moruya, and generally been taking on tougher opposition all prep; while watch the betting on 6YO Albury gelding 5. Nevada Dane who resumes off a nice trial, and has a smart fresh record.
How to play it: Bentley Magic each way; quinella 2 and 7; first four 2,7/1,2,4,5,7/1,2,4,5,7/1,2,4,5,7. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 5 BM 66 HCP (1200m):|
One of the tougher races of the day, although two 5YO Canberra mares can fight this out. Consistent 4. Polyxena from the Rob Potter stable hasn't won since a BM 65 at home last August, but her form in four runs back, three times close-up at BM 70 level, is good enough here.
Dangers: Rival Matt Dale-trained 5. Terra Reign just edged out Polyxena in similar grade last start, and draws well, although the former gets a nice little weight turnaround. Lightly-raced 4YO 3. Malthouse from the Jason Coyle yard at Warwick Farm resumes off two quiet heavy track trials, and did win on debut at this track in spring. Tough 7YO Canberra gelding 1. Manzana has led up in his last two against stronger opposition, and only collared late. This looks a nice race fourth-up, but even with form apprentice taking 3kg off, still looks weighted out of the contest under 61.5kg. Expect Warwick Farm mare 8. Cappamore to be finishing on late off two open class trials. Took a long time to land her maiden, but placed 12 times from 18 starts, often without luck, underlining she has plenty more ability than the record suggests.
How to play it: Polyxena to win. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 6 BM 66 HCP (1600m):|
Same grade, but out to the mile augurs well for progressive and already well travelled 4YO Warwick Farm gelding 1. Classic Gaming who incredibly has had four spaced runs this prep in three different states/territories. Hit the line hard in two provincial runs before a dominant Class 1 win at Canberra, and then even through the line in a tougher BM 70 in Saturday grade at Eagle Farm. Ready for this longer trip, and draws to get an economical run.
Dangers: Randwick 3YO 5. Echo Lad was over-run first-up leading under a big weight in a BM 65 at Canberra on Black Opal day. Raced against stronger in spring, and bound to improve second-up. Consistent 4YO local gelding 12. War Deck powered over the top at Wagga two runs back before again looming strongly in BM 58 grade here last start. This is tougher again, but he he knows where the line is; while rival home track 6YO 11. O'So Tempting steps up in quality after bolting in a weaker race at Cowra second-up.
How to play it: Classic Gaming to win. Odds and Evens: Odds
|Race 7 BM 58 HCP (1400m):|
Open one to finish. Promising 5YO local mare 4. Designer Dance looks beautifully placed here after a commanding off-speed win in similar grade at Wagga. Not totally convinced the inside draw suits her natural pattern, but the way she's attacked the line this prep in deeper company suggests much bigger prizes are in store.
Dangers: Progressive 4YO Warwick Farm mare 8. Fight The Knead has to overcome the widest barrier, but she has more ability than a few of these put together. Charged over the top for a dominant maiden win here at only second start last spring, and resumed with a good closing effort at Newcastle behind smart galloper Piping Roller who was only beaten just over three lengths in Saturday's Provincial C'ship Qualifier at Kembla. Home track 4YO gelding 2. Azoustic improved sharply to power over the top in a dominant maiden win here after a couple of disappointing runs at shorter odds. Carries his biggest weight, but this is within reach now he's broken through.
How to play it: Designer Dance to win and quinella 4 and 8. Odds and Evens: Evens.