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Neil Evans' Tips For Goulburn (Monday)

By Neil Evans

Track slowly improving to Soft 6 and rail out 6m so should play on-pace early before slowly trending off-speed

Race 1 MAIDEN HCP (1500m):

Middle distance maidens are never cut and dried, especially when there's a stack of strong stables involved, but progressive 3YO Hawkesbury gelding 2. Uprise is headed for better races, and looks ready to win in his first prep, fourth-up over more suitable trip. Chased home the smart Subedar at Kembla last start, and that horse was then super impressive storming home to win a BM 70 at Rosehill on Saturday in only his second start.

Dangers: Nowra 4YO gelding 1. Tic Toc Man has been up for a while and banging on the door, whether ridden forward or quieter. Was only caught in the final stride last time at this track under a bigger weight, and gets a good run from the draw. Doubt anything else can win, although 5YO Warwick Farm mare 4. Miss Demi has been consistently finding the line in races with some depth, and from the inside draw can run into the finish; while keep watch on 3YO Canberra colt 5. One Man Band who was heavily specked on debut this track three weeks back.

How to play it: Uprise to win and quinella 1 and 2. Odds and Evens (First 2): Split.

Race 2 CL1 HCP (1400m):

Modest and fairly even race. Warwick Farm 5YO gelding 4. Rubino Veloce has hit the line hard in all three runs this prep, and looks really well suited with superior soft track form, and the visors going on.

Dangers: Local 5YO gelding 1. Acquittal is capable on his day, but very disappointing last start in a Randwick Highway when failing to run on from midfield. Back to much easier grade, and trainer has removed the blinkers, and off-set big weight putting a 4kg claimer on. Hawkesbury-trained mare 3. Our Blue Moon can give another big sight up front after winning his maiden fourth-up this track; while liked the improved run last start at Bathurst of rival Hawkesbury gelding 2. Banjo's Voice who is now hard fit.

How to play it: Rubino Veloce to win and quinella 1 and 4. Odds and Evens: Split.

Race 3 MAIDEN PLATE (1300m):

Wide open affair here, although keen on 4YO Warwick Farm mare 7. Sunsuzie who didn't miss by much finishing hard under a bigger weight resuming at Gosford, and was good second-up last prep in a stronger metro maiden.

Dangers: Warwick Farm 4YO mare 4. Madam Oaks can bounce back after disappointing as a short-priced favourite at Gosford. That was her first run in 10 weeks, and up to a more suitable trip here augers well. Hawkesbury 3YO gelding 11. Jailbreak hasn't run a place in five starts, but took on much smarter fields last prep, and first-up run at Canterbury was sound.

How to play it: Sunsuzie to win and box exacta 4,7,11. Odds and Evens: Odds.

Race 4 CL2 HCP (1200m):

It doesn't get much easier here, with several chances all from Warwick Farm stables. One of those is promising 4YO mare 10. Mosuo (also accepted for Gosford on Tues) who was disappointing first-up at Wyong, but showed real ability last prep, and is already a winner this track for a stable having a great run.

Dangers: Progressive 5YO gelding 5. American Salute (also accepted for Gosford on Tues) has really attacked the line in two runs back this prep, and is still on the way up, although up sharply in weight and drawn off the track. Expecting a big run fresh from 5YO gelding 1. Baanone who has had two forward trials and can take up a nice trailing position from the good gate; while 6YO gelding 4. Accelerato is no star, but never shirks finding the line. Last effort in a BM 64 at Gosford when doing his best work late would nearly get him into the placings again. Canberra 4YO gelding 7. Ninky Nonk is hard to place first-up in this field, but he normally comes to hand quickly, and is a knock-out hope at big odds.

How to play it: Mosuo to win. Odds and Evens: Split.


Mosuo's first-up run at Wyong on July 23

Race 5 BM 58 HCP (1200m):

Thin but tough race. Warwick Farm 4YO gelding 3. Drifter flopped badly on the Canberra synthetic after being heavily backed, but can rebound back on the turf, with the winkers going on. Three runs back wasn't far off the smart Rhythmic Pulse at Gosford.

Dangers: Moruya 5YO mare 2. Judy In Disguise found her best this grade last start, but bigger weight and wide barrier might be a bridge too far; while South Coast mare 5. Sestina has been freshened since ploughing through the mud to win this grade at Nowra, but probably needs it wetter to repeat the dose.

How to play it: Drifter to win. Odds and Evens: Split.


Drifter's last start fifth at Canberra on July 26

Race 6 BM 66 HCP (1400m):

Another even field that looks ripe for the exotic players, with most having an each-way claim. Settled on local 6YO staying mare 8. So It Is first-up. Took on tougher company last year, including fast-finishing effort in a stronger Rosehill Highway in the spring, and while hasn't started for nearly 10 months, draws to do little or no work in the run.

Dangers: Kembla 6YO mare 7. Titaness has the found strong in her last two, and draws to get a nice trail midfield one off the fence; while 7YO Bathurst gelding 10. Attilius is in nicely at the weights and draws the fence.

How to play it: So It Is each way. Odds and Evens: Split.

Race 7 BM 58 HCP (1600m):

Progressive 4YO local gelding 5. Refire just needs some luck from a wide barrier, despite a 48-hour back-up from Saturday's Highway run at Rosehill. Had previously held her own in tougher metro Highways last three runs, including a big finishing effort three back at Rosehill, while has chased home Pat's Nipper and in-form Black Wand in his last two.

Dangers: Rosehill 5YO mare 4. Northern Lights stepped up sharply to the mile last start this track, and battled on okay after leading, and is significantly fitter now third-up; while 5YO Warwick Farm gelding 3. Eden Vale continues to improve, and draws to get a nice run with plenty of cover.

How to play it: Refire to win and quinella 4 and 5. Odds and Evens:: Split.

All the fields, form and replays for Monday's Goulburn meeting

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