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Neil Evans' Tips For Goulburn (Friday)

By Neil Evans

Track around Soft 7 and rail true

Race 1 CLASS 1 & MAIDEN PLATE (2100m):

Talented 4YO mare 5. Shamani ripped home from the back for a dominant maiden win at Wyong over a mile before ridden closer & couldn't run down a tough local leader in a good quality BM 64. Must be ridden much quieter here over this longer trip, and can round them up in style.

Dangers: Improving 4YO 2. Kippax has been working home okay this prep as the distances have risen, and can peak here on a surface he prefers. Only win so far was a dominant off-speed display on Soft 6 at Scone. Smart 3YO colt 4. Explosive Jack looks headed for much bigger targets than this after powering home for an impressive win on debut at Swan Hill late last month. Switches states now via a very quiet trial.

How to play it: Shamani to win and box trifecta 2,4,5. Odds and Evens: Split

Shamani runs second at Wyong on December 10

Race 2 BM 58 HCP (1000m):

Resuming filly 5. Blossom Star charged home to easily win her maiden here in June on a Soft 7 rating before progressing quickly to stronger grade. Fitted with two quiet trials, and this is a decent drop in class.

Dangers: Kembla 4YO 7. Giordano hasn't raced for more than five months, or trialled, but his fresh record is sound, and performs best on rain-affected ground. Include improving filly 9. Ashra Jahre who was solid through the line resuming at Canberra when well backed, although not well treated at the weights.

How to play it: Blossom Star to win. Odds and Evens: Odds a special

Race 3 CLASS 3 HCP (1200m):

Got no doubt 4YO gelding 2. Sedona is the best horse in the field, just a little query on her wet track credentials. Motored home at a big price to narrowly miss in a stronger metro BM 72, and only needs to get through the ground to be the one to beat second-up.

Dangers: Improving 4YO mare 4. Thinking Cap swept home to win her maiden at Gosford before a strong effort at BM 64 level, and the form around Ready To Soar reads strongly for this. Impressive 4YO 1. Cubman has powered home under big weights to win his last couple, and the form around is also solid, although up in grade and a query if the track is heavy. Watch the betting on 5YO 7. Ilvermorny who has had a little freshen-up back in distance, and gets in light after rider's 3kg claim.

How to play it: Sedona to win.

Sedona runs fourth at Warwick Farm on November 25

Race 4 CLASS 1 HCP (1400m):

Tricky race. Leaning to another Kembla visitor 1. River Charge who can peak third-up in ideal ground. Hit the line okay when ridden quieter second-up at home, and draws to get a soft run around midfield. Never missed a place on a heavy surface.

Dangers: It's been a long time since 5YO mare 4. Zenardini won her maiden, but she's come back in great order this prep running four consecutive third placings, each time finding the line well from off the speed. Untested in heavy going, but hard fit. Improving 3YO 5. General Soleil returns to the scene of his only win from four starts, and can strike third-up from a soft draw; while the others should be making up the numbers.

How to play it: River Charge to win and box exacta 1,4,5. Odds and Evens: Split

Race 5 FRED COOPER CUP (1600m):

This is surely the sole domain of progressive 4YO and early hot favourite 6. Knight supremely in at the weights against a moderate lot after a tough win in a Heat of the Provincial Summer Series. Has shown a tonne of fight to claim two of his last three, and a metropolitan start beckons after this.

Dangers: Rival Wyong 9YO 5. All But Gone broke a long run of outs working home to claim a BM 83 at Port; while Canberra 6YO 3. Animalia is best of the rest second-up.

How to play it: Knight to win and quinella 5 and 6. Odds and Evens: Split a special

Race 6 F & M MAIDEN PLATE (1200m):

Improving 3YO filly 8. Danzette can break through third-up after working home okay in a handy maiden at Muswellbrook. Draws to find a trail back in the field, and bred to react on wet tracks.

Dangers: Another nice filly 12. Screebe has chased well at the provincials in two runs to start her career, and she can also strike here, although there is a real query in the ground. Well-bred filly 11. Jolie's Choice led for a long way at Newcastle on debut, and looks a handy one in the making, but untested in these conditions and drawn right off the track.

How to play it: Danzette each way and box exacta 8,11,12. Odds and Evens: Evens

Race 7 C, G & E MAIDEN PLATE (1200m):

Now the boys' edition closes the card in a wide field, and two gallopers can fight this out. Randwick 3YO 6. Finally Realise had been close-up in three solid runs at the provincials before dropping right out in a tougher maiden on the Kensington track. Back to a much thinner race, although the inside can be inferior late in the day here.

Dangers: Local 3YO 7. Giftgiver resumes off two quiet trials, and was only run down late on debut at Kembla back in winter in a better field.

How to play it: Finally Realise to win and quinella 6 and 7. Odds and Evens: Split.

All the fields, form and replays for Friday's Goulburn meeting

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