By Neil Evans
Track rated Good 3 and rail true for open and strong Sawtell Cup meeting
|Race 1 3YO MAIDEN PLATE (1200m):|
Consistent gelding 2. Four Egos has been knocking on the door since his debut, placed in six of seven, including three runs this prep. Ridden closer last start when didn't attack the line so suspect he'll be ridden a little quieter this time, with plenty of cover and can finish over them.
Dangers: Local 3YO 3. Hyland Bay was good on debut at Moree and has had a key stable change since.
How to play it: Four Egos to win. Odds and Evens: Split
Four Egos runs third at Kempsey on November 6
|Race 2 MAIDEN PLATE (1400m):|
Another big field, with plenty of chances. Grafton 4YO mare 8. Queens Do Dream is ready to break through fourth-up from a low draw. Should park a few lengths off the speed with cover, and just needs clear room from the turn.
Dangers: Trained on the track, 5YO 7. Shows Pride has been beaten under a length in two runs back at Grafton, charging home from well back in the latest. Modest record doesn't do his ability justice, and again will settle back off a solid tempo and be strong late over more ground. Improving local 4YO 2. Express Dragon has been right behind the place-getters all there runs this prep, and blinkers have been reapplied. Was scratched from a rock hard surface at Armidale on Tuesday to race here. Expect sharp improvement second-up off a lengthy break from 3YO filly 11. Honored Vow; while didn't mind the first-up run at Quirindi of 12. Loose Buttons who can also improve on the bigger track carrying 1kg less.
How to play it: Queens Do Dream to win and box exacta 2,7,8. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 3 MAIDEN HCP (1000m):|
Should be another fairly wide market, although 3YO Newcastle filly 6. Superel can return to racing with a bang. Showed good ability against deeper opposition in two runs through winter, and drawn to take advantage of her smart tactical speed.
Dangers: Plenty of them headed by 4. Demykani Miss who also has plenty of natural pace. Has only been edged out late after leading in two runs back, and should be right alongside the top selection from an adjacent barrier. Ultra consistent 3YO 1. Bay Of Bengal resumes off a steady trial behind highly-touted Schiller Bay who goes around earlier. Did everything but win last prep, and despite being saddled with 59kg, he can sit back and let the top two match motors early. Watch the betting on ex-Victorian 7. Cruzados who has her first run for new leading local stable, and looked sharp winning a recent trial.
How to play it: Superel to win. Odds and Evens: Split
Superel runs fourth in a Gosford trial on November 4
|Race 4 CLASS 2 PLATE - COUNTRY ONLY (1000m):|
Honest local 4YO 3. Moonhawk hasn't won for a while, but placed in his last four, and can roll forward again and park right behind the speed from an ideal draw.
Dangers: Progressive filly 11. Nicci Trix was overhauled late when heavily backed at Port off a five week freshen-up. Looks supremely in at the weights, but will again need to hold her spot early with plenty of speed drawn further out. Improving 4YO 8. Standing Bear was soundly beaten by a smart one third-up at Taree, and will need to find cover early from a wide gate. Tough mare 6. Bella's Choice has never raced better for an under-rated Inverell stable winning two of her last three, and well treated after the claim, but facing more depth here; while 3YO filly 9. Slice Of Heaven resumes off a quiet trial, and also looks well in at the weights.
How to play it: Moonhawk each way. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 5 CLASS 3 HCP (1400m):|
Competitive battle at this level, again with many chances. Port 5YO 2. Stylish Pattern looks hard to beat deep into this prep. Ridden quiet and flew home late in a handy BM 66 at home, and drops 1.5kg for this from a soft trailing gate.
Dangers: Trained on the track, tough 7YO 1. Northern Knight is primed to win again after four progressive runs this time in. Charged home from well back in the Highway at Newcastle on Hunter day, but still don't want to take too short a price up to 59.5kg from a wide barrier. Improving 5YO and last-start Grafton winner 4. Boyles draws to get a cosy run right behind the speed, and should be in the finish; while include progressive mare 5. Bear The Crown who takes on tougher opposition after a fourth-up BM 58 win, but gets significant weight relief.
How to play it: Stylish Pattern each way and box exacta 1,2,4. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 6 BM 66 HCP (1200m):|
One of the toughest races to assess all day, and there might not be much between several of them over the line. Keen at the value on Murwillumbah mare 5. Dreamtime Magic resuming off a typical quiet trial. Won two straight at BM 58 level in winter, and has a solid fresh record.
Dangers: Another one resuming, Gosford mare 6. Divine Approach has plenty of ability, and normally comes to hand early in the prep. Trialled quietly, and when on the fresh side last time, motored home for an easy Class 1 win at Grafton. Include consistent 4YO 2. Henschel who is slowly starting to realise his potential, and draws to get a charmed run over a pet trip. You never quite know what's coming with 4. Okay Boss but he will relish a drop back in distance from a handy draw.
How to play it: Dreamtime Magic to win and Divine Approach each way. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 7 SAWTELL CUP (1500m):|
Now for the feature, and it's as open as it gets. Got plenty of time for 5YO 12. Magic Wu who powered home for a dominant BM 79 Hcp win at Grafton third-up. Will again be forced a long way back from the wide barrier, but even better suited here on the bigger and longer straight.
Dangers: Consistent 5YO 2. Chamisal has held his form okay since an impressive off-speed win in the Krambach Cup at Taree three runs back. Hard fit, and draws to get a good run. Kempsey Cup winner 6. Mister Smartee was close-up in a BM 83 at Port last start, and is drawn to get a soft run a few lengths off the speed. Watch the betting on 4. Pleased who flashed home late behind Magic Wu resuming at big odds, and normally holds his second-up form.
How to play it: Magic Wu each way and trifecta 2,12/2,4,6,12/2,4,6,12. Odds and Evens: Evens a special
|Race 8 CLASS 1 HCP (1300m):|
Exotic players can have a ball in the last, with another wide market up for grabs. Capable mare 6. Power Bells failed to finish off last start, but suited much better here, and drops 2.5kg in weight.
Dangers: It's been a long wait since winning his maiden for 3. Stonecold Flex but he can peak third-up here after a fair effort in a stronger BM 66.
How to play it: Power Bells to win. Odds and Evens: Split.