By Neil Evans
Track Good 4 and Rail out 3m from 1000m to 350m where cut/away applies so on or just off the speed likely to dominate
|Race 1 BM 66 HCP (1605m):|
Competitive opener over the middle distance. Murwillumbah 5YO gelding 3. Bullet Shot looks ready to peak fourth-up after steadily improving in and around this grade. Draws to park just off the speed with cover.
Dangers: Newcastle 5YO gelding 4. Warset is also fourth-up from a soft draw, and will find this easier than last start heat of the Provincial Series at Wyong; while progressive 5YO Gold Coast gelding and former Victorian 7. Bradbury rushed home from well back to win a BM 60 at the Sunshine Coast third-up, and while this is a shade tougher, he's made big strides this prep, and can repeat the dose in similar fashion from off the speed. Include 4YO Pt Macquarie gelding 5. Okay Boss from the good draw is you are playing the first four.
How to play it: Bullet Shot to win and box exacta 3,4,7. Odds and Evens (First 2): Split
|Race 2 MAIDEN PLATE (805m):|
Blink and you'll miss the maidens here in a wide open dash. Grafton 5YO mare 7. No Doubt A Lady resumes without an official trial, but normally comes to hand quickly. Has been placed six times from 11 starts, and gets in well at the weights after rider's 3kg claim.
Dangers: Plenty of them headed by rival Grafton mare 8. Sequential Pearl who is by a real speed sire, and draws to be in the finish. Watch the market on 3YO Pt Macquarie filly and first starter 12. Pennyweight (Sepoy x Pentasia by Pentire) who has spent a stack of time at the trials, and draws well with a crucial 3kg claim. Likely to drift back, but if they go berserk up front, she'll be rocketing home. Include 4YO Pt Macquarie gelding 4. Prince Arli who resumes after a solid debut on the heavy this track in August, and while drawn wide, he'll appreciate being back on top of the ground.
How to play it: No Doubt A Lady to win and box trifecta 4,7,8,12. Odds and Evens: Split
No Doubt A Lady runs third at Grafton on July 10
|Race 3 MAIDEN PLATE (1405m):|
The maidens at set weights again over a longer journey, and there are plenty of chances. Improving 4YO Wyong mare 5. Enchanted Princess can break through third-up. Was easy in betting resuming behind a smart one at Scone before attacking the line late at Newcastle as an easing favourite, and peaks for this.
Dangers: Tamworth 4YO gelding 2. Hardyo can cap a consistent first prep at sixth start from the inside draw. Was heavily backed when bouncing to the front and just failing to hang on at Gunnedah, and like the blinkers coming off and winkers going on. Gold Coast mare 8. Savvy Hussler hit the line nicely in her first run for eight months at the Sunshine Coast, but will need to get in early from a tricky barrier; while 4YO local gelding 1. Collingwood has ability and also finished hard in that same maiden at Newcastle when well backed, but significant rise in weight second-up is a query.
How to play it: Enchanted Princess each way and trifecta 2,5,8/1,2,5,8/1,2,5,8. Odds and Evens: Split.
|Race 4 CLASS 2 HCP (1005m):|
Another competitive sprint, and keen on lightly raced 3YO local gelding 6. Moonhawk second-up after leading and tiring first-up for six weeks in a stronger Class 2 won by a mare who has terrific potential. Previously looked sharp beating a handy Class 1 field at Grafton, and is already a second-up winner.
Dangers: Capable 4YO Wyong gelding 2. Thiswilldous jumps sharply in weight but drops back from tougher provincial company, and with any decent cover, will be motoring home late. Include progressive 5YO Tamworth gelding 8. Elle's Nel who closed off okay in her first run for 10 months at Scone, and the winner there blitzed a Highway at Randwick on Saturday. Big market watch on 4YO mare and former Victorian 3. Gangika having her first run in NSW for leading local stable off a six month break. By Sepoy out of a multiple city-winning Desert King mare, trainer has tinkered with the gear, and she is bound to be running home. Improving 4YO mare and stablemate to Gangika, 9. Texas Target has powered home to win her last two, and while this is a step up in class, she drops in weight and should get enough tempo on to run home hard.
How to play it: Moonhawk to win and box exacta 2,6,8. Odds and Evens: Evens.
|Race 5 BM 66 HCP (1305m):|
Evenly graded race for the older sprinters where early positions and cover will be pivotal. Going wide in the market with 4YO Newcastle mare 11. Delchuzy who has found the line nicely in two runs back at BM 58 level, but the form around the winner of both those races is strong, and she drops 4 kg in weight.
Dangers: Plenty of them headed by 5YO Grafton gelding 7. Midweek Hussler who rates strongly in this company. Was close-up behind the smart Foxy's Foxinator two runs back before finishing best from a wide draw to conquer a useful Class 3 field this track, and is right at his peak. Resuming 5YO gelding 2. Sawtell is trained on the track, and normally finds form early in the prep. Was consistently in the placings around the mile through winter, and despite not having publicly trialled, is already a fresh winner. Rival 6YO local gelding 3. Northern Knight predictably didn't do much resuming off a 19-month spell in a handy Class 1 at Taree, but fitter now with that run under his belt, can work home into the finish. Progressive and consistent 4YO Grafton gelding 8. Bugalugs is ready for this tougher grade after winning a Class 1 here two runs back, and then run down late under 60 kg in a BM 58 at Lismore. Drawn out, but naturally drops sharply in weight. Port Macquarie 6YO gelding 6. Triage hasn't been far away in three runs this grade since a dominant BM 58 win at Grafton, and draws to get an economical run on the inside around midfield.
How to play it: Delchuzy each way and first four 2,7,11/2,3,6,7,8,11/2,3,6,7,8,11/2,3,6,7,8,11. Odds and Evens: Odds
|Race 6 SUMMER CUP BM 58 HCP (2005m):|
Feature race lacks depth and augurs well for 5YO Newcastle gelding 4. Luga Lad who hasn't won for a while, but after flashing home to just miss over the mile here two runs back, topped it off chasing home smart Kiss The Bride at Kembla who has since won again at Gosford. Up sharply in weight, but this is weaker, and stable is very under-rated.
Dangers: Progressive 3YO Newcastle gelding 2. Controlthewitness is building a nice record winning his last two stalking the speed from the turn, and is well ready for the extra journey. Gold Coast 5YO gelding 3. Amazingly is looking for this distance third-up after finishing strongly in both runs this prep, although will likely be forced a long way back from a wide barrier. Still the wait continues for 5YO local gelding and perennial back-marker 7. Guest who has run 14 placings from 19 starts, and again draws to coil up back in the field and be saved for one final surge. Include 5YO Tamworth gelding 6. Kliftee if you are playing the first four.
How to play it: Luga Lad each way and box trifecta 2,3,4,7. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 7 CLASS 1 HCP (1205m):|
Tricky race, with a few resuming. But one who's four runs into the prep, 4YO Gold Coast gelding 2. Ultimate Power hit the line impressively in a handy Class 1 two runs back before putting in a shocker last start, but at his best is drawn to in the finish and was scratched from Murwillumbah on Sunday to be saved for this.
Dangers: Local 4YO mare 3. Luvdisc resumes off a single quiet trial. Took a while to land the maiden last prep reaching metro company at Doomben over the mile, and although she'll be giving them a big start, can finish hard off a good tempo. Local 4YO gelding 7. Boyles resumes without a public trial, but reportedly working well, and draws a soft gate.
How to play it: Ultimate Power to win. Odds and Evens: Split.
|Race 8 CLASS 1 HCP (1205m):|
Play it again Sam to close the meeting, and talented 4YO local mare 2. Hellenism looks tuned up to resume with a bang off a five month spell. Hasn't publicly trialled, but working well and on debut this track in late May flashed home from a mile back to just miss before bolting in as a hot favourite second-up.
Dangers: Rival local mare 7. Delayed Response finished off nicely resuming here behind Bugalugs, and only career win so far came second-up. Another home track mare 3. Tycoon Anna resumed with a fair effort in a handy Class 2 this track; while completing a quartet of local chances, 4YO gelding 6. Beat That had to be used up from a wide draw and dropped out over the mile at Taree, but previous form around this grade had been very consistent.
How to play it: Hellenism to win. Odds and Evens: Split.
Hellenism runs third at Grafton on July 11