By Neil Evans
Track Good 3 and rail True for Jungle Juice and Cessnock Cup day so on pace early before levelling out
|Race 1 CL3 HCP (900m):|
Competitive opener over the short course. Big fan of 3YO Wyong filly 4. Royal Eclipse who has won her last two stalking the speed. Has had a month between runs which will off-set coming back to the 900m, but with plenty of speed around her she can again park a couple of lengths off them and finish over the top.
Dangers: Wyong 5YO gelding 1. Perfect Style only knows one way - and that's fast! Kept finding from the front when run down by the smart Peak resuming at Newcastle, and second-up form is solid. Warwick Farm 4YO gelding 3. Hiemal has bolted in two of his last three at Queanbeyan, but this is tougher, and has to overcome the tricky outside draw.
How to play it: Royal Eclipse to win and quinella 1 and 4. Odds and Evens (First 2): Split.
|Race 2 CL1 HCP (1350m):|
Fairly even, with a few chances. Expecting 3YO local gelding 4. Luff to peak third-up with the winkers going on. Comes out of a couple of very handy Class 1 races where he was solid enough through the line, and extra trip at home a big plus.
Dangers: Newcastle 3YO gelding 2. Cool World finished hard to win his maiden at Newcastle three runs back before struggling stepping up in class, but he'll find this more to his liking, and drawn to get a cosy spot on the fence around midfield. Watch the market on 5YO mare 1. Sazavee who resumes off a long break for leading Newcastle stable off two quiet trials, although not a noted fresh performer. Wyong 3YO gelding 5. Contalmaison won his maiden narrowly three runs back, but has generally been disappointing for a horse that's been hard in the market all prep. Draws well and gets in on a nice weight after rider's claim; while 5YO Warwick Farm gelding 3. Damit hit the line hard second-up at Kembla, but up sharply in weight and tends to save his best for wet tracks.
How to play it: Luff to win. Odds and Evens: Split.
|Race 3 MAIDEN HCP (1550m):|
Central Coast-based 5YO mare 6. Onemoreforluck is closing in on a breakthrough win after four improving runs this prep. Finished off strongly at Newcastle over the mile, and leading strike rate jockey gets back on.
Dangers: Well bred 4YO Warwick Farm mare 3. Lady Highly spent plenty of time at the trials before a modest debut at Wyong, but she'll find this a bit easier. No doubt 3YO Newcastle gelding 7. Skull Cap will improve after doing little on debut in a handy maiden at Tamworth. Draws well and riding change significant; while rival 4YO Newcastle gelding 5. Dansk Havn is best of the rest getting to a more suitable distance fourth-up.
How to play it: Onemoreforluck to win. Odds and Evens: Split
Onemoreforluck runs second at Newcastle on October 15
|Race 4 C, G & E MAIDEN PLATE (1150m):|
Thin race for the boys at set weights, but delighted to see promising Warwick Farm and US-bred 4YO 4. Tapiconic returning off a near six month break as a gelding. Showed real potential, although wayward, in his first prep making up a stack of ground from back in the field, and resumes with both the blinkers and lugging bit coming off which is a strong sign he will race much truer this time in. Hasn't trialled publicly, but the type who doesn't really need one, and will jump a hot favourite.
Dangers: If Tapiconic has his mind on the job, there'll be a gap to the rest, but expecting a much improved run second-up from 3YO local gelding 7. De Goey who dropped out on debut at Newcastle over a shorter trip; while 3YO Randwick gelding and first starter 8. Macchina Volante (Hinchinbrook x Noanoa by Reset) has only been average at the trials, but draws a nice trailing gate for his debut.
How to play it: Tapiconic to win and trifecta 4/7,8/7,8. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 5 BM 58 HCP (1350m):|
Weak race that looks a battle in two. Muswellbrook 6YO gelding 1. Two Ducks Artie was well backed when careering away from the front to win a good Class 3, and has been freshened for this slightly shorter trip, but has paid the handicapper's price up sharply to 61.5kg.
Dangers: Even though 5YO Wyong gelding 4. Brixton Town has been disappointing this prep continually working home without threatening, and only finished fairly when well backed last start, he drops in weight and draws to get a soft run. Hard to place 3YO Newcastle gelding 8. Varsity who had been outclassed a mile in Class 1 grade before dropping back to score a shock maiden win at Taree jumping $51.00. Draws to get a nice run behind the speed, and this is thin in depth.
How to play it: Two Ducks Artie to win and quinella 1 and 4. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 6 F & M MAIDEN PLATE (1150m):|
Plenty of form-lines and chances in an open affair at set weights. Keen on 4YO Wyong mare 4. It's Easy resuming off a long break for only her second start, with the blinkers on for the first time. Looked sharp winning a recent trial on this track.
Dangers: Warwick Farm 3YO filly 13. Judge's Daughter just hasn't been able to crack it this prep, but looks suited fourth-up and draws well; while local 3YO filly 12. Honey Elysees has been up for a while, but continues to hit the line from well off the speed, and extra journey here an obvious plus.
How to play it: It's Easy each way and box exacta 4,12,13. Odds and Evens: Evens.
|Race 7 CESSNOCK CUP (2125m):|
Fairly open battle for the stayers. Newcastle 5YO gelding 3. Nothing Too Hard looks ready for this longer trip down a whopping 6kg from an even run at Newcastle, and before that defied a betting drift to finish hard and land a handy BM 64.
Dangers: Pt Macquarie 5YO gelding 6. The Kroc has more ability than his three wins from 26 starts suggests. Draws the fence and gets in on the limit weight, but must be a query stepping up sharply in distance. Wyong 6YO gelding 5. Weston has been competitive enough in some handy company, and another who gets in okay at the weights; while local 5YO mare 7. Raziel is up in class from a nice closing run at Gunnedah, but another who will run it right out on the limit weight.
How to play it: Nothing Too Hard to win. Odds and Evens: Odds
|Race 8 JUNGLE JUICE CUP (1350m):|
Headline race to finish. Progressive 5YO Warwick Farm gelding 6. So Bizarre looks the one to beat second-up at this trip. Was over-run resuming in a stronger metro BM 70, but drops 3.5kg from that run and draws to get a nice spot on-speed. Only beaten 1.5 lengths in a BM 78 over a longer trip on the Kensington track at Randwick last spring.
Dangers: Still lightly raced, 6YO Pt Macquarie gelding 2. I Wanna Be a Jeep has a smart record, and crucially jockey takes 4kg off. Cruised home to win the Guyra Cup two runs back before beaten under a length in the stronger Denman Cup at Muswellbrook. Newcastle 5YO gelding 4. Sausalito is racing in the best form of his career finishing hard to win a handy Class 3 two runs back before again charging late to claim a feature sprint at Taree. Not sure the inside gate helps sneaking up a little in weight, but distance is ideal; while local 8YO gelding 1. Three Sheets rocketed home late in a good sprint at Taree third-up, and looks ready to peak in front of his home crowd, but will need a stack of speed on up front to get over the top jumping from the outside barrier.
How to play it: So Bizarre to win and quinella 2 and 6. Odds and Evens: Evens.
So Bizarre's first-up run at Warwick Farm on October 7