By Neil Evans
Track Good 4 and Rail out 2m from 1150m to 350m, then into a cut/away so should play reasonably on-pace
|Race 1 MAIDEN HCP (1208m):|
Tricky maiden to start. Nicely-bred Hawkesbury 3YO gelding and first starter 6. Rubisinga (Rubick x Bellasinga by Danasinga) has looked good under a hold at the trials, and should get a sweet run from the gate for a stable with a good juvenile strike rate.
Dangers: Warwick Farm 3YO gelding 9. Redjina should be in the finish after leading on debut at Newcastle when well specked at a big price, and draws nicely. Debutant 4YO Hawkesbury mare 4. MacKellar's Voice (Poet's Voice x Diamond Eyes by Eagle Eyed) will need some luck from a wide gate, but has trialled well, and rider takes 2kg off. Rosehill 4YO mare 8. Perissa hasn't started since failing on debut a year ago, but also worked home nicely at the trials; while expect an improved run from 4YO Hawkesbury mare 3. Flag Of Nations who hasn't done much through her first prep, but has been sharpened at the trials, and draws the inside.
How to play it: Rubisinga each way and first four 6,9/3,4,6,8,9. Odds and Evens (First 2): Split.
|Race 2 MAIDEN PLATE (1408m):|
Thin race. Northern Hemisphere-bred Warwick Farm 4YO gelding 1. Canasta was only just edged out on debut at Goulburn when easy in betting, and naturally strips fitter for a rise in trip.
Dangers: Wyong 3YO gelding 7. Tokai Meigetsu can peak third-up after two fair efforts to open his career. Goulburn 5YO mare 4. Jailbird Jay Jay went close to breaking her maiden two runs back at Wellington before a plain effort at Moruya, but draws to get an economical run on the fence midfield; while 3YO Hawkesbury gelding 9. Nevada Sunrise can improve third-up.
How to play it: Canasta to win. Odds and Evens: Odds.
|Race 3 CL1 HCP (1408m):|
Not a lot of depth here. Progressive 3YO Hawkesbury gelding 3. Jailbreak was very good landing a big betting move second-up at Goulburn in a maiden with good depth.
Dangers: Hawkesbury 4YO gelding 1. Banjo's Voice has really attacked the line late in his last two, but edges up in weight to 61kg. Expect 4YO Warwick Farm mare 2. Flight Zone to improve second-up over more ground after an average return on the Canberra synthetic, and she's been scratched from a later race; while 5YO Hawkesbury gelding 5. Jonjo's Comet won his maiden this track two runs back when well backed at a big price before disappointing at Goulburn when again backed in from a double figure quote.
How to play it: Jailbreak to win and trifecta 1,3/1,2,3,5. Odds and Evens: Odds.
Jailbreak wins at Goulburn on August 12
|Race 4 BM 58 HCP (2008m):|
Plenty with a claim here, headed by 5YO Warwick Farm gelding 2. Eden Vale who has a poor strike rate, but screaming out for this longer trip. Finished off okay in a much stronger metro BM 70 before held up at a vital stage on the turn last start at Goulburn this grade over the mile, but still worked home down the middle, only laying in under pressure late.
Dangers: Wyong 5YO mare 4. Lohan Princess took 24 starts to crack her maiden at home, but she followed that up with a good closing effort in a deeper Class 1 at Taree, and she draws to be tucked away back in the field and be produced for a big finish. Mudgee 5YO gelding 6. The Scotsman steps up from a narrow Class 1 win at Narromine, and gets in okay at the weights; while 7YO Orange mare 7. Fanny Chenal has been mixing her form over slightly shorter trips in stronger grade, and this looks more suitable from a soft draw. Include 8YO Hawkesbury gelding 3. Stradazzle in wider exotics.
How to play it: Eden Vale to win and trifecta 2,4/2,3,4,6,7. Odds and Evens: Split.
Eden Vale runs fourth at Goulburn on August 12
|Race 5 BM 58 HCP (1408m):|
Same graded race, but more quality and potential over this distance. Warwick Farm 5YO gelding 3. Rubino Veloce got the right trail at Goulburn to finish over the top and finally win a second race. His form in and around similar company has been very consistent, and leading country rider has been booked, although weighted right to his best.
Dangers: Local 7YO grey gelding 2. Attilius has won his last two, including a tougher effort in stronger grade at Goulburn, but up significantly in weight, and drawn off the track. Include 6YO Canberra mare 10. Away She Goes who powered home for a dominant Class 1 win at Forbes last start. Warwick Farm 9YO 9. Ready Set Sing lines up for his 92nd start, but continues to find the line strongly coming from the back, and will be forced to attempt similar again from a wide draw; while improving 3YO Randwick gelding 6. Recruiting To Win had to fight to win his maiden as a hot favourite on debut before way outclassed behind a couple of smart ones at Gosford. This is easier, and he draws to get a nice trail, but may struggle to run it right out.
How to play it: Rubino Veloce to win. Odds and Evens: Split.
|Race 6 BM 58 HCP (1108m):|
Back to the sprinters now, and expecting 4YO Canberra gelding 2. Eokalio to bounce back third-up. Was a convincing Class 1 winner two runs back at home before wilting badly as a heavily backed favourite.
Dangers: Rival 5YO Canberra mare 9. Heaven On Earth will have to navigate a path across from a wide barrier, but has enough ability second-up, and wasn't far away in a metro Highway last prep. Canberra 7YO gelding 1. Damagic has a good record on this track and can peak second-up after knocking up late resuming in stronger grade. Gets into the race attractively at the weights after rider's 4kg claim. Watch the market on resuming 6YO Hawkesbury mare 11. Tribuna who won a recent trial, and gets in light after rider's claim; while rival 7YO Hawkesbury gelding 8. Williamson has found the line okay at big odds in his last couple, and this looks a little easier.
How to play it: Eokalio to win. Odds and Evens: Split.
|Race 7 CL2 HCP (1208m):|
Hawkesbury 6YO gelding 1. Spin Bowles hasn't fired in two runs back from a long break, and pays the price for stronger past preps with 62.5kg, but this is a drop in quality.
Dangers: Expect sharp improvement third-up from 4YO Warwick Farm mare 2. Fearless Girl who draws well; while stablemate and 4YO gelding 5. Sunday Poet resumes in a more suitable race after taking on stronger company early in his career. Mudgee 4YO mare 8. Zerchois who was a well backed BM 58 winner at Wellington two runs ago is best of the rest.
How to play it: Spin Bowles to win. Odds and Evens: Odds.