By Neil Evans
Track likely Soft 5 and rail out 2m from 1200m to 350m into a cut/away
|Race 1 MAIDEN HCP (1208m):|
After seven placings from 20 starts, Rosehill mare 2. Giselle Anne can finally break through over a suitable journey third-up. Only has to find the line like her run at Wyong in stronger company, and draws to find a similar trail.
Dangers: Improving three-year-old 4. Mystic Vein is on the cusp after four runs back going down narrowly in his last couple; while expecting a big fresh run from provincial filly 5. Fast Play who showed plenty of fight at her second start in spring, and has drawn the inside.
How to play it: Giselle Anne to win. Odds and Evens: Evens
Giselle Anne runs second at Wyong on January 24
|Race 2 MAIDEN PLATE (1408m):|
Another furlong in distance here at set weights in a more open affair. Expecting a big run second-up from provincial mare 9. Chooseday Nights after working home well under the same weight at Cowra.
Dangers: Must include three-year-old 7. Valley Prince who draws the fence third-up, and looking for this extra trip. Capable mare 8. Akela's Charm has to overcome a wide barrier second-up, but her effort getting home late behind a dominant winner here was okay for a race like this, and she backs up quickly. Include 12. Symo's Girl in exotics.
How to play it: Chooseday Nights each way and trifecta 7,8,9/7,8,9/7,8,9,12. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 3 C, G & E CLASS 1 HCP (1108m):|
The boys clash over a sprint trip, and keen on lightly raced local four-year-old 4. Chevconi who resumes for a strong stable. Looked sharp winning a trial on the track, and is drawn to get a sweet run with significant gear changes.
Dangers: This shapes as a nice race for four-year-old 3. Rocketing To Win resuming off an eight month spell for a new stable. Has drawn the inside off two trials, and two key gear removals are a sign of stable confidence. Progressive three-year-old 2. Into The Fire gave nothing else a chance resuming here. Up in weight, but looks headed for better races; while provincial three-year-old 5. Titan Star will find this easier after being trounced by a very promising filly at Gosford.
How to play it: Chevconi to win and trifecta 2,3,4/2,3,4/2,3,4,5. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 4 CLASS 4 HCP (1208m):|
The feature Country C'ship Preview is very competitive with plenty of chances. Home track five-year-old 6. Buzzoni is potentially the best horse in the race, and getting down in the weights third-up. Made up a tonne of ground from an impossible position resuming off a long break at Orange before working home in a handy BM 66 here, and ready to peak.
Dangers: Tough local four-year-old 2. From The Bush has a 50 percent winning strike rate from just six starts, and resumes off a forward trial. Proven weight carrier who comes to hand quickly. Lightly raced six-year-old 5. Northern Lights resumes off a long spell, but also finds form quickly in the prep. Has been given two quiet trials, and draws to get good cover. Local five-year-old 4. Bad Boy For Love has enough class and looms to strike third-up from the inside draw. Hasn't won for a while and in his third stable, but regularly hit the line impressively in deeper Highway company last prep. Consistent mare 3. Not Negotiating resumes without an official trial, but won the BM 77 Cotton Cup over a mile in spring, and well treated at the weights after the claim. Don't dismiss stablemate mare to top selection 7. Mont Genep who will roll forward under a light weight.
How to play it: Buzzoni each way and first four 2,5,6/2,3,4,5,6,7/2,3,4,5,6,7/2,3,4,5,6,7
Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 5 F & M CLASS 1 HCP (1108m):|
Progressive provincial mare 1. You Rang can simply jump, run and win! Hit the line strong from just off the speed in two runs back before taken to the front here and careering away to claim her maiden by a big margin. Stays at the distance, and should take the next step.
Dangers: Honest mare 2. Turfeze has been disappointing in three runs this prep, but will appreciate a little more ground, and less depth here while included in exotics 12. Sniper Excels down sharply in weight fifth-up.
How to play it: You Rang to win and trifecta 1/2,12/2,12. Odds and Evens: Split a special
You Rang wins at Bathurst on January 29
|Race 6 CLASS 1 & MAIDEN PLATE (1808m):|
Progressive filly 8. Ita will likely end up being the best galloper, and is well placed fifth-up. Finished hard to beat a good maiden field before outgunned in a handy BM 58. Will be getting home hard, and was scratched from Goulburn on Sunday to run here.
Dangers: Improving filly 9. Mandalong Beyond steps up from winning a weak country maiden as a long odds-on favourite, but draws to get a good trail over an ideal journey; while provincial mare 6. Jamocha has found the line okay in her last two, and has far more to offer than her record shows.
How to play it: Ita to win. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 7 BENCHMARK 58 HCP (1408m):|
Improving six-year-old mare 7. Twice The Value has closed off well in two runs this prep, and should relish stepping up sharply in distance. Gets nice weight relief after the claim, and can settle a little closer here.
Dangers: Local eight-year-old 2. Attilius can be hard to catch, but defied the market to scrape home here, although carting 60kg looks a real task. Dour seven-year-old 5. Never Been Another has a poor strike rate, and is known to mix his runs, but this is a clear drop in grade from his last two; while including both 6. Song One with a 3kg claim and 1. Mandirigma in exotics.
How to play it: Twice The Value to win. Odds and Evens: Split