By Neil Evans
Track around Soft 5/6 and rail out 2m from 1200m to 250m into a cut/away so on or near the speed early before trending wider
|Race 1 C, G & E MAIDEN HCP (1208m):|
Warwick Farm 3YO gelding 2. Green Jacket resumes off two sharp trials, but flopped on debut in heavy ground at Wyong last spring, although that was a much stronger maiden. Banking on him handling a wet surface now with more experience, and is bred along the right lines.
Dangers: Rival Hawkesbury 4YO 4. Uprise chased home the smart Riverside's Cash resuming at Canberra, but then struggled from the front up in trip. Back in distance, and blinkers come off.
How to play it: Green Jacket to win. Odds and Evens: Split.
|Race 2 F & M MAIDEN HCP (1208m):|
Now the girls' turn over the same trip, and it's a thin race. Wyong filly 1. Exotic Pearl rattled home late on debut at Pt Macquarie as a well backed favourite, and looks a very handy one in the making. Was due to run in Sunday's abandoned Port meeting, and did trial in Soft 7 ground last year. The one to beat!
Dangers: Warwick Farm 3YO filly 4. Rocquette has shown steady improvement in two runs back, but despite being by Hinchinbrook, hasn't fired a shot on wet tracks yet.
How to play it: Exotic Pearl to win. Odds and Evens: Odds
Exotic Pearl runs second at Port Macquarie on January 24
|Race 3 MAIDEN PLATE (1408m):|
Even contest at set weights, but 3YO Wyong gelding 6. Sapphires Son has only missed a place once in his last four, and powered home to beat all bar the winner in a tougher maiden at Scone last start. First time in these conditions, but has trialled okay in soft ground, and is by noted US wet track sire Pluck out of a mare whose only success was on rain affected tracks.
Dangers: Warwick Farm mare 10. Unloch The Rock is also nicely placed third-up after getting home well in the heavy at Nowra before just missing when closing late at Goulburn.
How to play it: Sapphires Son to win. Odds and Evens: Evens.
|Race 4 CLASS 1 & MAIDEN PLATE (1808m):|
Moderate race with plenty of chances. Hawkesbury 4YO gelding 4. Hard Expectations has been up for a while, but charged home late in a Class 1 this track last start. Form is solid enough for this, and should handle the damp.
Dangers: Warwick Farm 4YO mare 2. Eye Will is ready to win again after two progressive runs back, and bred to get over this trip and further. Improving 4YO Hawkesbury mare 9. Also Cool has progressed nicely in three runs back from a spell, and ready for this distance down in weight; while include Warwick Farm gelding 6. Lord Tropicana who has had three useful runs back in better company, and gets blinkers for the first time.
How to play it: Hard Expectations each way and trifecta 2,4/2,4,6,9/2,4,6,9. Odds and Evens: Evens.
|Race 5 BM 58 HCP (1408m):|
Another wide open one where the pattern will be crucial. Promising 3YO Warwick Farm filly 8. Do Not Disturb was no match for her stablemate on debut at Nowra before sweeping home to win her maiden on this track at only second start.
Dangers: Local 5YO gelding 7. Skipper Joe has been a consistent performer all prep, and only run over late by a smart one in BM 66 grade here last start. Drawn well, although some query if the track gets too heavy. Hawkesbury 4YO mare 5. Our Blue Moon has never been far away in four runs this prep against tougher opposition, and has shown a liking for rain-affected ground. Warwick Farm 3YO gelding 3. Antarctic Ocean resumes off two trials, and made good progress in his first prep, bolting in his maiden at Mudgee third start.
How to play it: Do Not Disturb to win. Odds and Evens: Split.
|Race 6 CLASS 4 HCP (1208m);|
Tricky and competitive Country C'ship Preview, but keen on talented 4YO Gulgong mare 6. Smart Moove who resumes without a public trial, but fresh record is sound enough, and this is her pet distance in ground she will relish.
Dangers: Local 4YO mare 5. Tale Of The Kraut has plenty of ability, and in terrific form winning two straight here before finishing hard in a good quality Highway at Randwick. Only concern is how wet the track gets. Stablemate 3YO filly 7. Press Week will also be hard to beat on her home track and on the limit weight. Improved to win a decent sprint at Cowra third-up, but low draw in these conditions could be a real leveller. Be surprised if anything else wins, although watch the market on rival local mare 4. Speed Camera who resumes off an easy trial, but destroyed a weaker field first-up in the spring, and bred to handle the ground.
How to play it: Smart Moove each way; quinella 5 and 6; and box trifecta 4,5,6,7. Odds and Evens: Split.
|Race 7 CLASS 1 HCP (1108m):|
Most open race of the day to finish, although 3YO Warwick Farm filly 10. Just Jessie looks hard to beat after hitting the line late first-up at Goulburn. Had previously trialled well, and only career win so far came second-up last winter.
Dangers: Local 4YO gelding 1. Reward For Silence resumes off two trials, and while this is short of his best, has ability and the blinkers go on.
How to play it: Just Jessie to win. Odds and Evens: Split.
Just Jessie's first-up run at Goulburn on January 28