By Neil Evans
Track Heavy 8/9 and rail true so expect or on near the pace early before late trend wider
|Race 1 CLASS 1 HCP (1000m):|
Consistent 3YO Murwillumbah filly 2. Hollywood Dreaming from the Matt Dunn stable is at peak fitness after four runs, draws the inside, and gets conditions to suit after surging home to win her maiden at home last start in soft going.
Dangers: Watch the market around Gold Coast filly 3. Sukoshi who was only average third-up in a BM 62 at Ipswich, but best form is clearly on rain-affected going. Include Coffs Harbour 4YO 5. Beat That first-up if you are playing the wider exotics.
How to play it: Hollywood Dreaming to win. Odds and Evens: Split
Hollywood Dreaming wins at Murwillumbah on July 2
|Race 2 BM 58 HCP (1000m):|
Tricky restricted sprint in these conditions. Grafton 5YO gelding 6. Tobasco from the John Shelton stable nearly always improves sharply when he gets on to a wet track. Finished close-up in his last two at Taree in soft going against better opposition, and drawn to get a charmed run.
Dangers: Coffs Harbour mare 7. Secrets No More has a poor winning strike rate from 52 starts, but also relishes rain-affected going. Charged home from well back to win last start at Port Macquarie on a Soft 7 rating. Murwillumbah filly 3. Devine Grey resumes for a leading stable, and did win her maiden fresh at home late last year. Will drift a fair way back, and trial was only fair when scouting wide from well off the speed. Keep 4YO mare 2. Be Watchful safe resuming for local stable without a public trial.
How to play it: Tobasco to win. Odds and Evens: Split
Tobasco runs third at Taree on June 29
|Race 3 MAIDEN PLATE (1590m):|
Fingers crossed, but this can finally be the break-through race for Coffs Harbour 5YO 1. Guest fourth-up from the Jim Jarvis yard at his 24th start. Perennial back-marker who flew home to just miss on a heavy 8 in a deeper maiden at Port Macquarie, and is well suited under the set weight conditions.
Dangers: Progressive Murwillumbah 3YO 3. Hogan's Dare was heavily backed when just missing charging late at home second-up, and is ready to win, although the inside gate may not suit his natural pattern. Grafton 4YO 2. Haven Road has run three consecutive close 2nds, and prefers rain-affected ground. Drawn to roll forward and give another big sight on speed.
How to play it: Guest to win and box trifecta 1,2,3. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 4 MAIDEN HCP (1000m):|
Thin and very tricky maiden, with plenty either on debut or resuming, so the market will have a big say, especially on those who have changed stables. Local 3YO gelding 2. My Cousin James (One Lickety Split x Ancient City by Denon) debuts off a dominant soft track trial win, and appears well placed.
Dangers: Former Victorian filly 11. The Red One resumes for new Coffs Harbour yard, and showed enough in first prep to be competitive here. Include Gold Coast 3YO 1. Cubic Zirconia who returns for his first run in nearly a year, and has trialled okay. Watch the betting on former Albury-based 2YO filly 6. Angama who resumes for new Grafton stable without an official trial; and local filly 4. Colour Chart (Master Of Design x Colourist by Danzero) who debuts off a quiet trial.
How to play it: My Cousin James to win. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 5 MAIDEN PLATE (1250m):|
It doesn't get any easier here, with several chances. Murwillumbah filly 11. Allares showed good improvement second-up in a deeper maiden, and prefer her drawn well away from the inside.
Dangers: Former Victorian having his first start for new Grafton stable, 3YO gelding 2. Alkaamel would need to show a bit more, but is bred to handle the ground. Watch the betting on US-bred Qld 4YO 1. Add Me Some (Ad Valorem x Alameda by Frisco View) who has had a stack of trials, winning the latest. Coffs Harbour mare 12. In For A Dollar like many needs to improve, but gets the blinkers on; while Grafton 3YO 8. Quarter Charge can also improve sharply against this lot.
How to play it: Dollareuro to win and first four 2,11/1,2,8,11,12/1,2,8,11,12/1,2,8,11,12. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 6 CLASS 3 (1590m):|
Keen on 3YO Gold Coast filly 2. Take Tea from the Less Kelly yard fourth-up. Has been hitting the line well in better races over the border, and peaks here with a 2kg claim in ground she appreciates.
Dangers: Warwick Farm 5YO 3. Damit comes out of that same CL3 at Grafton when finishing okay third-up, but would need to find a length to trouble the top two; while include Murwillumbah 3YO 4. In Waves who has been solid enough through the line in four runs this prep, prefers wet tracks, and is sneaking down in the weights.
How to play it: Take Tea to win. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 7 BM 58 HCP (1400m):|
We close with a fairly even battle. Like progressive 4YO Murwillumbah gelding 4. Stuck With You from the Dunn yard coming back from metro class fourth-up in his first prep. Already shown a clear liking for rain-affected ground, and draws to park off the speed and finish over the top.
Dangers: Lismore 3YO filly 3. Amirykal is also well placed third-up, despite a sharp rise in weight. Scored an impressive CL2 win resuming in the heavy at Grafton before brave in a much tougher Highway finishing only 2.6 lengths from the smart Rothenburg. Grafton mare 6. Canford Springs has had four spaced runs this prep. Worked home okay in a stronger CL3 last start, and suited out to this distance in a race with less depth.
How to play it: Stuck With You to win and quinella 3 and 4. Odds and Evens: Split.