By Neil Evans
Track likely Heavy 9/10 and Rail out 6m so expect around of just off the speed before trending wider
|Race 1 MAIDEN PLATE (1175m):|
Good tactical sprint to start with several hopes. Local 4YO 2. Break On Through (Hallowed Crown x Evening Glitter by Rock Of Gibraltar) from the Mitchell Beer stable hasn't been seen at the official trials since a nice effort in early February, but debuts in blinkers for leading trainer-rider combination, and sire is a renowned producer of wet track performers.
Dangers: Plenty of them headed by Wagga 4YO 1. Bouris who has worked to the line solidly in his last two, and should find this a shade easier, although up to 59kg. Canberra mare 5. Foxy Kim held her ground okay on debut at Forbes, and also bred to get through this ground. Another mare from Canberra 7. Scalded was only grabbed late second-up in heavy ground, and trainer has made a couple of key gear changes; while watch the market on stablemate debutant to the top selection 8. Vintage Year who was well down the track in a recent trial.
How to play it: Break On Through to win. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 2 BM 58 HCP (1600m):|
Keen on home track 6YO 3. Funky Farm from the Rob Wellington stable who hit the line nicely in similar conditions at Wagga, and very well treated at the weights after rider's 3kg claim.
Dangers: Local 9YO 2. Dezzy did too much work on a solid speed when back in trip last last start, and weakened late. Backs up quickly, out to a more suitable trip and loves it wet. Gundagai mare 7. Only A Dream produced her best run in a while finishing hard in a similar race at home, although drop back in trip is a query.
How to play it: Funky Farm to win. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 3 MAIDEN PLATE (1600m):|
Back to the maidens at set weights over the same trip, and the Wellington stable is again to the fore with improving 5YO 4. Saint Henry who is bursting to break through. Fought on hard after leading in similar conditions, and only run down in the last few strides by tough stayer Cape Cluster. Likely to roll forward again, and can control the race.
Dangers: Wagga 3YO 9. Alluvial looks the main threat after getting home late in the heavy at Gundagai right behind second-placed Cape Cluster who then won next start. Gap to the rest, although local mare 6. Cracking Dawn is hard fit deep into the prep, and was close-up at Gundagai last start.
How to play it: Saint Henry to win. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 4 BM 66 HCP (1600m):|
Good tactical battle over the longer distance. Capable Gundagai 6YO 2. Monkery is ready for the step back out to this trip after working home late behind a smart one in the BM 82 Narrandera Cup. Up sharply in weight, but can accelerate through this ground, and already a two-time winner at the track.
Dangers: Local 8YO fans' favourite 3. Willy White Sox lines up for his 96th start, but still racing with real zest. Hit the line well in his last three, beating all but perennial "swimmer" Gentleman Max at Wagga last start, and looks reasonably well treated under 58kg. Queanbeyan 8YO 4. Hello China just missed out in a handy BM 64 at Kembla coming back in trip, and best form is clearly on rain-affected ground. Home track 9YO 1. Footmark stormed home to win here three runs back before outclassed in the Narrandera Cup, then worked home in a BM 82 at Wagga full of pure wet trackers. Hard fit, and big weight off-set by the rider's 3kg claim.
How to play it: Monkery to win and trifecta 2,3,4/2,3,4/1,2,3,4. Odds and Evens: Split
Monkery runs second at Narrandera on July 19
|Race 5 MAIDEN HCP (900m):|
Resuming 4YO 1. Bautista from the local Donna Scott stable can return with a bang, despite the wide draw. Ran on late debuting at Wagga back in late March, and has been given a quiet trial coming in.
Dangers: Resuming Wagga mare 10. Torsiton campaigned against much stronger metro and provincial company last prep. Had a quiet trial in the heavy leading in, and looks well weighted, but still unproven in these conditions.
How to play it: Bautista to win. Odds and Evens: Split.
Bautista runs third in a Wagga trial on August 9
|Race 6 CLASS 1 HCP (1400m):|
Gundagai 5YO 4. Taliano from the Michelle Russell yard is on the rise, and much better than his one win from 14 starts suggests, although has been placed a further seven times. Charged home to beat a good maiden field at Wagga two runs back before looked to have it won at home until edged out right on the line. Drawn wider suits his style, and leading Riverina jockey sticks hard.
Dangers: Most intriguing runner of the day is former Kiwi 5YO 1. Our Dreamsarefree who hasn't raced since New Year's Day when a strong second in BM 65 grade in NZ. That capped a good first prep where he bolted in his maiden over a mile at third start. Did win a trial back home five weeks ago, and while he'll be looking for further, can roll forward from out wide and give a big sight for new local stable. Home track 4YO 3. Oamanikka has made an impressive start to his career, with a smart maiden win at Leeton in only his second start before working home late as an even money favourite in heavy ground at Wagga. Inside gate may be tricky late in the day, but this looks well within reach.
How to play it: Taliano to win and box exacta 1,3,4. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 7 BM 66 HCP (1175m):|
We close the card with a competitive and open sprint, and two runners look great value. Improving local 5YO 7. Jawwaal from the Beer yard comes back sharply in trip, but has been consistent enough under big weights. Finished only 3.7 lengths from the smart Rothenburg in a Highway at Rosehill three runs back.
Dangers: Lightly raced local 7YO 1. Nevada Dane will relish a rise in distance after working home late in a stronger BM 82 at Wagga. Previously finished hard to win a BM 66 at Narrandera under 61kg, and big weight here is off-set by a 3kg claim. Corowa mare 3. Magnavale comes back in grade after chasing a good speed at Wagga, but extra trip under a sharp rise to 61kg is still a query; while local mare 11. Hazel's Diary is one of the better weighted runners all day, and saves her best for heavy tracks.
How to play it: Jawwaal to win; Nevada Dane each way. Odds and Evens: Odds a special.