By Ray Hickson
Tips and race by race preview by Ray Hickson for Friday’s Dubbo meeting. Selections based on a good track.
|Race 1 – 12:20PM KINGS HALLS JEWELLERS SILVER GOBLET (1100 METRES)|
7. Papa John has been gelded since a solid enough debut back in January and looked to do it pretty well in a recent trial at Scone. Open race and one with many chances but expecting him to run a cheeky race fresh.
Dangers: 1. Calescent is the horse to beat on form, she sat wide throughout on a heavy track at Albury and was only reeled in late., Only failures have been in the city and she should be in this for a long way. 3. Baker Street has just the one trial under his belt and he wasn’t asked for a supreme effort in running third there at Scone. In top stable, drawn the inside and any support would be significant. 11. Joy And Peace is a well bred filly on debut and she’s also had the one trial, and again it was a quiet one at Muswellbrook. Drawn out but respect any support for her. Also worth including 2. Denace and 4. Eiger in calculations.
How to play it: Papa John E/W ($10 TAB Fixed Odds).
Papa John runs second in a trial at Scone on June 5
|Race 2 - 12:55PM FLY PELICAN HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
2. What The Fuss just needs the breaks to go his way to break through in a race of not many chances on paper. Run down late here two starts back then dropped to 900m and just couldn’t grab the leader. Trip ideal, drawn to be handy and should take beating.
Dangers: 3. Egyptian Amulet is extremely well bred but has taken some time to make it to the races. Tested out a bit in winning his trial at Scone beating Papa John and he’s one to keep a close eye on. 6. Expellable is having his first start for Cameron Crockett and he couldn’t have been more impressive in winning a trial at Scone recently. Form to date has been patchy but if he runs up to the trial he will go close. Next best 5. Tayrose who has the chance to improve third-up.
How to play it: What The Fuss WIN ($3.10 TAB Fixed Odds).
What The Fuss runs second at Wellington on May 20
|Race 3 – 1.35PM MONEY QUEST HANDICAP (1000 METRES)|
6. Princess Lottie went off the boil a bit at the end of last prep but early on she was in the sort of form that would win this race easily. Won at Wyong fresh then at Newcastle, gets in with 54kg and a nice gate in a race with a bit of speed and has trialled well. Should be competitive.
Dangers: 5. Jetgirl rarely runs a bad race and she did a big job with 60kg at Hawkesbury last time when wide on the speed. Races well here and expect her to be around the mark. 1. Anna’s Joy won at Randwick in April and was game in the Wagga Town Plate but her last two in stronger city grade have been below par. Blinkers go on, she’ll be right on the pace and no surprise to see her go close. 3. Gwenneth has come a long way from Albury to run here so that suggests she’s ready to go. She can mix her form but is a good short courser with a placing down the Flemington straight three runs ago. Couldn’t leave her out.
How to play it: Princess Lottie E/W ($11 TAB Fixed Odds).
Princess Lottie wins a trial at Scone on June 5
|Race 4 – 2.10PM REFLECTIONS RESTAURANT PLATE (1300 METRES)|
8. The Exchequer has a tricky gate to overcome but he has the hoof right on the till at the moment with a couple of close seconds on end. Nabbed on the line at Gunnedah last start and just missed over this course prior to that. Good chance.
Dangers: 11. Gemmahra is an interesting runner, lightly raced with thirds at both starts to date. Given a nice quiet trial against open company and she’d be well worth keeping safe. 2. Banff weaved his way through the pack at his second start for a handy third at Scone over 1400m. Just peaked late there so the drop of 100m might suit and he looks in a race he could win without surprising. 13. Southern Strategy has nine placings from 18 starts and three of those have come at this distance. Had her chance last time at 1100m but can never be left out of the multiples.
How to play it: The Exchequer WIN ($4.20 TAB Fixed Odds).
The Exchequer runs second at Gunnedah on May 19
|Race 5 – 2.50PM DUBBO CHAMBER RHINO AWARDS CUP (1600 METRES)|
1. Sugar Dance gets in very well with the 4kg claim in a race where he should be able to control the speed again as he did at Wellington last start for the same apprentice rider. Has placed at a mile at his only attempt and will give them plenty to run down.
Dangers: 3. A Martin Placepick chased Sugar Dance home last start on the back of a placing in the Gunnedah Cup over this trip. Has a 2kg turnaround on Sugar Dance here so that gives him his chance. 2. Cool And Neat has been racing well of late with his only flop coming at Gosford on a wet track. Tried hard to Mudgee last time over the mile and has a senior rider on for the first time in a while. Entitled to run well. 7. Sonic Girl is another going well without winning and she just bumped into a progressive type when runner-up at Bathurst. Wasn’t far from Cool And Neat at Mudgee before that so has each-way claims.
How to play it: Sugar Dance WIN ($2.80 TAB Fixed Odds).
Sugar Dance leads all the way at Wellington on June 6
|Race 6 – 3.25PM BACK TO THE MILESTONE HANDICAP (1600 METRES)|
6. Modern Family broke through for his maiden win in a Class 1 over this course last start and strikes a race no harder. He had a bit on them at the finish, drawn nicely and there’s no reason he couldn’t win again.
Dangers: 4. Thunderzone attacked the line strongly late when he resumed at 1300m at Dubbo. Yet to be tried at a mile but he’s been strong at the end of 1500m previously and has struck a winnable race. Should be competitive. 1. The Frick has run into form at his past couple with a closing second at Tamworth and another handy effort at Bathurst at 1800m. Should be at his top now and has every chance to break through. 7. The Cyprian won at Scone first-up then disappointed second-up. No match for the winner last time but stayed on okay for a place and this is a similar affair. Each-way claims.
How to play it: Modern Family WIN ($3.30 TAB Fixed Odds).
Modern Family wins at Dubbo on May 27
|Race 7 - 4:05PM REGIONAL AUSTRALIA INSURANCE WINTER CLASSIC FINAL (1300 METRES)|
3. Petain is very close to a win and was the eye-catcher running second in one of the two heats for this race last month. Drew wide there and settled back but charged home and from a better gate here will have every chance to break through.
Dangers: 2. California Fox was a 30/1 chance when he led all the way to win that heat and he ran over a second faster than the fillies and mares heat on the same day. If that wasn’t a fluke then he’s a serious chance again. 10. Ecstatically looked the winner of the F&M heat but was grabbed in the last stride. She’s very consistent and wouldn’t need to improve a lot to be right in the finish again. 7. Toulon Brook started a warm favourite in the race won by California Fox and it’s fair to say he was a bit disappointing after racing handy. Only second-up there so entitled to another chance but does have some improving to do to turn the tables.
How to play it: Petain E/W ($6.50 TAB Fixed Odds).
Petain runs second at Dubbo on May 27
|Race 8 - 4:40PM REGIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
9. Herzegovina is a very interesting runner resuming as a gelding. Placed to Girl Tuesday at his third start and beat Think Free at start four before his form dropped off. Two trials back have been good and while 1100m might be a touch short he’s hard to beat.
Dangers: 4. Mornay will need luck from a wide alley but his two country runs have had merit and his only failure came when thrown in the deep end in the Gosford Guineas. Quiet trial behind a smart filly at Randwick and he’s well worth keeping safe. 5. Chevron Prince is an up and comer who couldn’t have done much more in winning a maiden here a couple of weeks back. No favours this time from the barrier but he looks to have some upside so has to be respected. 8. Red Russian won a 900m maiden on debut at Wellington but did it the hard way sitting wide on the speed and still proving too strong late. Interested to see what he produces here and he’d be worth throwing in.
How to play it: Herzegovina E/W ($5.50 TAB Fixed Odds).
Herzegovina wins a trial at Scone on June 5