By Brad Gray
Tips and race by race preview by Brad Gray for Sapphire Coast on Sunday.
The form has been done for a Good track.
|Race 1 - 12:40PM TATHRA BEACH COUNTRY CLUB MAIDEN PLATE (908 METRES)|
7. Raven’s Rabbit started her career in the US but the lightly-raced five-year-old has found a home now with Matthew Dale and what she did first up for her new yard last preparation when second to Pauper at Moruya would win this. Inclined to be forgiving of her subsequent failure.
Dangers: 6. Easy Mover is a 22 start maiden but finds a very winnable race here and is rarely far away. Was beaten a long way by Raven’s Rabbit when they met at Moruya though. 1. Full Of Fire with the blinkers first time next best.
How to play it: Raven’s Rabbit WIN ($2.50 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
|Race 2 - 1:15PM TURA BEACH COUNTRY CLUB MAIDEN PLATE (1208 METRES)|
12. The Deepest Secret never got a crack at her rivals at Goulburn last week. Convinced she’d had fought out the finish with any luck. That was off a year break. Not conventional to see her seven days later but she had every right to be bright after never being asked to extend.
Dangers: 4. Farage also presents here on the week turnaround after blowing his chances at the start at Canberra. His two runs prior to that see him in the finish again here. 1. Endymion will look the winner at some stage but is just failing to put one away.
How to play it: The Deepest Secret WIN ($3.60 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: EVENS
|Race 3 - 1:50PM TATHRA BEACH BOWLO SOUTH COAST CUP - BENCHMARK 58 HANDICAP (1608 METRES)|
6. Globalise was unsuited back in trip last start at Moruya having won so impressively this track and trip the start prior. Blaike McDougall does the steering here and will have the four-year-old parked in the first couple.
Dangers: 8. Shrug ran in that same Moruya race and there was a struck match between her and Globalise. She isn’t far away from another win. 3. Freaky Freckles is on trial at this trip but is hard fit and her recent form behind Cyborg and Airfree reads exceptionally well.
How to play it: 6. Globalise WIN ($3.20 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: EVENS
|Race 4 - 2:29PM CLUB BEGA MAIDEN HANDICAP (1608 METRES)|
No excuses now for 6. Rubaiya having found the perfect race third up out to the mile from a middle draw. She was excellent first up before running third behind River Charge and Shelby Sixtysix, with both franking the form since. Should be winning.
Dangers: 2. Belleistic Lad and 10. Silver Nook are unlikely to turn the tables on Rubaiya from last start but both are building towards something and are suited out to the mile. Throw them into exotics.
How to play it: Rubaiya WIN ($2.10 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: EVENS
|Race 5 - 3:09PM MERIMBULA RSL BENCHMARK 58 HANDICAP (908 METRES)|
If 1. Major Danger is anywhere near ready after eight months on the sidelines he is the horse to beat. Down to 58.5kg after the claim sees him in just 3.5kg above the minimum. Very appealing for a Highway Handicap winner only three starts ago.
Dangers: 3. Bitofastar has tackled this track and trip twice for a win and a fast finishing second. Watch form him late. It’s a similar case for 15. Loose Wire having won brilliantly over 900m here first up. Hasn’t threatened since but could be big odds.
How to play it: Major Danger WIN ($2.70 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: EVENS
|Race 6 - 3:49PM BERMAGUI COUNTRY CLUB CLASS 2 PLATE (1408 METRES)|
4. Direct Default is holding his form well at the moment and will punch up from the inside draw to be handier than we saw at Goulburn last start. Has failed over 1400m in the past but all four of those runs were earlier in his career. Looks to want the trip now.
Dangers: 5. Ethanicity is five weeks between runs which is the query but if he returns where he left off, this is a very suitable race. 10. No Emotion has a 2.5L margin to turnaround on Ethanicity when they met at this track back in early March but presents the fitter of the two here.
How to play it: Direct Default WIN ($5.50 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: EVENS
|Race 7 - 4:29PM CLUB SAPPHIRE CLASS 3 HANDICAP (1208 METRES)|
Not an easy race but siding with 4. Action Shale for Nick Olive. Has a lot of convictions with two wins from 21 starts but that’s the story of this race. He is fit, holding his form and should get the right run, which will go a long way to finding the winner here.
Dangers: 5. It’s Business Time beat Action Shale home last start, albeit at big odds, but warrants respect on that alone. 2. El Nieto was slow to recover at this track five weeks ago. Has won three of 10 and can bounce back.
How to play it: Action Shale WIN ($4.40 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT