By Neil Evans
Track Good 3 and Rail out 3m, so should play on-pace early before levelling out.
|Race 1 - 1:10PM WARWICK MENLOVE 2YO HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
Final market could be shaped by the debutants, especially Newcastle colt 2. Captain Solo who has had two forward trials.
Dangers: Gulgong filly 1. Deviate took on tougher metro company in the spring before winning his maiden this track, then a fair effort in city grade on the last Saturday of the year. Generally reacts when races are spaced.
How to play it: Quinella 1 and 2
|Race 2 - 1:50PM SEGENHOE MAIDEN PLATE (900 METRES)|
Scamper at set weights looks ideal for Scone debutant 3. Harbouring who hasn't officially trialled since a smart winning effort at Tamworth in September but is reportedly forward and working well for leading trainer Rod Northam.
Dangers: Muswellbrook-trained favourite 3. Looksea has had three runs back from a spell and trialled strongly since and is the obvious threat, while 5. Alchera hasn't officially trialled for five months, but is suited from a sprinting stable and with leading rider engaged for debut.
How to play it: Harbouring to win and quinella 2 and 3
|Race 3 - 2:25PM Heat of the Rising Star 1300m (1300 METRES)|
Competitive battle with a few chances, but liked the first-up effort of local 4YO 4. Rekindled Force over unsuitable 1150m at Cessnock, despite missing a place as an easing short-priced favourite. Much better off back at home over longer trip and more spacious and forgiving track.
Dangers: Progressive Newcastle gelding 2. More Chilli was close-up in that same Cessnock race and is again drawn to sit on the speed. Consistent Mudgee 5YO 3. Foxdown resumed with a dominant win at Muswellbrook, and then fought on tenaciously in a BM 64 at Hawkesbury. Profiles to get home from off the speed. Local mare 6. Daiquiri Lass was solid through the line at Tamworth, and gets a huge drop in weight after the rider's claim. Prepared to bet around early favourite 5. Albert's No Pussy over this trip.
How to play it: Rekindled Force to win and trifecta 2-3-4/2-3-4-6
|Race 4 - 3:05PM ARROWFIELD BENCHMARK 66 HANDICAP (2200 METRES)|
Tricky battle of tactics, but Newcastle-trained 4. Latin Light looks ready to peak fourth run this prep and back in grade. Found the line okay in BM70 over the mile two runs back, before feeling the pressure late in a stronger race at Canterbury. Fitter now at right trip to sit just off the speed and pounce early in the straight.
Dangers: Improving Randwick 5YO 6. The Mist careered away for his second win in weaker grade at Nowra, and tougher opposition here off-set by weight relief and a nice barrier. Armidale-trained 2. Rage Against is fit and consistently around the money, but struggles to win; while include 1. Hand It In who should improve fourth-up at this trip.
How to play it: Latin Light to win and quinella 4 and 6
|Race 5 - 3:40PM 1ST PRIDE OF DUBAI YEARLINGS SELLING NOW @ COOLMORE BENCHMARK 58 HANDICAP (900 METRES)|
Back to the short-coursers where there'll be no loafing. Local 4YO gelding 1. Bon Allen is the one to beat after a nice all-the-way trial win at Muswellbrook finishing comfortably ahead of Emanuela who resumed with a dominant closing win on Wednesday. Hasn't started for five months, but was very competitive in city Highway grade in the winter, and unlike many by Bon Hoffa, has early barrier speed.
Dangers: Gosford 4YO 2. Gojoycego has a good fresh record, and looked strong close-up in a trial earlier last month when restrained for much of the journey. Has natural gate speed, so stable just want him to relax and finish off. After a string of close-up runs, Gosford mare 7. Miss Eimar finally won her maiden two weeks back at Taree and should go on with it here from a good gate. Resuming Scone filly 6. In Good Health, who has ability, and Newcastle mare 8. Penny Dreadful, who hit the line nicely at Cessnock, are both each-way chances.
How to play it: Bon Allen to win and quinella 1 and 2
|Race 6 - 4:20PM HEADWATER @ VINERY 3YO & UP MAIDEN HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
At second career run, Warwick Farm-trained 3. Expellable did plenty of work at Nowra before dashing clear and was only pinned back in the final 50m. Should improve again for leading metro stable and looks well placed on spacious track.
Dangers: Randwick filly 11. Single Sapphire will improve second-up dropping back from city grade. Liked the winning trial of powerful well-bred filly and first starter 8. Luna Mia for top local stable. Despite wide draw, trial rider sticks like glue. Doubt anything else can win, although Armidale filly 7. Rabaab has been consistent in her first prep and just missed in a strong maiden two runs back.
How to play it: Expellable to win and quinella 3 and 11
|Race 7 - 4:55PM Yarraman @ Classic Sale Benchmark 58 Handicap (1600 METRES)|
Open and tough race. Mudgee-trained 1. Western Parade cops a significant weight rise back in grade, but he's powered to the line from well back in his last two at Orange, and is ready to win back to the mile.
Dangers: Tamworth-trained 6. Making Shadows has only won one from 18, but is still progressing as the distances rise, and he's drawn a nice gate to sit midfield and finish off. Another Tamworth visitor 7. St Luke has been banging on the door right through his summer prep, and again looks well placed with the rider's claim to be working into the finish. Look for big improvement from Newcastle-trained 3. Eagleworks getting to a more suitable distance third-up.
How to play it: Western Parade to win
|Race 8 - 5:30PM WIDDEN BENCHMARK 66 HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
Smart Tamworth sprinter 2. Anchois looms as one of the bets of the day! Won easily from the front as a hot favourite two runs back before working home nicely behind a good horse in a strong Randwick Highway. Been given a six-week freshen-up, and should park right on the speed.
Dangers: Newcastle filly 5. Kedah is the clear threat returning off a short break and a smart trial, and is unbeaten fresh. Armidale-trained 1. Falster was competitive in good provincial and city company in late winter, and normally comes to hand quickly. Drawn well and rider takes 3kg off, while Scone mare 8. Love For Willow is also first-up but will be finishing off late.
How to play it: Anchois to win