By Neil Evans
Track Heavy 9 and rail out 5m.
Race 1 - 12:55PM SCONE RSL MAIDEN HANDICAP (1000 METRES) |
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7. Hard Rattle is a provincial mare very well placed in a weak maiden to finally break through fifth-up and four weeks between runs. Has shown steady improvement this prep, sticking on into a place at Wellington last start, and her best form is on rain-affected ground. Was scratched from Narromine on Sunday to be saved for this. 2. Bonoyster hasn’t done much this prep, but will appreciate a thinner race, and is very fit deep into the prep. Gap to the rest headed by 3. Cool Bee Bee, a three-year-old debutant who has trialled okay on the track; and 9. Raw Gold deep into the campaign and prefers heavy going.
How to play it: Hard Rattle to win
Race 2 - 1:35PM COLOURWORKS MAIDEN HANDICAP (1250 METRES) |
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1. Empress Tsarina is a consistent and honest mare who is ready to break through and cap an encouraging first prep. Was placed in three consecutive races early in the campaign against better provincial opposition before a let-up, then failed to fire on a shifty track at Muswellbrook. Again battled away just 13 days ago when dropping back to 1000m, but this is a far more suitable trip where she can be ridden a little quieter and get to the outside. 5. Wanavan is an improver, also well credentialed to win this fourth-up, but has to get over from an outside barrier. Be surprised if the winner comes from anywhere else, but include local mare 4. Rockadeel improving into her second start, 6. Alchemia resuming off two trials, and 14. Torquin who finds a weak race third-up, in all exotic plays.
How to play it: Empress Tsarina to win
Race 3 - 2:10PM MUSWELLBROOK FORD COUNTRY BOOSTED MAIDEN PLATE (1600M) |
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1. Blue Kingdom is a home tracker primed to break through at his fourth start. Hit the line nicely on debut at Taree before covering ground at Dubbo, but still worked to the line nicely in what was a more than handy maiden. Suited getting up to the mile, leading jockey sticks, and right at home on soft and heavy tracks. Keep safe 4. Fantastic Beast who has mixed his form this prep, but didn’t have a lot of luck in a useful Class 1 last start over further, and the drop in trip is key. 14. Redaluca Girl is trained on the course and reloads a month between runs via a nice trial win. 11. Pathelia drawn wide but an improver in a thinner race can run into the minor money.
How to play it: Blue Kingdom to win
Race 4 - 2:45PM MITTY'S BENCHMARK 58 HANDICAP (1600 METRES) |
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3. Sebilla is a progressive home track mare who finds the right race over a furlong further to finally capture a third win. Campaigned in three consecutive and tougher Saturday Highways before reloading off a break and running home late in a better race than this at Dubbo. That form augurs well for this despite going up in weight and drawn wide. 5. Ghaznavi has enough ability despite a lean win rate. Swept home to win his maiden here three runs ago, and was good late when missing narrowly at Tamworth 10 days back. Looks the clear threat, especially after bypassing Narromine to run here. 1. Big Short is hard fit and over the odds coming off a tough front-running win in similar company at Tamworth. 9. Set To Prophet from the inside draw fourth-up is the best of the rest.
How to play it: Sebilla to win
Race 5 - 3:20PM INGLIS BENCHMARK 58 HANDICAP (1400 METRES) |
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8. Gold Smiles is a tough improver who shapes well over the odds in what is now a weakened race, having not missed a place in four runs this prep. Was a dominant BM 58 win three starts ago, and draws to get good cover. 2. Dawn County is a big improver second-up for the new stable. 9. Major Makeover hits peak fitness third-up off a let-up. 3. Nay Pee Cee, a sparingly raced five-year-old second-up, and 6. Outback Crumpet five weeks between runs via a soft trial; can both add plenty of value into exotic bets. Gap to the rest.
How to play it: Gold Smiles to win
Race 6 - 3:55PM NEWGATE COUNTRY BOOSTED CLASS 2 HANDICAP (1250 METRES) |
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5. Upwardly Mobile is an improving local mare who can launch here second-up at good value over 150m further. Took on deeper races last prep, and loved the way she let down from the back at Dubbo when resuming as a solid enough favourite. Stronger jockey takes over, both career wins from nine starts have come here, and only needs a clear crack at them from the 350m. 9. Salvato is a lightly raced and talented local who will likely jump clear favourite. Was impressive finishing best to easily win his maiden as a heavily backed favourite a fortnight ago, and looks destined for bigger targets. 3. Archaic Force looks suitably placed third-up over further after rattling home to be beaten under a length in a BM 58 at Dubbo. 1. Reflecting Fame is a big market watch returning off a 10 week break and two spaced trials. 12. Chestime is a local mare and market watch at big odds resuming off a soft track trial win.
How to play it: Upwardly Mobile to win
Race 7 - 4:35PM EMIRATES PARK BENCHMARK 58 HANDICAP (1000 METRES) |
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7. Parmenio is well placed rolling forward first-up from a wider draw for the new country stable. Top jockey has been booked, and two of the better fancies early have both come out. 1. Romantic Love is progressive enough and ready to peak third-up with a gear change. 9. The Affirmative improving second-up can figure in the money; while 11. Parana River also second-up is the best of the rest.
How to play it: Parmenio to win
BEST BETS:
R3 1. BLUE KINGDOM
R7 7. PARMENIO
BEST VALUE:
R4 3. SEBILLA