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Tips from Brad Gray

All your tips, form and analysis for Thursday's Kembla Grange Provincial Championships Qualifier.

Winner: 1. All But Gone ($26) Kembla Grange has copped plenty of the big wet and will no doubt play into the genuine wet trackers here. All But Gone went around in the Wyong Qualifier but Greg Ryan was never allowed to release the hand break let alone roll through the gears. As we saw from Another Aan, who was also luckless in the race, it can pay to be forgiving. All But Gone has won both of his heavy track starts and significantly, both were rated Heavy 10. This five-year-old has won five from fifteen and although yet to crack it on town, he has proved himself a city-class galloper. Much prefer a wide gate as to an inside one for him. Overs at $26.

All But Gone never saw daylight at Wyong (red cap out the back)

Quinella: 8. Echo Effect ($2.80) It’s impossible to ignore his recent form, highlighted by his latest outing when the narrowest of seconds in the Hobartville Stakes splitting Man From Uncle and Comin’ Through. He is the highest rated horse in the field so very well treated under the set weights and is two from two on heavy tracks. He’ll bounce out from the good draw and put himself right up on the bunny. The two negatives are that he hasn’t had the smoothest month with a hoof injury preventing him from racing, which could leave him vulnerable late, and secondly his price. He is short enough at $2.80. He’s your saver play.

Echo Effect’s narrow Hobartville second

Trifecta: 9. Louie Sea Kay ($11) He’s a pretty smart galloper. LSK is four now and has 12 starts under his belt but you get the impression we still haven’t seen the very best of him. He possesses a big finish and like the wide draw as it allows the rider to wind him through his gears in plenty of room. Speaking of which, he’ll be ridden by Josh Parr who has a great affinity with the horse, winning on him at Rosehill three back before steering him to a second at Randwick last start. He has never seen a track worse than a Soft 7 but has handled the wet in the past. Has been two months between runs but had a tickover trial since.

Louie Sea Kay’s recent Randwick win

Related article Markwell Aiming To Get Second Horse Into Final

Roughie: 3. Beretta ($15) When the top pick is $26 you don’t leave yourself much wiggle room with a roughie! However, Beretta is another that enjoys ploughing through the mud. He blew the cobwebs out first-up in the Wyong Qualifier running fifth and was an impressive winner second-up last preparation. That win was on Heavy 10 ground too. With Hugh Bowman in the saddle and the Kris Lees training polish, don’t discount him fighting out the finish.

Beretta’s second-up win in similar conditions last campaign

*All prices courtesy of TAB and are correct as of 9am Wednesday on 22 March.

All the fields, form and replays for Thursday's Kembla meeting