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Front Runner Newsletter (Stay on Track Selections)

STAY ON TRACK - SELECTIONS

Results since 1 January 2018 (based on $5 each-way): +$0.20

Our last 10 Form line (where our tips have finished): 1161437141

Saturday’s racing is at Rosehill Gardens on Saturday with the first race set to jump at 11.30am local time. The rail is out 3m the entire while the track will race in the Good range.

This week’s selections: BG

Saturday 19 May – ROSEHILL (GOOD 4)

GAULOIS (Race 2) This three-year-old resumed a gelding at Hawkesbury and despite looking disappointing on paper when fifth as the easing favourite, he was anything but. He went right back from the tricky draw before making up late ground. That’ll open the pipes ahead of his second up assignment and the form out of the race isn’t bad either with Siren’s Fury since winning again in taking out Scone’s Dark Jewel. Should be able to stalk the speed from the middle draw with Rachel King in the saddle, who has a deadly strike rate riding for Godolphin from a handful of rides. To me, Seaway looks vulnerable back in trip. $4 TAB Fixed Odds.

PASSAGE OF TIME (Race 7) He might still be half a run short of peak fitness but happy to take the gamble at the odds on offer that he can still win this. The four-year-old is on the seven day backup having ran an admirable fourth at Scone last week in Listed company finishing only behind Osborne Bulls, Red Excitement and Invincible Gem. He drops back to BM95 grade, steps out to the 1500m and third up last time in he won well. The wide draw poses a few problems with Special Missile and King Darci unlikely to hand up but with Hunter Jack on his outside, Blaike McDougall might have the chance to slot in behind the leaders. $6.50 TAB Fixed Odds.

I Am Serious (Pic: Steve Hart)

I AM SERIOUS (Race 8) Convinced that the only thing that can beat I Am Serious here is the barrier. Had she drawn a gate, I’d be attacking her with plenty of confidence. Her first up run was certainly nothing to write home about but she ran similarly first up over 1200m last campaign before bouncing off that to run a luckless third over 1400m and then winning two on the trot. It’s worth noting that in that luckless third she finished behind Princess Posh but clearly should have beaten that runner. This is a very winnable race for the Chris Waller-trained mare. Just banking on James McDonald to find a drag into the race at the right time. $3.50 TAB Fixed Odds.

NOIRE (Race 9) - Noire has always been a good mare but she went to a new level last time in, winning three on the bounce before it took Lanciato to ruin the picket fence. That form looks outstanding now with Lanciato going on to win the Listed Carrington, G3 Newcastle Newmarket and run seventh in the Doncaster. The start prior to that Noire took the scalp of Pecans who has since won two Group 3 races. She has trialled nicely on two occasions, draws to get the right run and looks destined for better things than benchmark company. $4.20 with TAB Fixed Odds.

 

Saturday 19 May – NEWCASTLE (SOFT 5)

REBEL CRY (Race 1) - Followers of this tip sheet will know that I hold this filly in very high regard. She trounced her rivals first up over this same track and trip first up to break her maiden, running faster time than the Class 2 on the day. Kris Lees originally had planned to run her at Scone last week but she was scratched on vet’s advice. She is by Street Cry so the 900m is going to be well short of her best, and it’s not ideal she stays at the trip, but you want to stick with her as she rolls through the grades, and creeps out in trip.

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