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Neil Evans' Tips & Preview For Dubbo (Monday)

By Neil Evans

Track Soft 5 and rail out 3m from 1000m to 400m & True the remainder:

Race 1 - 11:50AM ELDERS DUBBO RURAL BENCHMARK 58 HANDICAP (2200 METRES)

4. Farraige is hard fit and can make it three wins on the bounce despite stepping back up in grade. Came off a strong closing effort at Goulburn to finally break a long drought with a big win in heavy going at Taree. Then settled last in a weaker race before flooding home over the top. Has taken a long time to find his best; but drops in weight & will relish the big track. 1. King Cornelius is a big threat also deep into the campaign, and with a 1.5kg claimer booked to off-set the big weight. 3. Charlotting is honest in any conditions. 5. Think I'm Irish is a stablemate of the top selection, and steps up sharply in distance; while 7. Bill Peyto is an eight-year-old who can run into minor money.

How to play it: Farraige to win

Race 2 - 12:25PM STONE & WOOD MAIDEN HANDICAP (1600 METRES)

2. Adamana emerges as the one to beat in a weak race on her home track, and deep into the current campaign. Nothing went to plan in consecutive runs at Warren when well in the market; but hit back when ridden quieter here, charging home late in heavy going to miss by a head in a race with more depth. Well treated at the weights; and back up in distance is a further plus. 6. Lady Lilibet can bounce back fourth-up on a drier surface. 10. Sonnig back on the turf with a string of gear changes heads the rest.

How to play it: Adamana to win

Race 3 - 1:05PM MARTIN COLLINS AUSTRALIA MAIDEN HANDICAP (1300 METRES)

2. Panelli is a progressive three-year-old who can finally break through second-up at his 10th attempt. Was in and around the money in some handy maidens up to the mile when based in Victoria last prep before being run down late here on a heavy track when fresh & having his first outing for the new Bathurst stable. Fitter now & suited over a furlong further. 3. Regalade is trained on the course, and improves at his third start, with blinkers coming off. 7. Bloomin' Hell second-up off a long break, and locally trained 9. Nothing Finer also with important gear changes, can both figure in the money.

How to play it: Panelli to win

Race 4 - 1:40PM HAHN SUPERDRY 3.5 COUNTRY BOOSTED MAIDEN PLATE (1000 METRES)

9. Manoora is a lightly raced home track mare who can resume with a bang off a long break. Ex-Victorian who was placed in two runs to start her career; including a game effort at Caulfield. Then had setbacks & was sidelined for more than 16 months. Found her way to the Central West of NSW and stretched out nicely here to win a heavy track trial a fortnight ago. Has ability; and well in at the weights after the jockey's claim. 8. Lovely Leni is a market watch on debut behind a handy trial here. So too 12. Tassorts Pride who cruised home to win a Scone trial 12 days ago. Keep safe 1. Harry at big odds with a string of gear changes, and over a furlong further; while 4. Badger's Bridge third-up heads the remainder.

How to play it: Manoora to win

Race 5 - 2:20PM XXXX ULTRA COUNTRY BOOSTED BM58 HANDICAP (1100 METRES)

1. Street Parade is an honest campaigner, and over the odds from the inside draw on a firmer surface, especially with one of the key rivals coming out. 2. Sorrento Palace is ready to peak after leading for a long way third-up. 9. Fortians coming off a third-up heavy track maiden win, and 12. Sigsaly who hit the line impressively at massive odds second-up, can both add value into exotic plays. Watch the market on 5. Alpine Rose resuming.

How to play it: Street Parade to win

Race 6 - 2:55PM MARTY NELSON REFRIGERATION & AIR CONDITIONING COUNTRY BOOSTED BENCHMARK 58 HANDICAP (1100 METRES)

4. De Joker is a lightly raced three-year-old hunting a second straight win third-up this prep. Pulled up with problems after dropping out from the front here when resuming; but hit back in a huge way bolting clear to win by nearly 7 lengths on a heavy surface at Bathurst. The drop in trip off sets the four week gap between runs; and he's primed to take the next step. 5. Torendosetta is an improving mare who finished well to claim a fourth-up win here. 10. River Rogue is trained on the course, and also comes off a strong finishing win against similar opposition. 1. Glowing Rapids will appreciate a drop in grade second-up, but drawn wide under a big weight; while 3. Bounding Bon also comes back from that same race as the former.

How to play it: De Joker to win

Race 7 - 3:35PM TOOHEYS NEW BENCHMARK 74 HANDICAP (1000 METRES)

10. Singing Star is an improving provincial-based mare well placed deep into the campaign. Held her ground to be beaten just over three lengths against metropolitan opposition before running home late in lesser grade behind a smart & unbeaten winner at Scone. That form reads well under a significant weight drop. 6. Gail Jeanette is a filly with plenty of quality at this level. Was given a let-up after dominating a BM 82 here before being outclassed in a much deeper metro field. 1. Deion is a threat second-up for a leading home stable, despite drawing wide. 3. Prince Of Sepang landed tough and consecutive wins albeit seven weeks apart, and looks well treated at the weights after the jockey's claim. 13. Capital Mac will relish being back at this level after tackling steeper CL3 Highway company when returning off a very long break.

How to play it: Singing Star to win

Race 8 - 4:10PM AQUA WEST BENCHMARK 58 HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

5. Cheap Shot is tough & underrated, and emerges well over the odds, despite drawing wide. Charged home to win fresh in heavy going before making up late ground here behind a dominant winner. Hits peak fitness now over a furlong further; and with any sort of cover; can charge over the top. 10. Ciao Bella Mia reloads off a narrow BM 58 win, and will take some holding out, very fit from an economical draw. 3. Strassman is a big improver from a softer draw after failing first-up in a tougher grade. 12. Stolen Show steps up after consecutive wins in weaker races. Gap to the rest.

How to play it: Cheap Shot to win

Race 9 - 4:50PM XXXX GOLD BENCHMARK 58 HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

2. Quick Sharp is a progressive enough mare tracking to peak fourth-up, and drawn to get a soft run. 4. Extreme Merger can mix his form, but a drying track is a big plus. 7. Fierce Luva swept home to beat a weak maiden field, and is trained here, but will have to slot in from a wide gate; while 9. Honey Slider coming off consecutive wins in weak fields, heads the rest.

How to play it: Quick Sharp to win

BEST BETS:
R2 2. ADAMANA
R6 4. DE JOKER

BEST VALUE:
R1 4. FARRAIGE

All the fields, form and replays for Monday's Dubbo meeting

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