By Ray Hickson
Tips and race by race preview by Ray Hickson for Wednesday’s meeting at Warwick Farm. The track is expected to be good and the rail is in the true position.
|Race 1 – 12:50PM CASINO PRINCE@VINERY HANDICAP (1300 METRES)|
I don’t like the price on offer but it looks a nice race for 4. Toryjoy to break through. She returned over the same trip on the Kensington track three weeks ago and finished strongly late along the fence to go down narrowly. Better for that run and faces a smaller field with less depth. Even luck she can go one better.
Dangers: 3. I’m A Legend finished ahead of Toryjoy when they met at Canterbury back in December. It was Toryjoy’s debut and I’m A Legend’s third race start. Since that third placing he’s been for a break and there was plenty to like about the way he worked home in his second trial at Randwick on May 1. Appears the logical threat for mine. 5. Assioma was far from disgraced first-up after racing right on the pace and just wilting a bit late in the same race Toryjoy resumed. She was a big drifter on that occasion so check the market for some support and play accordingly. 1. Il Fantastico has had a number of trials in the past 12 months and makes it to the races here. Best trial effort was his latest at Randwick, a fast closing second. That was on a heavy track so he could be better suited with the sting out that he won’t get for his debut. Still, could surprise.
How to play it: Toryjoy WIN ($2.00 TAB Fixed Odds) or Quinella with I’m A Legend.
Toryjoy hits the line hard to run a close second at Randwick on April 18
|Race 2 - 1:25PM TAB.COM.AU PLATE (1200 METRES)|
Happy to go with the favourite and Kerrin McEvoy again. 5. Galina ran right up to expectation when she resumed with a close second behind stablemate Eawase on Anzac Day. She was strong to the line there despite the winner just having the upper hand late and you can expect her to be improved. She ran home in a slick 33.32 and 11.45 her last 200m (Punters Intel), second only to the winner. From a draw perspective she’s come up with an ideal gate and she’s entitled to be the one to beat.
Dangers: 13. Voila interests me on what she’s shown in her two trials, split by a three month break. Her first trial in January was a strong one, won by Estijaab from Fiesta and there were several other winners in that field. She worked home nicely in her most recent gallop and I wouldn’t be underestimating her. 2. Aperitif is also a Star product with the Waller stable and like Voila trialled back in January then reappeared last week for her second trial. She hit the line as you’d like to see and I’d also be keeping her on the safe side. I have to include 3. Colombina who has that narrow defeat to Gem Song from a month ago at this track to her name. Since then she had every chance in the same race as Galina and with even luck to both I can’t see her turning the tables. But she’s at least an each-way chance.
How to play it: Galina WIN ($2.30 TAB Fixed Odds).
Galina’s first-up second behind stablemate Eawase at Randwick on April 25
|Race 3 – 2:00PM #THERACES PLATE (1200 METRES)|
I hope Kerrin McEvoy has his eye in because I’ve come up with his mount in the third race as well in the shape of Godolphin colt 13. Wagner. Wide barriers have forced him back a little further than ideal in both his starts on soft tracks and he’s run on well into second on both occasions. Freshened up since his latest at Wyong when runner-up to Tchaikovsky and he trialled in excellent fashion at Canterbury when parked outside the lead. No surprise to see him closer here though we've lost the price with Danawi coming out.
Dangers: 10. Orcein was too bad to be true first-up in a strong race at Hawkesbury and I’m sure he’s a lot better than what we saw there. He’d performed well in three starts last time in and his two trials leading into that first-up run were great too. No surprise to see him bounce back. 1. Burbank is an interesting runner resuming off a nice trial. He showed some promise in his first prep and when thrown into Saturday company in the Lonhro Plate he finished under three lengths from Sandbar. Kicking off at 1200m is a plus for him and he’s one of the chances. 3. Coterie has been solid in two career starts and with Danawi out his chances increase. Comes through the race won by The Autumn Sun at Randwick and will have every chance from the inside gate.
How to play it: Wagner WIN ($2.80 TAB Fixed Odds).
Wagner does it easily in his Canterbury trial on April 24
|Race 4 – 2.35PM BOWERMANS OFFICE FURNITURE HANDICAP (2400 METRES)|
I wish this race wasn’t the crossover race for the quaddies as it’s one of the more open events on the day. 2. La Courbette has carried big weights at her last two starts since coming back from Group company and she’s regained form with a sound second then a strong finishing win at 2000m. She’s ready for the extra distance here and I’d expect she’ll run well without being super confident.
Dangers: 3. Hoof Hustler has won twice at 2400m and led all the way both times. He had a picnic in front in winning on the Kensington track last start and he could well have the same here (I note he’s another good Kerrin McEvoy ride). But I just can’t back him at the price as these horses tend to take turns. If he runs up to that last effort he’s obviously a big chance. 1. Bon Equus ran his usual honest race running third to Hoof Hustler and gets a 2kg turnaround on him. Strangely, he’s had seven starts on his home track for just one placing but he’s racing too well to be leaving out. 5. Red Dream sprinted like he’d just joined in when he won at Nowra over 2200m and did start $11 in the Hoof Hustler race prior, while 4. Only Tiger started favourite in that Randwick race but gave away too much start in a race controlled by the winner so he could improve.
How to play it: La Courbette E/W (1-2) ($4.80 TAB Fixed Odds).
La Courbette arrives in time to win at Kembla Grange on April 26
|Race 5 – 3.10PM RIBCHESTER NEW TO DARLEY HANDICAP (1600 METRES)|
With Marabel a late scratching, we'll go with McEvoy again on 11. Enlightened Boy. He was put into the race early when resuming at Wyong and he led most of the way to score an overdue maiden win. The form out of the race isn’t great but he was scratched from a race last week to be saved for a better barrier and given he looks to have come back a better horse he could go on.
Dangers: 4. Gresham had done a deal of threatening prior to finally breaking through for his maiden win when leading throughout over the Gosford mile. Runner-up was soundly beaten at its next start and he has the wide gate here but with a tickover trial win under the belt he has that winning feeling so could also be on the up now. 1. Penske was beaten fair and square by Lani Girl at Kembla last start as a short priced favourite. Did beat a subsequent winner over the mile at his previous start and is a chance here but he’s under the odds for mine. If you like Penske then you have to consider 10. Lani Girl who beat him fair and square there at Kembla.
How to play it: Enlightened Boy E/W ($8.00 TAB Fixed Odds).
Enlightened Boy's first-up win at Wyong on April 12
|Race 6 - 3:45PM TAB REWARDS HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
If there’s a horse I’m most confident about on this tricky program it’s 7. Revenire. The form guide won’t tell you the whole story with him so be wary. He easily accounted for a subsequent city winner first-up at Hawkesbury on March 27 but the form guide shows he hasn’t raced since. However, he went around in a race on the Kensington track on April 18 as a $3.90 favourite and was declared a non-runner after getting caught up in the gates and missing the start badly. I don’t think there’s a lot of doubt that he’d have won that race if he broke with them so make sure to watch the replay below and make up your mind about that. He has his chance to score here.
Dangers: 10. Rockafella resumes and it wouldn’t surprise to see him run a cheeky race fresh. He was asked to find the line in his second trial and he did it nicely. Was around the mark in three runs in the late winter including a second to Malahat at Canterbury and he’s up to featuring with even luck. 3. Realise Potential will be improved for a sound first-up effort when he closed off as the race was all over on the Kensington track on April 18. Second-up record shows he improves and he’s in the mix. 2. Ever So Natural sprinted sharply and put the race away quickly as he resumed to win the race in question from Kensington. Yet to win second-up but placed four from six, has the same weight and is one of the chances again.
How to play it: Revenire WIN ($2.70 TAB Fixed Odds).
Watch Revenire’s effort on April 18 at Randwick where he was declared a no runner
|Race 7 - 4:20PM EXOSPHERE STANDING AT DARLEY HANDICAP (1300 METRES)|
Excellent race to finish off with. Medium degree of confidence that we can go out a winner with 18. Lisdoonvarna back in grade after a gallant effort in Group 3 company at Randwick second-up. She won first-up at this track then had no luck at all from a wide gate on the speed and she was still there fighting at the 200m, beaten 3.7 lengths. Punters Intel data showed she covered an extra 9.4m, more than any other runner there. Drawn perfectly here and she’s a very good chance to make it five wins from eight starts.
Dangers: 5. Good Weather chased Revenire home first-up at Hawkesbury then enjoyed a perfect run in a fast race before pouncing and looking strong on the line in winning over this course a month ago. I’m sure he’ll get a similar passage here and he hasn’t done anything wrong yet so expect him to run well. Read trainer Richard Butler's thoughts here. 1. Reneged was tried over a middle distance last time in and wasn’t disgraced but probably didn’t get the extra trip. Liked his second trial this time in and while he doesn’t have a great fresh record I can see him finishing strongly here. 14. Chapelco was in the speed battle here two starts back before boxing on bravely into fourth behind Good Weather. Thought he had every chance at Randwick last time but down in the weights and back home it wouldn’t surprise if he gave plenty of cheek. Worth including 20. Regine now she gains a run, has ability and can sprint well fresh, and perhaps 3. Beacon can improve on a fair return behind the smart Cradle Mountain at Randwick. He has form around Unforgotten from last prep.
How to play it: Lisdoonvarna E/W ($4.40 TAB Fixed Odds).
Lisdoonvarna’s game performance in the Group 3 James Carr Stakes at Randwick on April 21