Tips by Brad Gray
Brad Gray's tips and insights for Wednesday’s Warwick Farm meeting. There are winners to be found for seven races!
The track is in the Good range and the rail is out 3m the entire.
|Race 1 - 1:05PM BOOK SPRING HOSPITALITY @ THEATC.COM.AU HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
Sacred Edge has had two runs back from a spell now and looks set to peak third-up. He would have been something to beat in a provincial mile but respect that Chris Waller brings him here and drops him back to 1400m. Drawn towards the inside, expect Glyn Schofield to take up the running like Sacred Edge did at Newcastle last start before being run down. Doesn’t looked to be blessed with a great deal of acceleration so keen for Schofield to ride him to his strengths and bowl along. It’s very hard to find Tivoli Street at the early $2.40. He has had so many chances and thought his latest two efforts have been his worst to date.
Danger: Eight Over is the big unknown. He showed just enough in his first two campaigns but he was gelded in his most recent break and Hugh Bowman rides (who has had plenty to do with Tivoli Street in the past). Only trialled once but it was eye-catching. Short enough to take completely on trust though.
How to play it: Sacred Edge WIN ($5 TAB Fixed Odds)
Sacred Edge at Hawkesbury last start
|Race 2 - 1:40PM PLUCK@VINERY HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
Starting to sound like a broken record but it’s another cracker late two-year-old race at the Sydney midweeks! Playing one at odds in Dream Charge. Have always had a good opinion off this filly from her trials and she produced the goods on debut over a 900m scamper at the provincials. Josh Adams sticks with the daughter of Dream Ahead and he’ll need to be right on his game from a wide draw with plenty of speed inside of him. Ben Smith of course has had his name in lights recently with In Her Time and will be hoping this filly can progress in a similar manner. Has a race experience advantage over a couple of her key rivals.
Danger: Gold Standard went neck-and-neck with Marble at his most recent trial outing. That horse subsequently beat Songlike at Hawkesbury on Sunday. Drawn soft, Brenton Avdulla rides and Waterhouse and Bott train. Additive Nature is already $6 into $2.80 with TAB and impressed in winning two trials for Bjorn Baker. The chances certainly don’t end there!
How to play it: Dream Charge EACH WAY ($17 TAB Fixed Odds)
Dream Charge winning on debut at Newcastle
|Race 3 - 2:15PM PRO RATA ATC MEMBERSHIP ON SALE HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
Dahooil is a filly that has been brought along very patiently by Chris Waller so it would be no surprised to see her win a couple of races over the next month or so. The daughter of O’Reilly is racing out of her grade here as a maiden but Waller is very astute when it comes to finding the right races for these type of lightly-raced gallopers. She found the line sweetly first-up behind Special Missile, who subsequently bolted in at Hawkesbury on Sunday, and Dahooil was heavily backed upon her return too. She will probably be at her best out to the mile but from the cosy gate she possesses the necessary dash to reel in Long Time Ago.
Danger: Long Time Ago returned with a no-nonsense victory at Canterbury, controlling the race from the outset and pulling out enough to hold on. She’ll come on from that and 1400m suits. Respect Liffy with Hugh Bowman engaged.
How to play it: Dahooil WIN ($3.50 TAB Fixed Odds)
Dahooil’s Warwick Farm return
|Race 4 - 2:50PM SCHWEPPES HANDICAP (1600 METRES)|
La Chica Bella is a real bulldog of a filly. She started her career in Tassie, winning on debut, before finding her way to Joe Pride where she has hit the ground running. Last start she settled third the fence before boxing on bravely to run third behind smart galloper Arbeitsam and beating home Ghostly and Cosmic Engine. From her short career to date she looks better suited leading as she hits a flat spot when asked for an ultimate effort before rallying back again. She beat older horses at Gosford three runs back and although the older mares in town is a different gravy again, she’s the one to beta with 53.5kg on her back.
Danger: Have got stablemate Little Miss Brown pegged as the biggest threat. She impressed last start at Wyong and clearly loves the mile (6:3-0-1). Already a winner this track and trip too.
How to play it: La Chica Bella WIN ($2.80 TAB Fixed Odds)
La Chica Bella’s last start third at Warwick Farm
|Race 5 - 3:25PM #THERACES HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
Yarrapower is in career-best form at the moment and his run last start at Wyong was excellent. He split two subsequent city winners in Star Crossed and Kings Of Leon. Sounds simple but a repeat of that effort should win this. Drawn barrier 5, Glyn Schofield will be able to position the three-year-old somewhere towards the front without spending a penny early. Suspect the 1100m is his best trip at this stage so he ticks that box too. The Kris Lees stable is flying. Long may the yard’s run of good form continue – at least until Race 5 here anyways!
Danger: Kabrocco looked the main danger but has been scratched. I Can Rock was explosive first-up here on his home patch before covering ground at his next outing. Some query that he does his best work fresh but he's a very capable sprinter on his day.
How to play it: Yarrapower EACH WAY ($4.40 TAB Fixed Odds)
Yarrapower splitting two smart horses at Wyong last start
|Race 6 - 4:05PM BOWERMANS OFFICE FURNITURE HANDICAP (2200 METRES)|
Not an easy race. Have landed on two still with some staying upside in Grand Teton and Celestial Choice. Grand Teton has only had five starts and is a three-year-old lining up against some hardened horses but like the way he progressing. Last start he just missed in a three-way go at Newcastle over 2100m. He’ll be all the better for that run. Celestial Choice has been going about her work in a likeable manner lately with two thirds in town. The latest when run down late at Rosehill by Rustic Melody and Walk The Streets. She’ll give a sight with no weight on her back.
Danger: El Novio has got plenty of miles in his legs and is already a winner this track and trip. Hugh Bowman rides. Chris Waller trains. Hard to begrudge him starting favourite. If you fancy El Novio, you have to give Go Benny some though too having beat him home fair and square last start.
How to play it: Grand Teton WIN ($13 TAB Fixed Odds) and Celestial Choice WIN ($12)
Celestial Choice gave cheek at Rosehill last start at monster odds
|Race 7 - 4:40PM TAB.COM.AU HANDICAP (1600 METRES)|
Vanell earned his ticket to tackle city company again with a strong win at Newcastle over the mile last start. He had put the writing on the wall prior to that with a very good first-up showing over 1400m also at Newcastle. He looks a much more furnished horse this time in and still has plenty of scope for improvement under the patient training regime of Chris Waller. Hugh Bowman takes the steer and although Vanell has drawn a touch wide, he should be able to push on to take up the running.
Danger: Invicta has gone from Cessnock to Newcastle and now trainer Ken Parker is chasing the hattrick at Canterbury. It’s a big ask but don’t underestimate exactly how well this gelding is racing. Bon Equus is suited out the mile third-up with the blinkers going back on.
How to play it: Vanell WIN ($3.80 TAB Fixed Odds)
Vanell breaking through last start