Tips by Brad Gray
Tips and insights for Warwick Farm. There are winners to be found for nine races!
Have done the form for a track bordering between Good 4 and Soft 5 come Saturday.
|Race 1 - 11:30AM TAB REWARDS HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
There’s half a dozen genuine winning chances in the opener and it’s likely to be a hot little form race going forward. The market looks to have overlooked Manicure after she broke her maiden in good style last start. She beat Sasso Corbaro who went down a nostril on Wednesday to somewhat frank the form. Forget her run on debut as she suffered heavy interference and was never tested. There is no shortage of speed in the race but if she can sit outside the leader, which is likely to be Brook Magic or Luiza if Glyn Schofield punches up on the inside, or just drop in behind those two she is race fit and will give this a shake. It'd be a dream start for James Cummings with Godolphin!
Danger: Money speaks all languages so it’s worth noting that Awesome Pluck has been $4.60 into $3.20 with TAB since opening. He made a mess of his rivals on debut at Taree before trialling nicely at Warwick Farm since. Don’t discount Lipizzan either.
How to play it: Manicure EACH WAY ($13 TAB Fixed Odds)
Manicure breaking her maiden last start
|Race 2 - 12:05PM AUSTRALIAN TURF CLUB HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
Philosophy only won by a flared nostril first-up at Canterbury but don’t be fooled by that. It was the win of a very talented galloper. She really charged late to chase down tearaway leader Allez Chival. This lightly-raced mare will come on from that outing and note that second-up last campaign she took the scalp of subsequent Group winner Top Of My List. The daughter of Street Cry already boasts the impressive record of 5:3-0-1 and tipping that improves even further on Saturday. Should get a charmed run from the inside draw.
Danger: Reiby Rampart is knocking on the door for win number four in her career. She got too far back in a leader dominated affair at Randwick last start and can turn the tables on Yuma Desert if more positive tactics are adopted.
How to play it: Philosophy WIN ($2.80 TAB Fixed Odds)
Philosophy chasing down the leader first-up
|Race 3 - 12:40PM PRO RATA ATC MEMBERSHIP ON SALE HANDICAP (2400 METRES)|
Collateral gave his rivals a big start and a beating at Randwick, rounding them up to score without too much fuss. He was ridden very conservatively being his first try at 2400m and jumping out in trip from 1800m. Now Bjorn Baker knows his five-year-old can stay the journey don’t expect his instructions to be flopping out the back again – especially from the cosy draw. He is creeping up in the weights having won four on the trot but this is no harder than last start so he only needs to hold his form to maintain the picket fence.
Danger: Sayed brings a different form line to his rivals having run in Melbourne at his past two outings. He’s a very fit horse and ready for this trip. Have to respect Chris Waller in these staying events especially with Hugh Bowman engaged.
How to play it: Collateral WIN ($2.10 TAB Fixed Odds)
Collateral proving his staying prowess last start
|Race 4 - 1:15PM #THERACES HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
Have got plenty of time for Cosmic Engine having returned a gelding with his mind right on the job. Had always shown glimpses of ability throughout his career but both of his wins this time back have been extremely impressive. First-up he chased down the race-fit Suncraze before going right on with the job at Warwick Farm over 1400m. That’s the same track and trip he tackles here third-up and although it’s tougher company, with Hugh Bowman in the mood he is in, expect Cosmic Engine to salute again.
Danger: Ghostly led and bolted in at Canterbury two back before a change of tactics, where he was ridden too far back, killed his chances at Randwick. He still charged late though so take nothing away from the horse. Aquatic’s run in the same race was every bit as good and he is desperate for 1400m.
How to play it: Cosmic Engine WIN ($3.50 TAB Fixed Odds)
Cosmic Engine’s last start Warwick Farm victory
|Race 5 - 1:50PM TAB HIGHWAY HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
Suncraze should simply be too good for these. Plenty out there will mark him down for having more seconds to his name than a wrist watch but it’s hard to knock his form this campaign when you look at the horses that have beat him. First-up it was Cadogan before he gave Clipper too big of a head start with that horse subsequently winning another Highway Handicap then measuring up at Caulfield. Last start at the provincials he was chased down at an odds on quote by Cosmic Engine who went on to win in town and is favourite in Race 4 on this very card. Should win handsomely.
Danger: Nic’s Vendetta can be a little hit-and-miss but if he turns up in the same frame of mind that saw him beaten a whisker (still not sure how he lost) in the Scone Country Championships qualifier to Caerless Choice, he might give Suncraze a scare.
How to play it: Suncraze WIN ($1.80 TAB Fixed Odds)
Suncraze being chased down by Cosmic Engine at Newcastle
|Race 6 - 2:30PM MCGRATH ESTATE AGENTS HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
Kings Of Leon has returned in outstanding order this time in. He resumed at Tamworth with a barnstorming win before trainer Matt Smith freshened him up presumably with the early spring in mind. He vindicated that move with a flashing third at Wyong last week. Star Crossed led up the field and dashed home quickly so for him to thunder home like he did was an outstanding effort. This isn’t an easy race but the son of I Am Invincible should be able to settle midfield from the draw. Tellingly, he has already been supported from $9 into $7 with TAB.
Danger: Spending To Win has the runs on the board and has two nice trials under his belt. Awkward draw but Hugh Bowman rides. Must be respected. Launch Code is still untapped. On a drying track, Cadogan is the blowout.
How to play it: Kings Of Leon WIN ($7 TAB Fixed Odds)
Kings Of Leon tearing home at Wyong last start
|Race 7 - 3:10PM TAB.COM.AU HANDICAP (1600 METRES)|
Tipped up Zayam at any old odds last start and he didn’t let us down running second at $10+ for the drum. He was no match for Sound Proposition but there’s no shame in that as he looks destined for better things being Group One winner over the mile in New Zealand. Zayam peaks now third-up, is on his home track and Brenton Avdulla should get it all his own way out in front if he chooses to roll along on the seven-year-old. There is no $51 on offer this week but there’s every chance he creeps out to double figure odds with TAB come closer to the jump.
Danger: Liapari ran third to Zayam last start closing solidly. He is always a chance in these type of races. So Willie will appreciate being back to the mile and reuniting with Tommy Berry who has ridden him three times for two wins.
How to play it: Zayam WIN ($8 TAB Fixed Odds)
Zayam and Liapari come out the Sound Proposition race
|Race 8 - 3:50PM SCHWEPPES HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
Your Way has been brilliantly placed by the Bjorn Baker stable through her career which has resulted in the enviable record of 9:7-0-1. She resumes here off the back of two forward showings in her trials and is drawn to tuck in behind the speed set by Allez Chival and Hot Hit. Her only failure to date, if you can call it that, was a fifth when she was tested out to 1350m. Plenty of her rivals have their convictions whereas she is bombproof. She also lines up for a yard that is flying at the moment and one that can be followed with confidence.
Danger: Allez Chival gave cheek against Philosophy last time out. She has the speed and race fitness on her side to pinch this if rated perfectly out in front by Jay Ford. I Can Rock has an explosive turn of foot and has purposely been kept fresh since his last start win. Needs a firm deck though.
How to play it: Your Way WIN ($3.20 TAB Fixed Odds)
The best of Your Way’s wins last preparation – Feb 13
|Race 9 - 4:30PM TAB HANDICAP (1300 METRES)|
Tipping Kim Waugh didn’t expect Meiner Freccia would do his best racing in Australia when kept fresh and over the shorter trips! That certainly seems to be the case from what we’ve seen from this Japanese import though. He has won three races since landing here with two of those coming first-up over 1300m and 1350m while the other victory was second-up over the mile. Overseas, all of his form was over staying trips. He has tuned up with two encouraging trials and finds himself in a very winnable Saturday race.
Danger: Petrossian hasn’t done a whole lot wrong through his career and although he is yet to win in town he has come close on numerous occasions, including seconds to Deploy and Kentucky Miss. Also concede hopes to Francesco and outsider Kelvenside who races well at Warwick Farm.
How to play it: Meiner Freccia WIN ($8 TAB Fixed Odds) and Petrossian WIN ($13)
Meiner Freccia winning fresh last campaign over 1300m at Hawkesbury