Tips by Brad Gray
Tips and insights for Rosehill Gardens on Saturday. There are winners to be found for nine races!
|Race 1 - 11:40AM FRESH FOR KIDS HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
Envy Of All comes out of a midweek Canterbury meeting but confident this filly is well above average. She worked hard for the first few hundred metres to cross and sit outside the leader and wasn’t entitled to finish as close as she did. The winner of the race, Regent, heads north to chase black-type. She is a half-sister to Group Two-winner Good Standing (Your Song x Elahi). James Cummings said this week this he expected her to improve significantly at her second outing. Follow her.
Danger: The two trials of debutant Virdine suggest he is a colt of good ability. Like the way he attacked the line under little urgings. There is an early money trail with TAB fixed odds too. Note that Brenton Avdulla rides Godolphin stablemate Siam
How to play it: Envy Of All WIN
Envy Of All did it hard on debut
|Race 2 - 12:15PM TAB HIGHWAY HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
Lunar Duchess just missed chasing down a tearaway leader at Muswellbrook last start. Prior to that she was heavily supported to start deep into the red but was posted wide the trip and dropped out. This grey mare should be right at her top now third-up. She is no stranger to Highway Handicaps having run a luckless second in one back in October last year.
Danger: Loves A Hassle won his first two starts by a space before being caught five-deep at Hawkesbury last start. He is very lightly-raced and can bounce back.
How to play it: Lunar Duchess WIN
Lunar Duchess in her October Highway Handicap
|Race 3 - 12:50PM SYDNEY MARKETS FOUNDATION HANDICAP (1800 METRES)|
Cross Stitch just battled away as favourite last start but back onto a dry track and with only 51kg on his back, expect him to give a bold sight. Has the talent to win this and his price warrants an each-way ticket. Forget his luckless first-up run while second-up he was only 1.4L off stablemate and race favourite here Oklahoma Girl.
Danger: Oklahoma Girl has won her past two outsprinting her rivals off slow tempos but this doesn’t set up quite the same for her. However, she is right at the top of her game now and full of confidence. Respect the Victorian Top Of The Range.
How to play it: Cross Stitch EACH WAY
Cross Stitch two starts ago behind Oklahoma Girl
|Race 4 - 1:25PM FRESHMARK HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
Plenty of speed is engaged here. Niccobelle pulled fiercely at Wyong last start and is likely to head forward from the wide draw but he won’t be without company. With that said, heading right down the bottom to Kawikini who is very close to another win after hitting the line sweetly at Randwick last start in a race of similar quality. Jason Coyle comes off a Warwick Farm double too.
Danger: Passage Of Time has enormous upside and James Cummings made no secret of how highly he regards this colt over the week. His second to White Moss at Wyong last start looks a solid reference after she romped in at Warwick Farm on Wednesday.
How to play it: Kawikini WIN
See for yourself - Kawikini’s luckless fourth last start
|Race 5 - 2:05PM FOODBANK HANDICAP (1350 METRES)|
Lofty’s Menu has two Randwick flops this preparation either side of an Albury romp. All tracks were rated heavy but happy to punt that he simply hasn’t handled the ‘Randwick heavy’ which is generally another kettle of fish all together. He has won four from eight on good tracks and ran second in two of them. This is a very suitable assignment and double figure odds appeal.
Danger: Godolphin castoff Careless has been a revelation since joining Mark Newnham and is bound to be fighting out the finish somewhere. He was good first-up racing without cover in a deeper race than this.
How to play it: Lofty’s Menu EACH WAY
Lofty’s Menu strolling home at Albury
|Race 6 - 2:45PM EVERYBODY'S BODY HANDICAP (1500 METRES)|
It’s worth forgiving Dreamforce’s last start failure when the heavy track was blamed. He travelled sweetly into the race turning for him before his wheels spun when the go button was pushed. He was excellent prior to that at Newcastle first-up. Hoping Blaike McDougall (who claims 3kg off his 60kg impost) won’t have to do too much work to carve across from the wide draw.
Danger: Chandana might be able to go on with it now she has finally broken through for another win, and it was impressive one at that. The knock is coming back 100m when she is perhaps looking for 2000m.
How to play it: Dreamforce WIN
Watch the wheels spin for Dreamforce last start
|Race 7 - 3:25PM SYDNEY MARKETS LIMITED LORD MAYOR'S CUP (2000 METRES)|
As is the case for much of the meeting, punters need to be very wary of form reversals with horses getting back to dry ground. Happy Hannah hasn’t gone a yard in her last two outings on wet tracks. Her first-up run on a good deck was terrific. Was hoping she’d slip a touch more under the radar as far as the price goes though. She’s a mare with a dazzling burst which few of these could match.
Danger: New Tipperary is a bulldog and is another that will relish getting back on top of the ground. The firmest surface he has been on this campaign was in the Ajax (Soft 6) and he ran second to subsequent Doncaster winner It’s Somewhat.
How to play it: Happy Hannah WIN
New Tipperary’s Ajax second
|Race 8 - 4:05PM TOYOTA MATERIAL HANDLING HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
Not an easy race with TAB rating it $7 the field in early betting. Knit ‘N’ Purl closed really strongly last start in what looks a key form reference for this race with Untamed Diamond and Yuma Desert both engaged here again. The Kris Lees-trained mare should get a very cosy run from the draw and carries just 51.5kg after the claim of Rachel King. There looks to be plenty of speed engaged so she’ll get her chance.
Danger: Torpenhow is a talented lump of a thing but he can be his own worst enemy and his trials have been nothing flash. Very wary of writing him off though and he won’t know himself with 55.5kg having carried big weights throughout his five-start career.
How to play it: Knit ‘N’ Purl EACH WAY
Knit ‘N’ Purl sneaking along the fence last start
|Race 9 - 4:45PM YOUR LOCAL GREENGROCER HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
In Times Of War has had a very similar preparation to last campaign before she won impressively third-up. Suspect she is a mare that simply needs racing to bring her on. She is up in grade here but drops 5kg from her latest outing and like the booking of Brenton Avdulla (who won her maiden on her). She is cherry ripe and has a fitness edge on her main danger Bonny O’reilly .
Danger: Bonny O’reilly is a very talented mare, as four wins from six starts suggests and is a deserved favourite. Bjorn Baker has no doubt that she is a Group-winner in waiting. Rillito will need the race run to suit but she possesses a sharp turn of foot on dry ground.
How to play it: In Times Of War WIN and SAVE Bonny O’reilly
Third-up last time for In Times Of War…