Tips by Brad Gray
Rosehill will be in the Good range for Saturday’s racing. The rail is in the True position with the first race set to jump at 11:40am AEST.
Brad Gray's tips and insights for Rosehill Gardens. There are winners to be found for nine races!
|Race 1 - 11:40AM WELCOME RYDALMERE CBC HANDICAP (1500 METRES)|
Early shoppers have come in droves for D’argento already backing him in from $3.60 with TAB into $2.10. It’s easy to see why too going off his impressive debut win at Newcastle. Yes, it was only a provincial race but don’t let that fool you. This So You Think colt was hampered quite severely early in the race before having to bide his time to let down in the straight. He had no right to chase down Smartedge, who Team Snowden also have a big opinion of. Flashy grey D’argento could very well announce himself as a spring player.
Danger: Condor is creeping out towards the mile which is a trip he looks to desperately want. He was forced to go back to last from the gate last start finishing four lengths behind Siege Of Quebec and Calculated. Can be closer from the inside draw. All Too Soon is a work in progress but she is very talented.
How to play it: D’argento WIN ($2.10 TAB Fixed Odds)
D’argento winning on debut at Newcastle
|Race 2 - 12:15PM ATC OWNER BENEFITS CARD HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
Clear The Beach looks suited dropping back to 1100m and should be able to control this race from the outset with the benefit of barrier 1. We’ve seen enough of him this campaign to know where he sits now and despite having every chance last start, that form looks good enough for this with Mana since franking the form at the midweeks. When he kicked off his preparation he did so with a win over the Rosehill 1100m. Forget his 1400m flop when he pulled up with a slow recovery and got his tongue over the bit.
Danger: In all likelihood Rockafella will end up the best horse in the race. He steps out for Ed and Anthony for the first time having formerly been trained by James Cummings. Has had three trials but the stable have suggested he’ll improve with the run, as you’d expect first up for nearly a year. Difficult To Get is racing as well as ever and can win.
How to play it: Clear The Beach WIN ($3.80 TAB Fixed Odds)
Clear The Beach’s last start Rosehill third
|Race 3 - 12:50PM SYDNEY SPRING CARNIVAL ON SALE PLATE (1400 METRES)|
Arbeitsam is 1800m back to 1400m and fifth-up so expect Tim Clark to take no prisoners in this event. The Snitzel gelding set a hot tempo out the staying trip last start and did an enormous job to only be nabbed on the line. Curiously, he was a late entry for this race after also accepting for the 2000m race on the card. Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott have high hopes for this Snitzel gelding stamping him as a possible Epsom contender. He could be the yard’s next Fabrizio. If that’s the case, he’d want to run these into the ground. Catch me if you can!
Danger: There is no denying that Insensata is flying but she’s going to be off the bit and chasing a long way from home. Her sectionals last start were exceptional running 33.11s for her last 600m and breaking 11s for her last 200m. It’s going to be a fascinating race to watch unfold.
How to play it: Arbeitsam WIN ($3.60 TAB Fixed Odds)
A bold and brave Arbeitsam last start
|Race 4 - 1:25PM TAB HIGHWAY PLATE (1500 METRES)|
Force Of Magic looks ready to peak third-up after a forward showing behind Sir Barb and Ready Fire Aim at Goulburn last start. First up he was clearly in need of the run, never figuring from back in the field at Wagga. This Magnus gelding (out of a Zabeel mare) won a Highway Handicap over the Rosehill 1500m last campaign. Drawn a middle gate, Andrew Adkins will have options in a race that lacks an obvious leader.
Danger: Jackknife’s recent form around Buddy Honest and Cosmic Reign ties in well through recent Highways. Maps to get all the favours too. He’ll be thereabouts. Nic’s Vendetta is a query at 1500m and on the back up while the stakes-placed Prada Miss will likely give away a big start from the barrier. She looks skinny at $3.20.
How to play it: Force Of Magic EACH WAY ($9 TAB Fixed Odds)
Force Of Magic winning a Highway last campaign
|Race 5 - 2:00PM #THERACES HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
Alluvion is over the odds at $26. Throughout her career she has come up against handy gallopers. She had to beat Calanda at Hawkesbury to break her maiden before bumping into the likes of Omei Sword and Precautions at subsequent runs. She ran eighth first up but was closing nicely to only be beaten 2.4 lengths by Kings Of Leon who has won again since while Spending To Win and Argent D’or have also franked the form. Has a wide draw and a big weight but will improve significantly second up, given she was 37 weeks between runs and without a trial. Her class will carry her a long way.
Danger: Slumber Party finds a suitable assignment after racing in stakes company over the Brisbane winter. Finished 2L off Bonny O’reilly two back while she split Test The World and Insensata first up. Faith’s Encore ruined her chances first up with a tardy getaway. Gets her chance to atone but like Alluvion, has 61kg to carry.
How to play it: Alluvion WIN ($26 TAB Fixed Odds) and Slumber Party WIN ($4.40)
Alluvion’s Warwick Farm return
|Race 6 - 2:40PM SCHWEPPES HANDICAP (2000 METRES)|
Zourkhan is the horse that could give Hugh Bowman an unassailable lead in the metro jockey premiership. He has had an interrupted preparation but arrives back in Sydney after a lucrative raid on Melbourne which saw him win at big odds first up before missing in a photo finish at his subsequent outing. The rising six-year-old looks to have returned in terrific order for Chris Waller and he only has to hold his form to go very close in this too. You get the impression that Waller still hasn’t quite got to the bottom of this stayer. This could be his preparation.
Danger: Encosta Line is another of Waller’s six runners in the race and broke through for a deserved win last start beating Sayed who subsequently won at Warwick Farm. He saves his best for good tracks. Four Carat is capable of running a cheeky race second up at odds.
How to play it: Zourkhan WIN ($3.80 TAB Fixed Odds) and something small Four Carat WIN ($21)
Watch Four Carat’s work right on the line first up
|Race 7 - 3:20PM WINTER CHALLENGE (1500 METRES)|
Hugh Bowman never got to even remove the handbrake on Gold Symphony in the Winter Stakes last start. Treat it as nothing more than a working gallop. His form prior to that was excellent in winning the Civic Stakes beating The Monstar while he ran sixth in a Group One Stradbroke and third to Clearly Innocent at Scone. He won’t get his favoured wet track however he has the class edge on these to overcome it. Bowman will need to duck and weave a clear path from an inside draw but if he gets the breaks, he’s the one to beat.
Danger: Classic Uniform has been going about his business very nicely this campaign. In all five of his career wins he has led so from the inside draw, has the chance to bounce to the front now third-up.
How to play it: Gold Symphony WIN ($4.40 TAB Fixed Odds)
Gold Symphony last start – is he out yet?
|Race 8 - 4:00PM ATC THANKS OUR OWNERS HANDICAP (1350 METRES)|
Embley was baulked for a run first up at Warwick Farm and he should’ve finished even closer over the unsuitable 1100m trip. There was plenty of merit in the run when assessing his chances second up out to 1350m. He is a versatile horse winning from 1200m out to 2000m and doing it from the back of the field and from the front. No matter how many times you look over the form of this field, it doesn’t become any clearer as to who leads them up. Perhaps Kerrin McEvoy takes the initiative and pushes on with Embley? This soon to be six-year-old is rarely far away from the action and races well at Rosehill (6:2-0-1).
Danger: More To Gain has a stack of ability but his tendency to miss the start means he loses more races than he wins. There’s every chance he is pinned away on the inside towards the back. Has trialled nicely though and if the seas part, will be charging. Most Exalted the knockout.
How to play it: Embley WIN ($9 TAB Fixed Odds)
Embley’s first up sixth at Warwick Farm
|Race 9 - 4:40PM NSW RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION TROPHY (1500 METRES)|
It’s a tricky closer to the meeting but suspect TAB have underestimated the form of Reiby Rampart in pricing her a $13 chance. She has raced without luck her last couple and despite travelling wide throughout at Warwick Farm, still fought out the finish. It looks a key form reference for this with Love’s A Fantasy (who won the race) and Philosophy (who never really got a clear crack) also lining up here. Reiby Rampart maps to get a perfect stalking run in a race that should be run at a genuine clip courtesy of Girl SundayLong Time Ago and It’s So Obvious.
Danger: Philosophy won impressively fresh at Canterbury before running a luckless fourth. She is another that should tuck in behind the speed and has the turn of foot to worry these at the finish. Wahng Wah is going better than her form suggests and can win if the leaders tear along in front.
How to play it: Reiby Rampart EACH WAY ($13 TAB Fixed Odds)
Watch for the runs of Reiby Rampart and Philosophy