Tips from Brad Gray
All your tips, form and analysis for Wednesday’s Newcastle Provincial Championships Qualifier.
Winner: 3. Another Aan ($3.20) This five-year-old is airbourne at the minute. He trialled brilliantly behind Music Magnate at Gosford before kicking off his campaign in the Wyong Provincial Championship qualifier but he was never clear at any stage and in the end, just went around for a track gallop. He bounced off that to win with a leg in the air on Newcastle Newmarket day. The wide draw is actually a positive for him as it will allow him to balance up and wind into the race. If everything falls into place, expect him to have no troubles qualifying for the final where he’ll be one of the favourites alongside Pomelo.
Another Aan winning well last start
Related article Another Aan Can Again 'Sprout Wings'
Quinella: 15. Clevedon Bay ($8.50) There’s a lovely sense of timing about Clevedon Bay. Has ticked over nicely in two runs back and third-up out to 1400m is perfect. He kicked off with a fast-finishing second over 1000m in fast time at Wyong before his second behind the promising Vigilance (who runs in the last) would have him cherry ripe. Drawn a soft gate, down in the weights and with Brenton Avdulla steering, he should get every chance. He has only ever missed a place in seven career starts and that was a luckless sixth in town. He’ll be thereabouts again.
Clevedon Bay's second last start
Trifecta: 11. Brother In Arms ($21) Willing to pen both of his runs this campaign as he didn’t go a yard in the heavy ground. Go back to his form last preparation on drier ground and you’ll find he is a very talented galloper. He reeled in Drachenfels and Show ‘Em at Kembla before producing a monster finish out to 1400m at Kembla when he looked to be chasing from an impossible spot. Jockey Adrian Layt knows the horse very well so will be well aware that he’ll need to find clear running from barrier 5 early in the run home as he is a horse that needs to click through his gears. There has already been a sprinkle of money for the horse this morning.
That monster Kembla win
Roughie: 8. What Could Be ($31) No horse has three wins and four seconds from 13 starts without having ability. Another one that has been overlooked in the market due to poor wet track form. Forget his plugging first-up effort at Rosehill behind Pomelo as he never travelled. He has shown a dislike for it in the past too. Prior to that his form reads well with a dominant win over Cabeza de Vaca before never seeing daylight at his subsequent run at Rosehill. Also forgiving of his Warwick Farm run where he was checked in the run, shuffled back and pulled up poorly. He’ll need the race run to suit to get home from the carpark draw but he’s not without a knockout hope.
What Could Be beating Cabeza de Vaca
*All prices courtesy of TAB and are correct as of 9am Wednesday on 29 March.