Tips by Brad Gray
Brad Gray's tips and insights for Wednesday’s Canterbury Park meeting. There are winners to be found for seven races!
The track is in the Good range and the rail is out 3m the entire.
|Race 1 - 1:05PM ASCOT RESTAURANT HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
Original top selection Smartedge has been scratched which leaves stablemate Brave Song as the horse to beat. The son of Your Song made a big impression on debut charging home to just miss to Calculated who subsequently ran well behind Golden Rose-bound Siege Of Quebec. It was an enormous effort and is no doubt a late two-year-old with untapped potential under the guidance of Team Snowden. All of the scratchings mean he shouldn't settle too far away. Hugh Bowman rides.
Danger: Puppet Master had his chance on debut and despite lacking the x-factor of Brave Song, he'll make his own luck and do everything right. Sparky Lad disappointed on debut but he is capable of better going off his eye-catching trials.
How to play it: Brave Song WIN ($2.50 TAB Fixed Odds)
Brave Song's debut behind Calculated
|Race 2 - 1:40PM ALL TOO HARD@VINERY HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
Phuket produced a devastating win at Hawkesbury last start and this looks the right race for him to prove his city credentials. The late three-year-old has only had eight starts so it’s reasonable to assume his best days are still ahead of him. Phuket is three from three at 1100m and shorter while it’s ducks eggs in his five runs over 1200m. That looks the trick to him at this stage in his career so 1100m from barrier 4 looks an ideal assignment. Form hoop Corey Brown sticks with him after riding him last time out.
Danger: Ebenos is the class runner of the field and resumed with a barnstorming win first-up last preparation to break his maiden before finishing off his campaign with a Listed second in the Canberra Guineas and then a fourth in the Gosford Guineas.
How to play it: Phuket WIN ($5 TAB Fixed Odds)
Phuket’s Hawkesbury romp last start
|Race 3 - 2:20PM ATC MEMBER FOR A DAY HANDICAP (1250 METRES)|
Promoting Hammoon Dream to top selection after Mariquita was a late scratching this morning. She was never allowed to settle into her rhythm last start with Long Time Ago dictating the tempo throughout. She was nudged out of second by the closing Witches but thought she toughed it out admirably to run third beaten a shade over a length. Her win in the country prior to that was strong.
Danger: Shahrazad is not an easy animal to catch but she has a dynamic turn of foot when the plants align for her. Everything points to her running well here too – cosy gate, saves her best for Canterbury, 21 days between runs and Hugh Bowman rides.
How to play it: Hammoon Dream WIN ($4 TAB Fixed Odds)
Mariquita’s luckless Rosehill fourth
|Race 4 - 2:55PM TAB.COM.AU HANDICAP (1550 METRES)|
Special Missile is going about his business in really good style this campaign having returned a gelding. A wide run and then a wet track cost him breaking his maiden in his first two starts back before he beat Star Of Monsoon and Dahooil at Warwick Farm. He then backed that up by trouncing his rivals at Hawkesbury. He has drawn a touch awkward but expect that to force the hand of Brenton Avdulla in pressing forward. He is fit, flying and found the right race to bring up the hattrick.
Danger: Nobody missed the first-up run of Imanui. He surged from the back of the field to run third. This galloper is never far away, as his record suggests, and doubt that starts here. Strips fitter second-up and out to 1550m suits. It’s just whether that fresh run sees him flatten out a touch second-up. Those two should fight it out.
How to play it: Special Missile WIN ($3 TAB Fixed Odds)
Special Missile winning comfortably last start
|Race 5 - 3:35PM BOWERMANS OFFICE FURNITURE HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
Missile Coda is a lightly-raced filly with enormous upside. She resumed with a strong win at Wyong despite being 15 months between runs. She was ridden extremely confidently too, sitting outside of the leader. The only time we saw her prior to that was when she won her Kembla maiden on debut chasing hard to reel in Samadoubt. The wide draw doesn’t do her any favours but there is plenty of speed drawn out there with her so hopefully Kerrin McEvoy can track them across before slotting in.
Danger: The ex-Greg Bennet trained Invienna steps out for Kris Lees for the first time and looked strong in a Wyong trial win. She’s another that will need a touch of luck from the wide draw but she flies fresh (6:3-2-0) and should be able to tag Eccellere across.
How to play it: Missile Coda ($5 TAB Fixed Odds)
Missile Coda’s Wyong win after a layoff
|Race 6 - 4:10PM TAB HANDICAP (1900 METRES)|
Korodon earns his ticket to town after a tough win at Gosford last start. He took up the running before fighting off his rivals and was going away from Estafette on the line. That bodes well for him getting out further in trip here in a tricky race to assess. Earning your stripes at the provincials is a formula Chris Waller uses often and with success. The son of Shamoline Warrior will be able to take up a handy spot from barrier 5 and out to 1900m looks an ideal progression. At $10 he is a worthy gamble.
Danger: Stablemate Chatelard isn’t easy to line up. He was friendless in betting on debut but produced a powerful finish to win. Stablemates Tivoli Street and Canberra finished behind him and have since won themselves. He jumps from 1400m straight out to 1900m with a trial in between. There isn’t a fitter horse in the race than Sebrarian.
How to play it: Korodon WIN ($10 TAB Fixed Odds) and Chatelard WIN ($7)
Korodon pulling out plenty at Gosford
|Race 7 - 4:45PM SCHWEPPES HANDICAP (1250 METRES)|
Mana is the box-ticker in the race. He is in terrific form at the moment and splitting Pick Me Up and Clear The Beach at Rosehill last start is a strong reference for this midweek assignment. Prior to that he ran third behind Torpenhow and Bolero King. He draws the inside and has a strong record at the track (6:2-0-2). Expect him to settle a couple of pairs back on the fence and if he gets the splits at the right time, he looks the horse to beat.
Danger: Static Lift steps out for Anthony and Ed having formerly been trained by James Cummings and the duo look to have found the perfect race for him to resume in. Was just nutted in the last two times we have seen him and looked sharp in a trial behind Washington Heights.
How to play it: Mana WIN ($4.80 TAB Fixed Odds)
Mana only need to hold his last start form to win this